Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

Providence looks good as of now. Creighton opened -1, has 75% of the money bet on them, but the line went to Providence-2. A strong 3 pt line move.

Evansville +3.5/4  Line opened at SIU -4 and they are getting 76% wagers & 90% money and line has gone the other or stayed the same....

Evansville even stronger now that Stanford Steve picked SIU......

Lots of games fitting the description tonight...

Ole Miss

Providence

Samford

Valpo

Vandy

Long time Covers reader. first time poster.  I followed the system tonight and went 3-3 (the Samford game was not offered on my book and Nebraska-Omaha was an additional team that seemed to fit the criteria as well as Providence though they were a favorite at game time).

Ok, I understand the logic behind what we are doing:  advantages of a home dog accompanied by a reverse money line. It seems to me the greatest advantage we are gaining is finding a fairly quick method of following smart money. The one misgiving I have is that we don’t get our bets in until after the smart money has moved – so smart money gets the benefit of the line play, whereas we jump on the line after it has moved, and most often lose out on a line that was 1-2 points better earlier in the day. So while the system logic is sound to me I’m wondering if the point or 2 we lose to the smarts offsets the system’s advantages. Case in point: I hated like hell following the system tonight to take Valpo (a 12-11 team) against a 19-3 conference opponent and only receive a 3 ½ point cushion (though in fairness Redtear says you gotta tweak decisions with your head and what you believe sometimes).

I’ve still been playing the system because I believe it’s well thought out, but my bets have been minimal until I see evidence of consistent pay-offs.

Thoughts?

I work in the service dept of a car dealership.  Everyday we see cars that come in with a check engine light and the customer instantly thinks we can tell them whats wrong with their car just based off the code from the CEL.  Anyone who knows cars knows that is SO NOT the case.  There a human element to diagnosing the concern.  The car's a map and that check engine is just telling us where to look for the problem.

Each night, that card is a map, some days theres 75+ plays.  The system tells you where on the map to look, but as I've long stated theres a HUGE human element to this where you need to take the time to dive down that kenpom rabbit hole and do the research.  I posted this system as I just dont have adequate time most days to research each game that fits. And as far as those 1-2 pts go..if you think those 1-2 pts are gonna be the difference then the game probably isn't worth taking in the first place.

If you follow it blindly I have no doubt you'd end up profitable over the course of the season but quality over quantity is key.  Take the time, do the research, reap the rewards.

Thanks Redtear. Excellent answer and great reminder about the importance of each one of us continuing with due diligence throughout all of this. 

just use identifix LoL. The redtear of carfixes 

Like redtear said, the system narrows the plays down and you have to filter them from there. Had a great night last night because I weeded out Samford and Valpo (thought I did hit on Samford +12.5 live line).

Deciding what games to play is obviously the hardest part of gambling. This system is a way of weeding out 95% of the plays automatically, while still presenting you a few options that theoretically present good value. From there, you need to use your own judgement.

UCONN +2.5. Tulas started at -5. 81% wagers % 79% money on Tulsa but line now -2.5

Tulsa does seem to be in play according to system, prior result when teams played this year AND UConn road record vs legit teams.  No?

UConn str8 up winner earlier.../

This one is in the NBA tonight...

Houston +5.5.  Lined opened LAL -6.5 and now down to 5.5 even tho 76% wagers and 81% money on LAL

May Baylor has been scary to be against, I'm 1-1 against them and the Kansas state borderline backdoored with Baylor missing two fts at the end 

Texas missing two starters due to injury.  

Was looking both yesterday and today, not seeing anything. And don't have enough time to do it the old fashioned way and comb thru every game on kenpom. Have no problem sitting on my hands and waiting for a good play to come along! 

Samford? Fit the system 

Georgia Tech?