Nothing wrong with a neutral site game if everything else lines up okay, I've taken them here or there when its made sense with great success.
Nothing wrong with a neutral site game if everything else lines up okay, I've taken them here or there when its made sense with great success.
Red- first off thank you for sharing your knowledge. I went back and looked at today's games and was trying to put your system to use. I came across the Oklahoma State (Home) game. There were big home court favorites. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/southeastern-louisiana-@-oklahoma-state.cfm/date/12-29-19/linechanges/y
It looks like this was a little bit of RLM as it started out -24 and closed at -27. The % money looks to have gone from %55 and dipped down to about 19% closer to game time with some jumps in between. The line rose steadily while the % money went on the other side.
Couple questions. Am I implementing this correctly? Is this an example of RLM? Apologies for the questions, bit of a newbie here when it comes to breaking down lines.
Again thanks for the lesson!
Red- first off thank you for sharing your knowledge. I went back and looked at today's games and was trying to put your system to use. I came across the Oklahoma State (Home) game. There were big home court favorites. https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/betting-trends/southeastern-louisiana-@-oklahoma-state.cfm/date/12-29-19/linechanges/y
It looks like this was a little bit of RLM as it started out -24 and closed at -27. The % money looks to have gone from %55 and dipped down to about 19% closer to game time with some jumps in between. The line rose steadily while the % money went on the other side.
Couple questions. Am I implementing this correctly? Is this an example of RLM? Apologies for the questions, bit of a newbie here when it comes to breaking down lines.
Again thanks for the lesson!
Not OP but this is exactly what RLM is. He even mentioned this was a good play.
Essentially if money is coming in on Team B but Team B is continuously getting more points you want to go with Team A. The basic idea is that the books knows something you don't know and are fairly confident in Team A.
Not OP but this is exactly what RLM is. He even mentioned this was a good play.
Essentially if money is coming in on Team B but Team B is continuously getting more points you want to go with Team A. The basic idea is that the books knows something you don't know and are fairly confident in Team A.
Thanks Moemoney.
I saw that OKSTATE cover the spread by 20+ points as well, blew it out of the water.
Time to start seeing if I can pick a few winners using this!
Thanks Moemoney.
I saw that OKSTATE cover the spread by 20+ points as well, blew it out of the water.
Time to start seeing if I can pick a few winners using this!
Dont quit your day job this isn’t rocket science and no neither fit .
Dont quit your day job this isn’t rocket science and no neither fit .
Mohr4ya - Happy to help! I noticed that as well - While I do like consistency in %s and movement, the movement was enough that it was a solid play, Michigan state was the in the same boat but covered as well; with these plays you need to look at other factors such as homecourt advantage (kenpom is king)
MOE - I'm not sure if its Vegas or maybe sharp money moving lines, maybe bit of both. I do believe vegas does set trap lines, evansville jax st being a great example.
Roz dont see TCU or Montana but maybe the %s or lines have moved since you posted.
Villanova kinda fits
Vandy definitely fits.
As always BOL tonight!
Mohr4ya - Happy to help! I noticed that as well - While I do like consistency in %s and movement, the movement was enough that it was a solid play, Michigan state was the in the same boat but covered as well; with these plays you need to look at other factors such as homecourt advantage (kenpom is king)
MOE - I'm not sure if its Vegas or maybe sharp money moving lines, maybe bit of both. I do believe vegas does set trap lines, evansville jax st being a great example.
Roz dont see TCU or Montana but maybe the %s or lines have moved since you posted.
Villanova kinda fits
Vandy definitely fits.
As always BOL tonight!
Catching up on this. Is UCF a play today? Home Dog. Line moved initially to the away team with heavy action, the moved back a half point with even action. Am I reading the line movement correctly?
Catching up on this. Is UCF a play today? Home Dog. Line moved initially to the away team with heavy action, the moved back a half point with even action. Am I reading the line movement correctly?
I have been eyeing the Air Force Game.. the %$ on the side has evened out a bit but still some RLM. I will wait closer to game time to make a decision.
I have been eyeing the Air Force Game.. the %$ on the side has evened out a bit but still some RLM. I will wait closer to game time to make a decision.
Thanks for doing the the work tdibs. One down and one to go.
Thanks for doing the the work tdibs. One down and one to go.
I'm new to this idea. I kinda liked Providence last night when I looked at early lines. After a long day of work i looked again and was frustrated with line movement...but then i remembered this. So I took Providence anyway. Thanks!
I'm new to this idea. I kinda liked Providence last night when I looked at early lines. After a long day of work i looked again and was frustrated with line movement...but then i remembered this. So I took Providence anyway. Thanks!
Lesson learned, took the ISU line early. Let's hope it pans out..
I looked at Providence, but didn't pull the trigger. I guess I need to figure out the timing on checking for this RLM. It's hard to watch all day.
tidibs..any suggestions on how you track it?
Lesson learned, took the ISU line early. Let's hope it pans out..
I looked at Providence, but didn't pull the trigger. I guess I need to figure out the timing on checking for this RLM. It's hard to watch all day.
tidibs..any suggestions on how you track it?
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