BRIDGE BOWLS

Great Card Bridge 

I was Fortunate to catch TCU +9.5 as well…didn’t last very long. 

GL these Holidays Guru…

BRIDGE PLAY

KANSAS +3

Starting to see this break into the 2.5's and unless there's some late breaking news for Kansas I think it finishes under the 3 spot .. I'd actually suggest just taking it ML but for record keeping playing it +3 and I got most of my bets on it there, but bowl season seems more pick the side and take the odds when possible so ML is a suggestion .. I can't find anything related to opt outs for KU and none were expected this is such a huge game and accomplishment for the program and I trust Liepold to have his best game plan for this one .. Arkansas has had a number of opt outs and generally just sounds like a mess over there recruiting and portal attrition and trying to attract folks to fill in the gaps all while trying to put a game plan together .. Think Pittman sees the program is at a crossroads and priority 1 is future success of the program at this point .. could make a case for the bowl game last year, first bowl in 5 years 1st w the program, good one new years day vs penn state .. helps the program immensely to win that one .. not the case here, KU however is not in even more of a spot to want this one than Ark was in last year .. 

Besides the obvi motivational edge Ark has been bleeding players to the portal since it opened, offense/defense and even some special teams players, underrated guys like the long snapper and punter, kinda stuff that can really cause problems for em .. all that said they do keep KJ Jefferson and the offense should be okay here but also think KU can match what they dish out against a pretty bad hog defense that's taken on some losses in the post season .. SP+ would have this at 9 but with a strong motivational and attrition edge for KU it just seems more like a tossup and that also assumes Arkey shows up with a solid game plan / not make mistakes which seems tenuous .. think worst case scenario we'll have Jayhawks trying to land us a late cover or win with an O that can move against this defense so getting +3 or taking the ML odds seems like the right call .. good luck!

Fenway bowl field conditions looking pretty decent .. unsure how the new field is they brought in but should be in good shape .. anyone get in on that Under at 44.5 or thereabouts and I don't totally hate middling at a mark like 38.5 or so .. still like our H1 U21.5 and the under generally and def still like Ville today .. just a pretty low total for good weather now and both defenses very capable of setting up some scoring with the couple of fairly green QB's we're gunna see today .. just a thought, nothing covers offish .. bowl ssn gets in full swing today, good luck, woop wooooop!!!

man o man ville boom nice run ... please no more doman lol .. lucky to not have a pick then a fumble and otherwise lookin like a lost elephant that's never seen a football before .. can't take anymore of that guy lol!!!!

SMALLER

SMU -4.5

Sounds like too much turmoil on BYU and backup QB now, defensive coaching staff all gone .. really tough to imagine BYU shows up with a competent team .. SMU on the other hand has had just the one bowl appearance since they got good again, FAU blowout loss back in '19 and Ponies have had 2 bowls cancelled on em in the years since .. I think first year coach Lashlee would see the value of bringing in a big bowl win here they have plenty of recruiting needs especially on D and gotta think of the future building the program and a post season loser isin't much help getting that momentum going .. SMU also hasn't won a bowl game since 2012 so lotta value for the program in showing up today think they're the way better prepped team and real strong offense vs just a total dud defense for the coogs .. SMU's crappy D and more speculative sense of who should show up and line that = need a TD win is keeping me from hitting this one bigger but think alot of things point the ponies way in this one so decent sized but yeah still in the smaller bucket .. good luck!

SMALLER

BOISE / N.TEXAS UNDER 63.5

This is up from 56.5 and kinda reaching fever pitch over status crossing all the mid range key numbers .. very possible these teams team up to get there but I think were battling sloppy play and very possible boise just leaining on em here with a good defense and fairly good pass D at that .. TT's offered on BOL are at 35.5-24.5 so 60 total and fairly juiced on the over so books are kinda telling us something here too .. play it over lay the juice, we'll even give you reduced TT's lol .. just too many points and my read says take it under .. good luck!

