Bowl Game Money

Quote Originally Posted by GAM:

Crappy season Hoo (speaking about the season overall, not your record). Hoping we can both do well in the bowls, but I'll say right now these match-ups don't tickle my nuts much.

BOL bro

I think we will have a great bowl season though my friend

• don't get caught up in the lines, Vegas doesn't know anything in regards to the outcomes, the Bowl Game lines are much like the 1st week of each season where the oddsmakers don't have a great feel either and they are only trying to draw even action, the games aren't rigged, the lines aren't fishy (don't talk stupid)
• don't let the computer be your enemy, with all the time between these games the worst thing you can do is read everyone's opinions on lines and outcomes, bet what you like when the lines open and stay off the computer, otherwise you will 2nd guess yourself, bet games you wouldn't have that lose and pass up games you should have won, I see it every year, guys start threads whining and bitching about they let someone talk them into a loser
• matchup the conferences and motivation factor for each game and decide which team wants to be there, situational capping is huge in bowl games (like Utah vs. Bama last year & Boise vs. OU)

Florida is easily the #2 team in the country, and number 3 is a long way behind them.  I know everybody wants to elevate TCU to national championship status, but when you signature win is a 14-10 road win against Clemson, I'm incredulous.  I believe there are probably 6 SEC teams and probably 3 or 4 PAC 10 teams that would beat TCU.  Be that as it may, they will beat Boise convincingly IMO.

I disagree that Nebraska's defense isn't one of the best.  It is top 5 in the country in my opinion.  Look at what they did to oklahoma and virginia tech.  Totally bottled both those teams up too.  Texas Tech didn't do ANYTHING on offense either, those pts they put up were very deceiving.

Not to say those other teams wouldn't put up more pts than texas did.  But I think people are underrating what Nebraska's defense has done this year.  It has been right there behind florida, alabama, tcu, and texas.

I pounded Cincy +10.5 (well as much as they'll let me), I'm afraid it will fall below +10 before they'll let me bet anymore.

I will never forget the last time UK played Clemson in the MCB; it was the biggest motivational mismatch on the board that year, but after I saw Cal wax A&M's ass after having a dissapointing regular season finish the night before the game, I convinced myself Clemson would come out and do the same to my Cats...bet big on the Tigers in what I still consider my worst and most shameful bet ever

Plan on doing most if not all of my research and picks either this week or next...no capping the week of games to psyche myself out...like you said, time can be the enemy in bowl season

GL wahoo, I think we've all had disappointing years this year, but I plan on getting back in + numbers after the bowls...

You obviously haven't watched Cincy play, because there is very little about this team that looks good.  This is easily the biggest mismatch of the bowl season.  I think I'm being generous to Cincy by predicting a final score of 56-21 because Florida will probably score more, and Cincy will probably score less.  Tebow should be able to get all the jump pass TDs he desires.

yeah that OSU-Oregon matchup is an interesting one, still checking that one out, looking forward to your take on a couple others

BOL on strong bowl season my friend

BOL during bowl season Wahoo.

Wanted to chime in on your heisman picks.  If Gerhart and Keenum dont get invited to the party, in my opinion you can simply flush whatever and whomever is selected down the toilet.    Both of these guys are so far ahead of Ingram and McCoy respectively it is not even funny.   And if you are truly talking about the best player, it has to be Keenum.   Without him Houston is 3 - 10 instead of 10-3.   You can't say that about any of the other candidates.    I know the Heisman is a bullshit award that means nothing, but at some point you have to start inviting guys that aren't on top 5 rated teams.    Simply unfair.   

Good stuff, as always.   I think your top-10 is bascially right on, though I'd probably flip UF and Cincy.  What you're about to do to these bowl lines is illegal in several states. 

     CONFERENCE          CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS

   1  SOUTHEASTERN        (A) =  81.00      81.40  (  1)     12
   2  PAC-10              (A) =  79.32      78.24  (  2)     10
   3  ATLANTIC COAST      (A) =  76.34      76.26  (  3)     12
   4  BIG EAST            (A) =  76.25      76.22  (  4)      8
   5  BIG 12              (A) =  74.69      75.12  (  5)     12
   6  BIG TEN             (A) =  72.46      72.83  (  6)     11

wow, Godfather, all season I have been very civil with you and thought you were okay to talk to even though our opinions are clearly different

I do get good lines bro because I know what I'm doing and I have had a rough year, but don't let that confuse you, I'm still up more over my career than probably anyone you have ever met

I offered you a side wager last week on the Oregon/Ohio St game bro, that was before I even knew who would play the Buckeyes, I offered $3000 straight up wager, you turned that bet down so you didn't have your money tied up for a month?  No offense, but anyone who can't tie up $3000 for a month probably doesn't need to be giving me advice regarding college football, there is a reason it wouldn't phase me to bet the game now, that reason is I have won so much money in my life betting sports, there is a great chance I don't need advice

not sure why you decided to take a shot at me today, but rest assured that your Buckeyes will once again lose a big game

when are you going to post your plays so I can criticize your record? 

yours truly,

deeeeeeeeeeeep pockets