Bowl Picks and why

Another bowl season is upon us.  We had a positive regular season and have done well in past bowl seasons including a 23-12 record last year.  When handicapping bowl games – i have found you need to make adjustments based on the fact the teams are usually playing on a neutral site.  I use the current numbers and spread but I compare them to the previous bowl games played – NOT the regular season. The picks I select are all based on what trends bowl games have shown for a particular scenario the past 6 yrs.    Let’s look at some numbers:

 66  Ark st   36 (t.O)  67 (t.D) 70 (sag.rank)  131 (s.sched)

      Ltech    27           54           78                     123 

In this game, the over/under opened up at 66 – currently around 68.   Ltec is better in every category except Sagarin rank.    Historically, when you have this situation teams score lot’s of points. I’m taking the over – not messing with a side.

My plays : 1.  Over 68 Arkst/Ltec    2.   Nmex +8   3.  BYU + 2.5    4.  App. St – 7   5.   Ga st +2.5 6.  NDK st – 13.5 (Friday nite)

Good luck all.

Frame - Thanks.   I have found from years of experience it's usually best. 

Got - no problem. 

Record stands at 2 Wins – 4 losses and a push – not a great start.  I'm sticking with my numbers - let's see if we can turn it around.

my plays:  8.  Boist st - 9    9.  Ga sthrn +7   10.  Wmich - 4.5   11.  Sdst -2

Good luck all

Record stands at 4-4 and 1 push.   Let's get it tonite.   I wish everyone a merry xmas.  

Merry Christmas Buddah

I always like your contributions to the site.......no nonsense picks

We hit the last 4 games – record stands at 6-4-1 so we are now on the plus side.  Let’s see if we can keep it rollin.   Let’s look at some numbers:

1.5   Indiana   16   121   65   55 

        Duke        40   49    59    64

Indiana opens up as a 1.5 fav currently around 3.    They are better in total off. And sagarin sched. Strength, while Duke is better in total def. and sagarin rank.    In these situations history indicates you take Indiana.    Even though the line has jumped – I’m not worried – I’m taking Indiana-3

My plays:   12.   Indiana – 3   13. Marshal – 4.5   14.   Miami +2.5    15.   Wash – 8.5   16. Vtech – 14   17.  Ucla – 6.5  

Green, Rod – back at ya

Alien – thanks – appreciate the kind words

Rookie – wasn’t able to access covers for a couple of days – I would have said sd covers but loses the game 23-20 in otJ 

Bamers – thanks man.

Main, Atrain, Rook - Back at ya

Jroc - I hope the results are the same as well

Let's make some friggin money today!!!!

We went 2-4 on Saturday - record stands at 8-8 -1.  My plays today:  18.  - 3  19. Cmich +5  20.  Cmich +184 m/line

good luck all