added La Tech -1' small *just a hunch that Skipster /(cough) Driskel / Dixon.....get it done over Anderson (dumbazz) / Knighten / Gordon...in essentially a pick-em' game........ $ OVER.....is maybe a better play....I'll play that at halftime prolly (big if 1H is lower scoring). >> my totals are much better in-game or halftime
Note: conference trends you can't totally ignore
CUSA- 19/23 UNDER in bowls...........damm *and on 14-7 ATS run
Sun Belt dogs are 12-4-1 ATS in bowls....under is 7-2-1 in SB bowls
8/10 NO bowls (dome) have gone OVER
also on the Jets -3 small....... *Jets no road warriors for sure.....but the 'Boys are DONE....and the WORST home team in the NFL.....last 5 yrs under Garrett .....covering just 15 of last 47 home games yikes ..........
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
added La Tech -1' small *just a hunch that Skipster /(cough) Driskel / Dixon.....get it done over Anderson (dumbazz) / Knighten / Gordon...in essentially a pick-em' game........ $ OVER.....is maybe a better play....I'll play that at halftime prolly (big if 1H is lower scoring). >> my totals are much better in-game or halftime
Note: conference trends you can't totally ignore
CUSA- 19/23 UNDER in bowls...........damm *and on 14-7 ATS run
Sun Belt dogs are 12-4-1 ATS in bowls....under is 7-2-1 in SB bowls
8/10 NO bowls (dome) have gone OVER
also on the Jets -3 small....... *Jets no road warriors for sure.....but the 'Boys are DONE....and the WORST home team in the NFL.....last 5 yrs under Garrett .....covering just 15 of last 47 home games yikes ..........
COMPOSITE....c'mon man scroll back and get 'em wtf......
I need to update anyway.....like yesterday
*warning : maybe time to buy back ....for the few on Baylor here as Coleman / Linwood / Stidham are out.....could be wrong....but it 'sounds like' they're checking out a game early.....I liked the value (?)..... of Baylor getting points from the (hot) but incredibly overrated UNC / Fedora.....especially off a nasty loss to Texas *different from Ole Miss LY......who had a great W to finish the year
My 'buy back'....if any... will be N Caro in game / halftime
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4 Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 Duke +3 Baylor +3 Tulsa +14 USF +3 Boise -3 Washington -2' / LSU -1 Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3 Memphis +3 Hou +7 Clemson +4 NW +7 WM -2' Penn St +7 New Mexico +10 W Texas A&M +5 La Tech -1'
added in bold...... *paid extra for the privilege of betting on Nebraska..... they keep it close or win SU.....Riley a damm good bowl coach
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
COMPOSITE....c'mon man scroll back and get 'em wtf......
I need to update anyway.....like yesterday
*warning : maybe time to buy back ....for the few on Baylor here as Coleman / Linwood / Stidham are out.....could be wrong....but it 'sounds like' they're checking out a game early.....I liked the value (?)..... of Baylor getting points from the (hot) but incredibly overrated UNC / Fedora.....especially off a nasty loss to Texas *different from Ole Miss LY......who had a great W to finish the year
My 'buy back'....if any... will be N Caro in game / halftime
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4 Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 Duke +3 Baylor +3 Tulsa +14 USF +3 Boise -3 Washington -2' / LSU -1 Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3 Memphis +3 Hou +7 Clemson +4 NW +7 WM -2' Penn St +7 New Mexico +10 W Texas A&M +5 La Tech -1'
added in bold...... *paid extra for the privilege of betting on Nebraska..... they keep it close or win SU.....Riley a damm good bowl coach
$ adding small play USF / WKU 1H under 34.... *just a HUNCH that USF D gives WKU problems early....I already have USF +3 so I'll just play total here
Bulls in nice company ....looking at 1H scoring D
1 Ohio State 6.7pts 2 Alabama 6.9 3 S Florida 7.6 4 Florida 7.7 5 Michigan 8.0 6 Wisconsin 8.2 7 Clemson 8.2 8 Florida St 8.3
Their O is better 2H as well.....3rd qtr their best by far *WKU O has been great 1H.....but vs tougher D's not so much (0 vs Vandy....7 vs LSU).....USF prolly 3rd toughest D they have faced....WKU D has been much tougher 1H
Looking back............... *in a higher scoring game....3 is not enough to mess with if playing the dog probably....USF ML ....the 'smarter' play...?
