Took Providence, and Miami OH after reading this today. Thanks
Another very good sight for this is sportsinsights...on the "free odds" page they show % of bets and line moves in real time. They have a % of money function that you have to pay for but for bet % and line moves it's free and right up to the minute.
Another very good sight for this is sportsinsights...on the "free odds" page they show % of bets and line moves in real time. They have a % of money function that you have to pay for but for bet % and line moves it's free and right up to the minute.
Thats awesome man! You have no idea how happy that makes me, that right there is the exact reason I posted this write up! Keep it up dude!
Thats awesome man! You have no idea how happy that makes me, that right there is the exact reason I posted this write up! Keep it up dude!
Holy cross has no line movement currently with only around 69% on sacred heart, I don have issues with no line movement but I prefer to see a higher % on 'Team A' Usually 80-85%.
Holy cross has no line movement currently with only around 69% on sacred heart, I don have issues with no line movement but I prefer to see a higher % on 'Team A' Usually 80-85%.
Rutgers absolutely fits! Lines steadily moved and the majority % has remained on team which is something I defintely prefer to see, as opposed to going from 30% to 70% which does happens some times, this is why where vegas insder is great ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/lafayette-college-@-rutgers.cfm/date/12-22-19 ) you can look at how the %s have maintained
Hope some of you grabbed this!
Rutgers absolutely fits! Lines steadily moved and the majority % has remained on team which is something I defintely prefer to see, as opposed to going from 30% to 70% which does happens some times, this is why where vegas insder is great ( https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/lafayette-college-@-rutgers.cfm/date/12-22-19 ) you can look at how the %s have maintained
Hope some of you grabbed this!
TCU does fit technically, though the RLM is minimal its still there. This is where you can kinda go and tweak your own parameters to either tighten or widen your range of what you play within the system. And thats ok theyre not an underdog, while I prefer dogs it doesnt have to be one.
TCU does fit technically, though the RLM is minimal its still there. This is where you can kinda go and tweak your own parameters to either tighten or widen your range of what you play within the system. And thats ok theyre not an underdog, while I prefer dogs it doesnt have to be one.
This thread is gonna be great! I've always been a fan of looking for RLM but was never really sure how to weed out some losers so this makes total sense. I believe ODU fits
This thread is gonna be great! I've always been a fan of looking for RLM but was never really sure how to weed out some losers so this makes total sense. I believe ODU fits
Teams that fit today and why I would or wouldnt play them
South Dakota - RLM is minimal and its there. Checked vegas insider and Line movement and %s have held true which I like (1-10 I'd say I like them about a 5.5) Like it , dont love it. What I also dont love is their 'Home court advantage' is rated 267th overall in country.
TCU - What I like is the line movement is steady - hasnt been back and forth. What has been back and forth is the %s. At 9:55AM 55% was on TCU and its slowly dropped from there. Also like their home court advantage is 90th, and historically TCU has been a team thats played well for me at home.
Holy Cross - ZERO line movement - If the % on sacred heart was higher I'd look into more but its not so I'd probably focus my attention on other games.
Rutgers - LOVE EVERYTHING ABOUT THIS!! 2.5 pts of movement, 91% on Lafayette and the %s have remained high on them as well. 9/10 play and 100% one I'd take/post. Also rutgers Homecourt advantage is 71st overall. LOVE IT!!!
None of these plays are ones I'm posting more just thinking aloud to explain my thought process behind potential plays, and again you can tweak your own parameters to tighten or widen your range. What works for someone may not for the next guy. Everyone bets differently. When I bet, I bet 1k-3k so I personally prefer very low volume, but I know some of yall like higher volume - nothing wrong with that! As long as you can stay above 60% nothing wrong with a larger # of plays!
Teams that fit today and why I would or wouldnt play them
South Dakota - RLM is minimal and its there. Checked vegas insider and Line movement and %s have held true which I like (1-10 I'd say I like them about a 5.5) Like it , dont love it. What I also dont love is their 'Home court advantage' is rated 267th overall in country.
TCU - What I like is the line movement is steady - hasnt been back and forth. What has been back and forth is the %s. At 9:55AM 55% was on TCU and its slowly dropped from there. Also like their home court advantage is 90th, and historically TCU has been a team thats played well for me at home.
Holy Cross - ZERO line movement - If the % on sacred heart was higher I'd look into more but its not so I'd probably focus my attention on other games.
Rutgers - LOVE EVERYTHING ABOUT THIS!! 2.5 pts of movement, 91% on Lafayette and the %s have remained high on them as well. 9/10 play and 100% one I'd take/post. Also rutgers Homecourt advantage is 71st overall. LOVE IT!!!
None of these plays are ones I'm posting more just thinking aloud to explain my thought process behind potential plays, and again you can tweak your own parameters to tighten or widen your range. What works for someone may not for the next guy. Everyone bets differently. When I bet, I bet 1k-3k so I personally prefer very low volume, but I know some of yall like higher volume - nothing wrong with that! As long as you can stay above 60% nothing wrong with a larger # of plays!