@Bridge1

 36 points in the third qtr…who would have thought. Bowls are tough 

@robtri

 yeah felt like a good call then a flood .. yep welcome to bowl season! .. 

duplicate comment .. covers, what the heck .. anyway think Marsh lookin good .. no play early gunna wait for in game see if Conn can play em tough early and think Marsh will come around eventually .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

S.DAKOTA STATE -3

Only a handful of FCS plays this year but its the champ game can have a little fun .. wouldn't take this as some high knowledge play but I did get a look at NDSU in the playoffs and think the high scoring comeback win vs The Word is a bit of a misnomer because their offense struggled out the gate vs them and vs Samford, both in the dome, and neither of those teams are known for playing any kinda defense .. was hoping to hit this game under in the mid 50's but the books seem to have the same idea as me .. I do expect some defensive highlights in this one however SDSU's offense looks significantly better and much more capable and beyond all that they're due for a big champ game win, nearly had one in the spring but QB got injured and things really didn't go right after that .. seen nothing but positives in the playoffs this year .. NDSU is really missing a killer like Christian Watson whose off to the GB Packers now and their FB Luepke just got surgery he's another ace they're likely gunna be without .. just seems like too many 'next man up' situations for them and I wasn't impressed w their offense in the playoffs .. getting -3 at +105 at BoL, wouldn't hate it at -3.5 but getting a good deal for layin a FG and think its a solid win and long overdue championship for SDSU here clearly the better team IMO .. GO JACKS!!!

BRIDGE PLAYS:
LOUISVILLE -1 
UTSA / TROY OVER 54.5 
KANSAS +3
GEORGIA -6.5
ILLINOIS -1.5
S.ALABAMA -7.5
FLORIDA STATE -7
S.DAKOTA STATE -3
BOWLING GREEN +1
EAST CAROLINA -9.5
GEORGIA -7.5 (VS MICH NATTY)

SMALLER:
TCU +9.5
MEMPHIS -7
S.ALABAMA -4
HOUSTON -6.5
TENNESSEE +7
WASHINGTON +6
CLEMSON / TENN OVER 64.5
BAMA / K-STATE UNDER 54.5
UTAH / PENN STATE OVER 47.5
LIBERTY / TOLEDO UNDER 53.5
MARYLAND/NC STATE UNDER 48 
L'VILLE/CINCY H1 UNDER 21.5 
BOISE / N.TEX UNDER 63.5 
SMU -4.5 

FUTURES
GEORGIA NATTY -135
GEORGIA NATTY +475 (PRE-SSN)

Oops forgot .. LIBERTY / TOLEDO UNDER 53.5 

Not a great start .. good call on Ville the D really came to play w idk maybe piled up like 10 sacks that one and would say on the H1 Under there even though that got burned right at the end mentioned that was one of a few ways I was playing the under and came out ahead w all the others, Lib/Toledo woulda needed OT to have a chance to lose felt pretty solid .. Boise / N.Tex TT seemed like an easy bag till Q3's barrage .. SMU and the UTSA/Troy total were true duds .. so meh hit n miss so far .. 

BRIDGE PLAY

AIR FORCE +4

Been hitting this smaller at +6 and at a couple other stops on down to where it is now, prob shoulda posted it but at this point we now see the big wind coming thru and sub 20 degree weather and a decent matchup of AF's run game vs a Baylor run D which started the year off okay but tailed off big and became a real liability toward year end, it does seem like the weather conditions almost make this feel like home game for AF, unsure how often the Baylor boys see the cold and the wind combined like this and definitely have to wonder how excited they'd be to play in it couple days before christmas in a "super exciting" trip to fort worth to play in TCU's stadium where any local  fans showing up are prob rooting against them.. whole situation for the Bears feels pretty ugly and think we've done pretty well taking the service academies in bowl spots in the past ..

One underrated element is Baylor has fairly crappy special teams and AF has been fairly decent all around .. Baylor would be really bad but for a semi-decent FG kicker and returner in Jordan Nabors.. unclear if having the best FG kicker in CFB would matter tooo much with the windy conditions and Nabors was out the last 2 games of the season and unclear if he's playing hope not .. would expect a decent degree of '4th n go's' in this game anyway so returns and FG att's could be minimized .. that's one reason to maybe lay off this super low total too could just get unlucky w teams continuing drives into the end zone although def lean to a relatively low score here like everyone else, esp when were unlikely to get AF landing those 3-4 big bombs a game .. also recall AF vs Wazzoo in the bowl game a few years back AF reallllly made a point to go 3-4 yards and kill the clock every drive and I'd expect alot of that here too .. but again w Baylor most certainly playing up close to stop the run we actually might see them take shots into the wind and hope they can land a few of those .. Baylor exited their D staff after the season and I would trust Aranda with enough time to draw up a solid D gameplan but they've ben busy filling positions and landing xfers and would trust Calhoun to show up in a big spot like this similar to LY vs Ville .. so a bit of a tossup at best in my estimation but if Baylor was any kinda unmotivated coming into this gamem, which I suspect, then I really doubt they find their mojo and will to win midway thru this one esp if AF is just poundin away at em .. good luck!