BOL boys.....................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4 Oregon +1' ONE UNIT
Temple +1 Duke +3 Baylor +3 Tulsa +14 USF +3 Boise -3 Washington -2' / LSU -1 Nebraska +7
smaller
USC -3 Memphis +3 Hou +7 Clemson +4 NW +7 WM -2' Penn St +7 New Mexico +10 W Texas A&M +5 La Tech -1' W USF / WKU 1H under 34
so far..... note: dogs covered 2 but did not win SU
$ adding small play USF / WKU 1H under 34.... *just a HUNCH that USF D gives WKU problems early....I already have USF +3 so I'll just play total here
Bulls in nice company ....looking at 1H scoring D
1 Ohio State 6.7pts 2 Alabama 6.9 3 S Florida 7.6 4 Florida 7.7 5 Michigan 8.0 6 Wisconsin 8.2 7 Clemson 8.2 8 Florida St 8.3
Their O is better 2H as well.....3rd qtr their best by far *WKU O has been great 1H.....but vs tougher D's not so much (0 vs Vandy....7 vs LSU).....USF prolly 3rd toughest D they have faced....WKU D has been much tougher 1H
Looking back............... *in a higher scoring game....3 is not enough to mess with if playing the dog probably....USF ML ....the 'smarter' play...?
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL AKRON (7-5 SU/7-5 ATS/5-7 O/U) vs. UTAH STATE (6-6/5-7/9-3)
* December 22 Day at Boise, Idaho (Artificial Turf)
* No doubt Zips with the MO edge...their last (and only) bowl was the 2005 Motor City Bowl (lost) Aggs have won and covered last 3 bowls...and will have the crowd edge (Boise fans will root for MTW team)...but should have little interest in this one...2/4 bowls have been here
Both D's match up well with the other's O *Zips with a really tough run D (brought in ringers from Ohio St...Wazzu and Iowa St)...nobody ran on their D (non-garbage time)...OU 3yds/rush..127yds ...Pitt 2.7/100 ***in fact...nobody tried...looking at standard downs...the Zip D faced the fewest rushing attempts of any team...pass D being much weaker helped.
A problem for USU?......to 'reward' him in his last game....Aggies will likely start Chuckie ...while bu Myers is the better QB....and likely gives them the best shot to win *note: Myers has been hurt but should be available also note ..... OC Josh Heupel has left for Mizzu (weird hire)
$ IMO....this one has to be Akron or nothing.....esp at 7'....slight lean UNDER....only slight because USU has played several high scoring games ...9/12 went OVER *I'll play Akron +4' 1H small....look to play the opposite 2H... Zips have been a fast starter....covering 9/12 1H....< they know they can't fall behind and expect to win Akron up / low scoring 1H > Aggies and/or over 2H.............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL AKRON (7-5 SU/7-5 ATS/5-7 O/U) vs. UTAH STATE (6-6/5-7/9-3)
* December 22 Day at Boise, Idaho (Artificial Turf)
* No doubt Zips with the MO edge...their last (and only) bowl was the 2005 Motor City Bowl (lost) Aggs have won and covered last 3 bowls...and will have the crowd edge (Boise fans will root for MTW team)...but should have little interest in this one...2/4 bowls have been here
Both D's match up well with the other's O *Zips with a really tough run D (brought in ringers from Ohio St...Wazzu and Iowa St)...nobody ran on their D (non-garbage time)...OU 3yds/rush..127yds ...Pitt 2.7/100 ***in fact...nobody tried...looking at standard downs...the Zip D faced the fewest rushing attempts of any team...pass D being much weaker helped.
A problem for USU?......to 'reward' him in his last game....Aggies will likely start Chuckie ...while bu Myers is the better QB....and likely gives them the best shot to win *note: Myers has been hurt but should be available also note ..... OC Josh Heupel has left for Mizzu (weird hire)
$ IMO....this one has to be Akron or nothing.....esp at 7'....slight lean UNDER....only slight because USU has played several high scoring games ...9/12 went OVER *I'll play Akron +4' 1H small....look to play the opposite 2H... Zips have been a fast starter....covering 9/12 1H....< they know they can't fall behind and expect to win Akron up / low scoring 1H > Aggies and/or over 2H.............