It may fit, on both scoresandodds and vegasinsider it shows 100% on Team A, which obviously isn't the case so I'm wondering if they just dont have the data for the bets played. I also dont love high spreads like that unless the RLM and everything says yes and points to a slam dunk. But again, the 100% has me a bit skeptical.
It may fit, on both scoresandodds and vegasinsider it shows 100% on Team A, which obviously isn't the case so I'm wondering if they just dont have the data for the bets played. I also dont love high spreads like that unless the RLM and everything says yes and points to a slam dunk. But again, the 100% has me a bit skeptical.
Teams that fit today and why I would or wouldnt play them
South Dakota - RLM is minimal and its there. Checked vegas insider and Line movement and %s have held true which I like (1-10 I'd say I like them about a 5.5) Like it , dont love it. What I also dont love is their 'Home court advantage' is rated 267th overall in country.
TCU - What I like is the line movement is steady - hasnt been back and forth. What has been back and forth is the %s. At 9:55AM 55% was on TCU and its slowly dropped from there. Also like their home court advantage is 90th, and historically TCU has been a team thats played well for me at home.
Holy Cross - ZERO line movement - If the % on sacred heart was higher I'd look into more but its not so I'd probably focus my attention on other games.
Rutgers - LOVE EVERYTHING ABOUT THIS!! 2.5 pts of movement, 91% on Lafayette and the %s have remained high on them as well. 9/10 play and 100% one I'd take/post. Also rutgers Homecourt advantage is 71st overall. LOVE IT!!!
None of these plays are ones I'm posting more just thinking aloud to explain my thought process behind potential plays, and again you can tweak your own parameters to tighten or widen your range. What works for someone may not for the next guy. Everyone bets differently. When I bet, I bet 1k-3k so I personally prefer very low volume, but I know some of yall like higher volume - nothing wrong with that! As long as you can stay above 60% nothing wrong with a larger # of plays!
Thank you redtear. Are you posting your official plays in this thread ?
Teams that fit today and why I would or wouldnt play them
South Dakota - RLM is minimal and its there. Checked vegas insider and Line movement and %s have held true which I like (1-10 I'd say I like them about a 5.5) Like it , dont love it. What I also dont love is their 'Home court advantage' is rated 267th overall in country.
TCU - What I like is the line movement is steady - hasnt been back and forth. What has been back and forth is the %s. At 9:55AM 55% was on TCU and its slowly dropped from there. Also like their home court advantage is 90th, and historically TCU has been a team thats played well for me at home.
Holy Cross - ZERO line movement - If the % on sacred heart was higher I'd look into more but its not so I'd probably focus my attention on other games.
Rutgers - LOVE EVERYTHING ABOUT THIS!! 2.5 pts of movement, 91% on Lafayette and the %s have remained high on them as well. 9/10 play and 100% one I'd take/post. Also rutgers Homecourt advantage is 71st overall. LOVE IT!!!
None of these plays are ones I'm posting more just thinking aloud to explain my thought process behind potential plays, and again you can tweak your own parameters to tighten or widen your range. What works for someone may not for the next guy. Everyone bets differently. When I bet, I bet 1k-3k so I personally prefer very low volume, but I know some of yall like higher volume - nothing wrong with that! As long as you can stay above 60% nothing wrong with a larger # of plays!
Thank you redtear. Are you posting your official plays in this thread ?
Oscar, I will when I'm able to but I have alot less free time now a days which is why I posted this write up. I'll absolutely be a sound and provide as much insight as I can!
But yes I will be posting the occasional pick.
Oscar, I will when I'm able to but I have alot less free time now a days which is why I posted this write up. I'll absolutely be a sound and provide as much insight as I can!
But yes I will be posting the occasional pick.
Oscar, I will when I'm able to but I have alot less free time now a days which is why I posted this write up. I'll absolutely be a sound and provide as much insight as I can!
But yes I will be posting the occasional pick.
Oscar, I will when I'm able to but I have alot less free time now a days which is why I posted this write up. I'll absolutely be a sound and provide as much insight as I can!
But yes I will be posting the occasional pick.
Red, you the man. I’ve always kept an eye on your plays. And this is extremely beneficial to the community.
one question.... so the more RLM there is, the more you like the play?
Red, you the man. I’ve always kept an eye on your plays. And this is extremely beneficial to the community.
one question.... so the more RLM there is, the more you like the play?
Yessir! I'm so happy rutgers was up there today, it was honestly a perfect textbook example of my system at work. 2+ pts of line movement and consistency of the movement and %s. 100% would have been a posted play.
Thank you sir. And generally yes, more movement the better. Every play I've ever posted fit this system and was always a home team.
Yessir! I'm so happy rutgers was up there today, it was honestly a perfect textbook example of my system at work. 2+ pts of line movement and consistency of the movement and %s. 100% would have been a posted play.
Thank you sir. And generally yes, more movement the better. Every play I've ever posted fit this system and was always a home team.
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