SMALLER

PURDUE / LSU OVER 55.5

I got LSU's D as one of the most throttled in all of the bowl landscape esp in the secondary which might be totally barren by kickoff .. and now starting to see some of the guys up front going pro .. flip side we had the total shrink down from 60ish to mid 50's w the key opt outs on offense oconnell, charlie jones and payne durham .. that's bad news for the total for sure but plenty of time for senior QB Austin Burton to get up to speed and at 6 years playing he's at least got some experience including a couple starts and did fine in those .. think its his last year so huge game for him after years of playing behind DTR and O'connell  .. I doubt they change the game plan much for the bowl and just expect them to be taking shots most of the time and brought in ex all time boiler great Drew Brees who I think might join the staff next year so that has to be pretty exciting for those still there .. I'd expect Daniels to play if healthy, recall he xferred from ASU to be THE MAN at LSU and they have Boutte apparently coming back for next year .. def not the time you let Nussmeir sneak in there if you can avoid that Nuss did great vs UGA in the champ game and while it most mighta been considered garbage time he did put up 300 yds thru the air in the 2nd half .. not worried about who gets the nod and would expect both LSU QB's to be competing for the spot and show up motivated .. Purdue's D also took some hits w best DB Cory Trice going pro and best 2 DL's in Deen and Johnson surprisingly hitting the portal, woulda thought they'd stick around to play a year w Walters ..

Big picture we have a decent sized shakeup but nothing to say LSU's offense isin't showing up motivated esp after last year's really ugly showing and tough to imagine Purdue can't do their part here either vs a realllly throttled D they'll have a few guys who really want to play even w a sorta ugly look w their top offensive guys out .. recall same situation last year for Purdue and they just found new WR's down the depth chart and beat Tenn in a total shootout ... smaller play for now and might stay that way I kinda expect this total to go back up to high 50's where I'd rather not play it it and game is outdoors in Orlando, kinda want to see if the weather cooperates before really tagging this one .. - Good luck!

BRIDGE PLAYS:
AIR FORCE +4 
LOUISVILLE -1 
S.ALABAMA -7.5 
UTSA/TROY OVER 54.5 
KANSAS +3
GEORGIA -6.5
ILLINOIS -1.5
FLORIDA STATE -7
S.DAKOTA STATE -3
BOWLING GREEN +1
EAST CAROLINA -9.5
GEORGIA -7.5 (VS MICH NATTY)

SMALLER:
TCU +9.5
MEMPHIS -7
S.ALABAMA -4
HOUSTON -6.5
TENNESSEE +7
WASHINGTON +6
PURDUE / LSU OVER 55.5
CLEMSON / TENN OVER 64.5
BAMA / K-STATE UNDER 54.5
UTAH / PENN STATE OVER 47.5
MARYLAND/NC STATE UNDER 48 
LIBERTY / TOLEDO UNDER 53.5 
L'VILLE/CINCY H1 UNDER 21.5 
BOISE / N.TEX UNDER 63.5 
SMU -4.5 

FUTURES
GEORGIA NATTY -135
GEORGIA NATTY +475 (PRE-SSN)

BRIDGE PLAY

DUKE -3

Grabbed early on +3.5 for a smaller hit and this moved real quick into -3 .. not as concerned about the move as we're observing like last year the line not often coming into play for a good number of these games .. its just another pick where we expect a motivated team to be showing up and outplaying teams with more questionable motivation.. Haven't seen anything in the way of Duke players in the portal, injuries or other defections so think its worth a grab at the 3 spot .. and not to say lines don't matter obvi do, much rather get in at 3 than say 4 or 4.5 .. UCF is not a dud and if taking them would def grab odds on the ML .. Knights have had a couple defections including best WR and best LB and go from playing for a conf championship and potentially a NY6 bowl slot in a fun warm city to playing Duke a couple days after xmas in Annapolis .. welp I know one team that's showing up and we'll see about the other .. good luck!