*on PAPER...Toledo is the better team and (maybe) should be favored... BUT...HC Campbell is gone...(OC Candle was promoted)
NEITHER team...really wanted to be in THIS bowl...both thinking NYD at one point....Rockets 4 bowls / 5 years...LY beat Ark St 63-44 in the Go-Daddy *This is only Temple's 4th bowl since 1935...last bowl 2011 in New Mex Bowl..they were bowl eligible last year at 6-6 but stayed home...SO....IMO they should be the more focused team here *esp since HC Rhule stayed / could have left
Both D's are similar...both tough vs run...Temple pass D a bit better *BUT...Toledo with a nice offensive edge...>> Rockets play fast (#23 pace) / Temple slow (#100)....Owls with the better ST
$ I bet Temple +1 when opened....I'll probably stick with it...at 2' I would maybe pass .... *this one a 'clear' under...as both were a combined 7-15-1 OU but in a 'lesser' bowl ...I look for a higher scoring game...so I'll look to play the OVER 2H...or even Toledo if Temple is not moving the ball.....>> higher scoring game favors the Rockets....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
BOCA RATON BOWL
TOLEDO (9-2/8-2-1/ 3-7-1) vs. TEMPLE (10-3/9-4/4-8-1)
*on PAPER...Toledo is the better team and (maybe) should be favored... BUT...HC Campbell is gone...(OC Candle was promoted)
NEITHER team...really wanted to be in THIS bowl...both thinking NYD at one point....Rockets 4 bowls / 5 years...LY beat Ark St 63-44 in the Go-Daddy *This is only Temple's 4th bowl since 1935...last bowl 2011 in New Mex Bowl..they were bowl eligible last year at 6-6 but stayed home...SO....IMO they should be the more focused team here *esp since HC Rhule stayed / could have left
Both D's are similar...both tough vs run...Temple pass D a bit better *BUT...Toledo with a nice offensive edge...>> Rockets play fast (#23 pace) / Temple slow (#100)....Owls with the better ST
$ I bet Temple +1 when opened....I'll probably stick with it...at 2' I would maybe pass .... *this one a 'clear' under...as both were a combined 7-15-1 OU but in a 'lesser' bowl ...I look for a higher scoring game...so I'll look to play the OVER 2H...or even Toledo if Temple is not moving the ball.....>> higher scoring game favors the Rockets....
Hey BA. thx for this litany of intel. I noted you're recent A&M play. I took Ville +3 before the A&M QB fiasco but also grabbed the under 49.5 fresh off the Murray transfer news going offish. Line's 4.5 for me and thinking this is an even lower score and A&M probably hangs around on the D strength and thinking of taking A&M +4.5 for the middler. Just curious you're take on the game and any thought on making that kind of play. happy holidays!
0
Hey BA. thx for this litany of intel. I noted you're recent A&M play. I took Ville +3 before the A&M QB fiasco but also grabbed the under 49.5 fresh off the Murray transfer news going offish. Line's 4.5 for me and thinking this is an even lower score and A&M probably hangs around on the D strength and thinking of taking A&M +4.5 for the middler. Just curious you're take on the game and any thought on making that kind of play. happy holidays!
Almost never post but FYI.... I'm in Alabama right now... weather is god awful in Mobile today .... Ladd stadium is going to be swamp by game time. Thanks BA ... really appreciate your work
0
Almost never post but FYI.... I'm in Alabama right now... weather is god awful in Mobile today .... Ladd stadium is going to be swamp by game time. Thanks BA ... really appreciate your work
sorry boys no time today......... *hit Boise early at 3....wouldn't play at 7+ *BG now 5.....so can't resist.... $ added a few ....in bold
POINSETTIA BOWL
BOISE STATE (8-4) vs . NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-5) 4:30p E San Diego, California (Grass Field) .
MTW teams have won 7/10X here....dogs are 6-4...under is 6-4
Huskies tough on road...and have covered 11/12X when a short dog....have LOST 6/8 bowls SU
GODADDY.COM BOWL
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (8-4) vs. BOWLING GREEN (10-3) 8:00p E Mobile, Alabama (Artificial Turf)
$ The D's aren't that far apart....BG with a huge O edge BGreen D #46 TD...#48 rush...#38 RZ
GS D faced few BALANCED offenses....and few that could throw at all......torched by Nick Arbuckle at home.....shredded by App ST on the road.......Only a complete no-show by BG allows them to stay within 5 points here .........IMO *quarter / halftime players note : BG awesome in 3rd,,,,GS D weakens 2H.....esp weak in 3rd qtr.............
