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A game you are not interested in but will be very quickly: Bowling Green @ Purdue! WRITE-UP inside!

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Posted: #76
Purdue likely won't win one game in the Big Ten--underdogged in every game. Sad. Program in disarray.
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by Howie_Doin:

"You have an undersized freshman starting his first college game against the highest flying offense in the nation. "

highest flying offense in the nation? FADE

Yeah I've seen some exaggeration and twisted logic in his write-ups, but if you overlook those, I mean it is hard to say WHY you like a side better than another with words--words can get us into trouble--than maybe he just has a good FEEL for a game. Just go with the dude's feel--he seems to be right on in many games. Logic and good writing doesn't make anyone money in this business.
 
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Posted: #78
WHY DOES THE LINE KEEP FALLING ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

it is now down to 3.5 on 5 Dimes. Something has happened.
 
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Posted: #79
Scal, Great write-up Brother. With the line move to 5.5, I decided to play a 2 team 6 point teaser BGSU +.5 and UMass + 35 $550 to win $500. May  make it a 3 teamer and add GT -1.5 to eliminate the juice. Just thought I'd throw this strategy out there for those undecided about BGSU laying the higher #. GL all and thanks for the info Scal. 
 
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Posted: #80
Makes too much sense that's why Purdue is the play
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by FritoLay:

Makes too much sense that's why Purdue is the play



if thats how u cap... ur bookie loves u
 
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Posted: #82
Not to mention BG has screwed me twice already taking Purdue to win this one
 
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Posted: #83
@doc - nice line grab. That's why I posted early.

@La - Soon enough man. But my picks will be very limited there. You don't get the same intensity nightly in the NBA as you do weekly in CFB and the NFL.

 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by Howie_Doin:

"You have an undersized freshman starting his first college game against the highest flying offense in the nation. "

highest flying offense in the nation? FADE

Oh please. Are we going to quibble over Baylor being #1 here?
 
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Posted: #85
The bookie will love you more today I've learned my lesson taking BG twice this year so yes I'm on Purdue let's see what u have to say after the game s#it head
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by Relax_Dude:


Yeah I've seen some exaggeration and twisted logic in his write-ups, but if you overlook those, I mean it is hard to say WHY you like a side better than another with words--words can get us into trouble--than maybe he just has a good FEEL for a game. Just go with the dude's feel--he seems to be right on in many games. Logic and good writing doesn't make anyone money in this business.

It certainly does Relax. I've been researching and writing up these games for over 11 years going back to Wagerline. I certainly have more of a 'feel' for Rutgers, Knicks, Giants, Jets and other locals as I basically live through them out here. But I have followed Purdue for just as long as well. I can tell when they are gonna spit the bit. Of course, Blough is an unknown under center but from everything I've seen and heard, he's a fade at this number (along with the rest of the team that can only feature a moderately strong running game).
 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by YucatanDan:

WHY DOES THE LINE KEEP FALLING ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

it is now down to 3.5 on 5 Dimes. Something has happened.

Nothing happened. It's just bets coming in.

Two weeks ago Washington state opened at +5 vs. Rutgers, dropped to +1, went to +3.5 and ended at +6. WSU won outright. I paid attention to none of it in that case (but there are cases where line reading is more valuable than not).
 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by az49erdog:

Scal, Great write-up Brother. With the line move to 5.5, I decided to play a 2 team 6 point teaser BGSU +.5 and UMass + 35 $550 to win $500. May  make it a 3 teamer and add GT -1.5 to eliminate the juice. Just thought I'd throw this strategy out there for those undecided about BGSU laying the higher #. GL all and thanks for the info Scal. 
 Nice.

I was torn between this game and Maryland as far as a write-up.
 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by FritoLay:

Makes too much sense that's why Purdue is the play

Not really. Purdue opened as a favorite here. It's not akin to Seattle over the Bears in Seattle with a monster spread. The books actually liked Purdue a bit to start here. But they paid the price with a 6.5 pt move against their original number
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by FritoLay:

The bookie will love you more today I've learned my lesson taking BG twice this year so yes I'm on Purdue let's see what u have to say after the game s#it head

Tennessee, @Maryland, Memphis. Cut them some slack. This is by far the easiest game of those 4 at a very reasonable number.
 
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Posted: #91
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


Couldn't have been worse than the blown cover Hazell/Appleby blew against Marshall this year. That cover was in the bag but a Jets/Geno/Broncos pick-6 made the public very happy.

It was. At least financially for me.

Purdue dominated many stretches of the game against Marshall....but the ball is pointed at both ends for a reason.

Closing in on gametime......the late money coming in on the power 5 conference squad in this matchup does lend credence to you being on the right side.

The late square money will likely come in on the power 5 home dog vs a mid major. The fact that it is an early game lends itself to the action junkies that do not want to wait for the afternoon/evening matchups.

Personally, I am waiting for the Cal-Poly @MSU matchup......could be another big day for MSU QB Prukop...the guy went for 386 and 4 tds last week @ EWU with another 196 yds rushing. He was a machine....

Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
 
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Posted: #92
MSU= Montana State, of course.
Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
 
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Posted: #93
 
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Posted: #94
It just worries me that BG is getting some some public action. 81% to be exact. Number comes from scoresandodds.com
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
 
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Posted: #95
Even with the odds drop, I still feel that the play is the teaser here and I agree with scal that the real difference here is the offense that BGSU puts on the field. This may come down to the one who scores last, which is why I prefer to have the 6 points. And I pulled the trigger on the 3 team teaser with BGSU +2.5, UMass +35.5 and GT -1.5, $500 to win $575.
A winning day to all of you! 
 
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Posted: #96
Very nice write up. Do after reading your post, I'm liking the under. It's very high. One mistake and bunch of running will keep it low. What do you think of the UNDER?
 
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Posted: #97
Quote Originally Posted by bigvern1013:

MSU= Montana State, of course.
Yes, yes of course.

It is true. The action junkies love hitting up the noon games and seeing Purdue (Power 5) as a small home dog is to their liking from a betting 101 standpoint. But as we all know, general rules don't always come through and more often than not the books have adjusted to the long-held theory small home dogs are a good pick.
 
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Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by PGAromes82:

It just worries me that BG is getting some some public action. 81% to be exact. Number comes from scoresandodds.com

That's fine. This game has nowhere near the handle of the games on tap today so you are dealing with a much smaller and much more skewed sample size.
 
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Posted: #99
Quote Originally Posted by az49erdog:

Even with the odds drop, I still feel that the play is the teaser here and I agree with scal that the real difference here is the offense that BGSU puts on the field. This may come down to the one who scores last, which is why I prefer to have the 6 points. And I pulled the trigger on the 3 team teaser with BGSU +2.5, UMass +35.5 and GT -1.5, $500 to win $575.
A winning day to all of you! 
 Love teasers. I have Maryland in a teaser myself.
 
 
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Posted: #100
Good point Scal BOL today
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
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