Sunday Hoops

Took your over iowa/ind (dnp)also took und 74 2nd half

Thanks for the info Nropp...


Long story short I tried to call in Packers and the guys phone is broke/off for some reason. Now I am looking for someone in this game as a makeup.

I lean South Ill because Ill STate is 0-8 in conference, and 0-7 last 7. Sportsnetwork.com predicts a 65-60 Ill state win

Looking into last matchup, Fay I believe is the forwards name that hit 5 3's and scored 33 at home...and the game was still close. Does this concern you? I havent seen either play,and want to shadow, but the fact they are on the road and just won by 4 when he had 21 over his average at home worries me. Please let me know. Thanks
-Matt

Fuck it...Im going to tail blindly


Southern Illionois (I got +1) Thanks Nropp lets win!!

Winner on the over, now need to slow up to hit un 2nd half.

Damn Neil, I'm glad you picked the game, but I really can't decide on whether or not I take S. Illinois.

Rule of thumb I have is that unless in rare situations, I will not take an away team in the MVC. With that conference it's most jekyll and hyde from home to road than any other conference. I would put a 10 point swing between the same teams based on who's home.

With that said, I suppose the line is correct. They have almost similar records, so based on this the line should be somewhere from -3.5 to -5.5 Illinois State. The fact that they are only a 1 point favorite at home is very telling. It's a big head scratcher here. I'm planning on going big on this game, just outta entertainment and I'm really afraid of it.

This game could get real ugly real fast if you pick the wrong team.

how do you sleep at night?

This guy has given you 25U to cover the rest of your losses this year and you come in and bash him when he has one bad day? I'm embarrassed for you...

Anything for the 2nd half of the so ill game?

so ill +1/2 o/u 65  ?

loving the under

as long as they dont start those silly fouls at the end.

got the under for 66

So Ill really collapsed at the end. what a rough weekend it was.

Neil

  You're a great analyst for cball.  I don't use the word capper b/c I think you're similar to a Bilas who breaks down teams and makes decisions from there.  I'm a huge cball fan as well, and I don't follow the smaller schools as much as you, I still love cball no matter who's playing and will always tune in and be interested if it's on tv.
 
That being said, when you analyze the games, it seems like a lot of the recent losses have been road dogs.  I think home court in cball may be the most advantageous in any sports just b/c of the closeness of the crowd and the familiarity of the rims.  When you're analyzing a game, what do you factor into the home court?  I know to Vegas it's worth 3 points, but to me, I feel like a -1 at home is more like a -4.

Also, I know you typically don't like the "bigger" games, but tomorrow I feel there's some value in the KSU-Baylor game as well as the over in the Pitt-ND game.  I'm a Big 12 guy and have scene a lot of KSU & Baylor games. KSU is a tough team to analyze, talent is there, minus a pg, which is killing them.  They grind it out,  play physical, but have struggled to finish games.  Baylor has a similar makeup, they love to dribble drive, have a hard time finishing and don't shoot ft's well.  Both have underachieved immensely, but I feel like KSU will never turn the corner this year until they find a pg.  I feel like Baylor will play them close, it'll be a lower scoring game, unless both teams hit ft's.  5.5 is a lot for KSU, I feel like Baylor and the under is a good angle, with the under moreso.  As far as ND Pitt, feel like it'll be a high scoring game, and Pitt has been incredibly impressive to this point.  I'm a KU homer, but Pitt looks like the #1 team in the nation to me.  Thanks for all your analysis

NRopp

I lost again with S. ILL tonight, and the NYJ, and alot of other games.... -59.6 Unit Week for me... puts me minus on the Year (Since March 2010) for the first time............ (all sports)   Crippling week for me......... NRopp will bounce back, as will J W !!!!!!!

solid call on So. Illinois 

and you contribute how???

The total on ND/Pitt is set so low because Vegas knows that ND will have to slow it down in order to stay close to Pitt

I'm on board!

 

I guess he slept well last night

neil,

Need some advice. Is tonite the night that coach Martin and his disappointing squad take out their frustrations at home on a porly coached Baylor team? Your thoughts?