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4 Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 L Duke +3 Baylor +3 Tulsa +14 USF +3 L Boise -3 Wash -2'/LSU -1 Nebraska +7 WVirg -1 BGreen -5
smaller
USC -3 Memphis +3 Hou +7 Clemson +4 NW +7 WM -2' Penn St +7 New Mexico +10 W Texas A&M +5 La Tech -1' W USF / WKU 1H under 34 W Akron +4' 1H W Ohio St / ND over 55 WV / ASU 1H under 32 Ga Southern BG over 63'
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
sorry boys no time today......... *hit Boise early at 3....wouldn't play at 7+ *BG now 5.....so can't resist.... $ added a few ....in bold
POINSETTIA BOWL
BOISE STATE (8-4) vs . NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-5) 4:30p E San Diego, California (Grass Field) .
MTW teams have won 7/10X here....dogs are 6-4...under is 6-4
Huskies tough on road...and have covered 11/12X when a short dog....have LOST 6/8 bowls SU
GODADDY.COM BOWL
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (8-4) vs. BOWLING GREEN (10-3) 8:00p E Mobile, Alabama (Artificial Turf)
$ The D's aren't that far apart....BG with a huge O edge BGreen D #46 TD...#48 rush...#38 RZ
GS D faced few BALANCED offenses....and few that could throw at all......torched by Nick Arbuckle at home.....shredded by App ST on the road.......Only a complete no-show by BG allows them to stay within 5 points here .........IMO *quarter / halftime players note : BG awesome in 3rd,,,,GS D weakens 2H.....esp weak in 3rd qtr.............
TOP PLAYS
Ole Miss -4 Oregon +1'
ONE UNIT
Temple +1 L Duke +3 Baylor +3 Tulsa +14 USF +3 L Boise -3 Wash -2'/LSU -1 Nebraska +7 WVirg -1 BGreen -5
smaller
USC -3 Memphis +3 Hou +7 Clemson +4 NW +7 WM -2' Penn St +7 New Mexico +10 W Texas A&M +5 La Tech -1' W USF / WKU 1H under 34 W Akron +4' 1H W Ohio St / ND over 55 WV / ASU 1H under 32 Ga Southern BG over 63'
yep I had an early strong lean to Memphis ....but that Malzahn vs INTERIM HC thing..... may be the deciding factor here...you're probably right....I would think this is a close / very high scoring / last one with the ball wins....type game *Auburn needs this one more than Memphis so they probably win.....and the winner usually covers....a stay away for me most likely.....maybe in-game or halftime..... BOL............
Indiana
Texas Tech
0
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
WHAT?........oh helll no man............
yep I had an early strong lean to Memphis ....but that Malzahn vs INTERIM HC thing..... may be the deciding factor here...you're probably right....I would think this is a close / very high scoring / last one with the ball wins....type game *Auburn needs this one more than Memphis so they probably win.....and the winner usually covers....a stay away for me most likely.....maybe in-game or halftime..... BOL............
man......you better start looking for a part-time job.......... *comin' in here with that Hoosier noise..........................
LSU will steamroll Tech initially.....then kick back / start talking after game party.....meanwhile TT scores again....then again.... *I'll be ready to play EITHER team at halftime....TT could easily cover but a tough one to win.....hopefully
*the rest of the world .....might be right....>> as Duke's lack of play-makers might prove to be the difference.....but I can't see CUTCLIFFE ......NOT getting the win here.....vs Wilson and his army of bowl virgins...............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:
Indiana
Texas Tech
man......you better start looking for a part-time job.......... *comin' in here with that Hoosier noise..........................
LSU will steamroll Tech initially.....then kick back / start talking after game party.....meanwhile TT scores again....then again.... *I'll be ready to play EITHER team at halftime....TT could easily cover but a tough one to win.....hopefully
*the rest of the world .....might be right....>> as Duke's lack of play-makers might prove to be the difference.....but I can't see CUTCLIFFE ......NOT getting the win here.....vs Wilson and his army of bowl virgins...............
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
