Posted:
#176
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:
I just want to say thank you for all the hard work you put into this wiseguy.
I just want to say thank you for all the hard work you put into this wiseguy.
It is gonna be a great year. 
You make 8% of your bankroll bets?
woooow, you got some big balls there buddy
You do a great job educating the teeming masses on sharp college football betting. I like that you keep your bets down to a bare minimum of the few with the greatest value.
Let the good times roll. By the way our backgrounds are very similar. I too am an Illinois resident that made his living managing construction jobs.
Lets get them greedy stinkin books.
LZ , Thank you for the kind words, I appreciate it.
I try to be a good citizen on the forum and share
whatever information I can. It's nice to know that
someone acknowledges that they actually read it.
As far as wager size goes , I use a modified version
of Kelly to determine bet amounts. Once I am able
to establish a MOV for a matchup , and I know the
line , I can then determine my probability of being
successful and wager accordingly.
Knowing my win probability lets me bet more on
fewer games and increases my rate of return.
Really , another Illinois Construction veteran . I've
got some great memories of my time back there
and whenever I go back , It's nice to revisit some of
my handiwork and the clients I've served.
LZ , Thanks again, and Best of Luck this Season.
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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