All Forums | College Basketball

NCAAB WED

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 23667
Posts: 212
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 331
Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:

So they lost to a good WVU team. Beat UCF and Buffalo by more than 1. It looks like the trend will continue and they win by at least 1.

see you look at this completely different then me... they lost to a legit team, barely beat 2 bad teams.... cincy has shown they can compete this year and their home court is tough to play on... btw the year they lost to WV in their first road game they were ranked 12... looks like a pretty similar spot

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 15
Posted: #77
my book has cincy -2, illinois-8, and virginia-3  would you still play these???
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 19093
Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by fennster:

 

I'm not arguing with your picks here at all, but what I don't follow is the reasoning you've provided.  Can you please explain to me how this line of thinking works?  Rankings are completely subjective not to mention that they're not a predictor of the future, but at best a reflection of the past.

What UNC is saying is that Cincy doesnt deserve to be laying ANY pts to UCONN, Virg. doesnt DESERVE to be laying to UAB either, so he is taking the NON PUBLIC sides to these games..Which in most cases......WINS!!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 5172
Posted: #79
 UNC
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 345
Posted: #80
my book has cincy -2, illinois-8, and virginia-3  would you still play these??? 

I would imagine these lines get better closer to gametime
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 8280
Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by fennster:

 

I'm not arguing with your picks here at all, but what I don't follow is the reasoning you've provided.  Can you please explain to me how this line of thinking works?  Rankings are completely subjective not to mention that they're not a predictor of the future, but at best a reflection of the past.

 

Fenn what I have learned in past experiences is when a lower ranked home team or a team not ranked is laying points to the higher ranked team specifically in the top 25 you are supposed to go with the home team. They typically win SU 80% of the time and cover the spread 70% of the time. Trust I used to bet against this trend when I first started and lost a fortune. Doesn't matter who the match-ups are what teams are playing your supposed to follow this rule. Most vets on here will back me up on this...

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 8280
Posted: #82

Quote Originally Posted by Jimmybluffit:

my book has cincy -2, illinois-8, and virginia-3  would you still play these??? 

I would imagine these lines get better closer to gametime

 

I would still play them all at that number but I dont see any of them coming back down.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 319
Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by UNCforever:

 

Fenn what I have learned in past experiences is when a lower ranked home team or a team not ranked is laying points to the higher ranked team specifically in the top 25 you are supposed to go with the home team. They typically win SU 80% of the time and cover the spread 70% of the time. Trust I used to bet against this trend when I first started and lost a fortune. Doesn't matter who the match-ups are what teams are playing your supposed to follow this rule. Most vets on here will back me up on this...

 

Well, your record speaks for itself, so no argument here.  Thanks for the explaination.  GL

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 36
Posted: #84
UNC are those picks locked in for you or are you still leaning on them????
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 345
Posted: #85
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 8280
Posted: #86

Quote Originally Posted by NYJETS01:

UNC are those picks locked in for you or are you still leaning on them????

 

Whenever I have units next to them they are locked in...

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 14259
Posted: #87

Post #81 by UNC is one of my Golden Rules.

If I liked a team before and thought they would be small dogs and then are the home fav, I increase my bet.

If I liked a team on the road, and then they were dogs, I walk away.

No ?'s asked

I do this in college football and basketball

 

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 34
Posted: #88
I agree about the UAB game, there is a trend to support it.

The first part of the system is to simply wager on any unranked team that is favored at home over a ranked team. That's all there is to it.

Which was UAB against buttler

The second part of the system, that isn't as widely known, is to wager against these home teams in their next game if they did cover the point spread against the ranked team.

Which is UVA here, this has hit at something like a 70% clip the last 4 seasons.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2008
Posts: 1961
Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by fennster:

 

Well, your record speaks for itself, so no argument here.  Thanks for the explaination.  GL


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 233
Posted: #90
UAB is 2-1 on the road with a loss to Kent State  and 2 wins over terrible teams.  UAB is a great home team, and I think we'll find out they aren't nearly that good on the road.  UVA is getting Scott back and they should be able to keep UAB off the offensive glass more than they are accustomed to.  Bennett's style can be frustrating for teams as well.  UVA, Cinci, Illini   Also playing Davidson and BC.  GL UNC
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 1789
Posted: #91

The rules.  Post #81 by UNC is right.  This will probably be a no play for me.    When Scanning the sheet of daily bets, these stick out and I usually make them a No-Play or take a serious look at the Home team.  Typically, these type of matchups get played to close, within 3-4 points of the spread.   This triggers the F^*cking 12 minute hair pulling session of:

- Make the FT, no miss the FT, FOUL, FOUL, Foul, Shit Turnover.  Run the clock out, Don't shoot, PLEASE don't shoot, Yes he missed, NO the put back,  Don't foul.  Game finally ends and you look for the baseball bat or the gun or grab another beer and thank your lucky stars.

BOL everyone!

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 10863
Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by dbrules4u:

The rules.  Post #81 by UNC is right.  This will probably be a no play for me.    When Scanning the sheet of daily bets, these stick out and I usually make them a No-Play or take a serious look at the Home team.  Typically, these type of matchups get played to close, within 3-4 points of the spread.   This triggers the F^*cking 12 minute hair pulling session of:

- Make the FT, no miss the FT, FOUL, FOUL, Foul, Shit Turnover.  Run the clock out, Don't shoot, PLEASE don't shoot, Yes he missed, NO the put back,  Don't foul.  Game finally ends and you look for the baseball bat or the gun or grab another beer and thank your lucky stars.

BOL everyone!

  Funny shit man  I have a clear picture in my head of me  doing all of the above. BOL
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 8280
Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by dbrules4u:

The rules.  Post #81 by UNC is right.  This will probably be a no play for me.    When Scanning the sheet of daily bets, these stick out and I usually make them a No-Play or take a serious look at the Home team.  Typically, these type of matchups get played to close, within 3-4 points of the spread.   This triggers the F^*cking 12 minute hair pulling session of:

- Make the FT, no miss the FT, FOUL, FOUL, Foul, Shit Turnover.  Run the clock out, Don't shoot, PLEASE don't shoot, Yes he missed, NO the put back,  Don't foul.  Game finally ends and you look for the baseball bat or the gun or grab another beer and thank your lucky stars.

BOL everyone!

 

HAHA I feel like every game I bet is like that.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 537
Posted: #94
Will you be adding later on, or just going with three today? Thanks in advance!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 472
Posted: #95

UNC what are your thoughts on Soth Fla, William and Mary and Temple?

Thanks

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 8280
Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by refuze2loze:

Will you be adding later on, or just going with three today? Thanks in advance!

 

This is it. Only other one I had circled was NIU

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 88
Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by Latvians:

I agree about the UAB game, there is a trend to support it.

The first part of the system is to simply wager on any unranked team that is favored at home over a ranked team. That's all there is to it.

Which was UAB against buttler

The second part of the system, that isn't as widely known, is to wager against these home teams in their next game if they did cover the point spread against the ranked team.

Which is UVA here, this has hit at something like a 70% clip the last 4 seasons.

Thanks for the trend information, from you, as well as Bracks and UNC. But where do you have proven information that this "system" hits 70% over the last 4 seasons?

Also, I was looking at the E. Kentucky -5 at Chatt. They both played last night and Chatt covered for me. What are ya'lls thoughts on this game tonight?

 

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 659
Posted: #98
UNCforever i like your style of posting.. great info. class act poster. thx.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 36
Posted: #99
UNC.....you like CINCY??? that's a tuff pick against UCONN???? You like that though
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 177
Posted: #100
GL UNC

Im tailing tonight


All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.