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Boston College +16.5 UNC is overvalued after achieving two solid blowouts at home, one a 13 point victory over FSU. So if UNC can beat FSU by 13, surely they can handle BC by 17? No. Boston College is undervalued after two tough defeats, a blowout at home by Virginia and on the road in Syracuse. Syracuse is a monster at home, and Virginia is a monster defense so i'm not worried about either team. BC will struggle against good defenses. But UNC is not a good road team defensively or at all for that matter, they lost at Georgia Tech, barely covered the 3 point spread at Clemson and did not cover at Wake Forest. They gave up 80+ points to Clemson (which I especially find astonishing) and Wake. I saw BC play vs Syracuse, they have awesome shooters, this guy Bowman can drain threes all day. I think BC scores plenty at home vs UNC and keeps it within single digits.
Notre Dame -9.5 Syracuse is a disaster on the road in conference play. They don't play defense and they don't score well enough. Notre Dame on the other hand is hot. Their hot shooters match up well with Syracuse's zone, and they've just been playing lights out. I expect extra motivation from them after losing to FSU. They've covered five in a row in conference play, i'll back that and the over, which is 4-0 at home, 4-1 for Syracuse on the road, the one being earlier at Wisconsin, who is a strong under team.
Penn State +14 I think Purdue is overvalued after a solid performance at home against an Illinois team that frankly always gets crushed on the road. Purdue was also super angry after their loss to Iowa. I think they'll lose their edge here. Twice in conference play they've had double digit wins and twice they've lost SU the game after. Penn State keeps its games close. They've only lost one game by more than 10 points, when they slept walk vs George Mason. They've covered both their road games so far, one as double digit dogs in Michigan, and I expect them to keep it within single digits vs Purdue.
Depaul first half. Butler has not led after the first half in its last 5 games, and yet has won 4 of them. This team generally starts off slow, especially on the road. So I think Depaul can keep up with them, just like they did vs Villanova.
Michigan -7.5 This team has seemed to turn a new leaf. They are playing with a lot of determination, clearly aware that they need to start winning games to make the NCAA tournament. Illinois on the other hand has been slaughtered by double digits in every conference road game so far. I think Michigan takes care of business. Also the revenge factor---Illinois beat Michigan in Illinois, so Michigan will be extra motivation. Illinois lost at home to Maryland only by 6 when they lost to them by 25 in Maryland, so Illinois is clearly a different team on the road. Michigan had played 9 overs in a row before going to Wisconsin. I think they'll return to that trend against an Illinois team whose last 3 road games have gone over. Illinois does not play defense but won't have trouble scoring enough to make the game soar over.
Oregon, Stanford falls back to earth after blowing out Oregon State, Oregon has been blowing conference opponents out left and right, perfect ATS record in conference.
California/ Oregon State 1H under, under is 8-2 in Corvallis, a lot of OSU's first halves have been complete duds, with less than 20 points. California's defense is top notch, but California never scores many points, I see this being a 60-46 type game.
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