Fabulous call on Air Force. Thanks B, Merry Christmas buddy 

BOL buddy, great work ............

I am a former 15 year season ticket holder to the Jackrabbits. Follow this team and subsequently NDSU very carefully. As much as I would love to see SDSU just manhandle the Bison and win their first FCS Championship (runner up to Sam Houston two year ago) the thing that worries me most is that NDSU has the heart of a champion and no matter how far down they are they seem to battle back. They done it time and time with the Jacks. Also, as much as I love him Coach Stigs asshole seems to pucker up tighter than a pin when in the clutch moments and tends to make disastrously bad decisions. That being said this team was built from the ground up to beat the Bison. They match up well with the Bison. I think they are more talented on both sides of the ball than the Bison. They have the next Dallas Goedert in Craft and the next Pierre Strong in Armstrong to tote the rock. This defense swarms. NDSU likes to run the ball. Jacks are the best at stopping the run. NDSU completed what one pass out of 12 versus IW. If there was ever a year it is this year. I just worry for the reasons I said. BOL!

@jesron1269

Thx for the note yeah been close alot over the years .. almost seems like UGA/Bama from last year, where SDSU is clearly some level better and have to prove it on the biggest stage vs the arch-rival dynasty .. not exactly a just happy to be there spot lol yeah a loss would sting quite a bit .. I think they get it done just hoping for no QB injuries again after Gronowski and TD Tommy injured on first drives on that field the last 2 champ games .. good luck bud 

BRIDGE PLAY

TCU H1 +4.5

Playing the Mich H1 fade trend, hit this +10 vs Illinois and w +9.5 vs Purdue recently and we look back in conf play I believe they won H1 vs OSU being down just 3 when the H1 line was prob 4.5 or so .. and Wolvos were up 11-zip on Iowa at the half which woulda covered .. but otherwise H1's had Neb eek out a cover, MD, Indy, PSU, Mich State were real close and were even losing to Rutgers .. so H1 2-8 in conference and I think we can point to Harbaugh's slower less aggressive play calling and a willingness to play field position punting or kick field goals even deeep in the red zone early on instead of going for the throat .. that's served them well so far as eventually this Mich team tends to pull away big in H2's .. think its unlikely Mich changes up that mentality in such a big game w a very dangerous team unless they were really on the ropes early and really had to get something going in which case we should be in good shape .. think TCU is gunna have a decent punch to throw at these guys out the gate too offense is very dynamic lotta ways to move the chains and have a very good special teams unit too, so often a ST play makes all the difference .. def rather play Mich in H2 or in game if we get the customary slow start .. good luck! 

SMALLER

UTAH / PENN STATE UNDER 52.5

Middling on the over 47.5 posted earlier .. as mentioned originally the play was really just based on expected movement in the opening number not a sure thing feel either way I could see it land under 47 or go over the current number .. but now we're up a full 5 points and every number in the middle are all very decently makeable key numbers esp if we're in for a tight game w both teams scoring in the 20's, decent chance we can hit the middle .. quite a few guys out for this one too both on D and offense including the best receiving targets for both teams .. don't think there's a reason to risk the being wrong on the opening line that I wasn't all that firm on anyway .. good luck!

^^ 53 at Bet MGM is best number if playing along .. always forget to check there lol

SMALLER

N.MEXICO STATE +3.5

While I'm posting middles might as well with this one too, we hit BG early on +1 w a BP grade bet right out the gate and as expected moved quickly in our favor .. I don't particularly love the BG play but at +1 I can keep a little more on that side than with an aggies .. if you got the Greenies +1 then think we're in a good spot to middle, even with ALOT of bowls tilting heavily to the victors and leaving the spread meaningless I can say at least in this game features two teams are gunna show up and we'll see maybe one is just in much better shape but maybe a close game we'll see .. I expect BG to be a bit better but that Diego Pavia kid is a real legit ACE type gamer in the making and while he's an NM kid born'n bred loves the state etc, I kinda expect him to hit the portal and test his meddle on at least a decent G5 squad .. all that said I don't mind at all reducing my risk here pudding something on the Aggs at this point when the line's moved 4.5 points and crossed the win column over the 3 spot, could def see either pull out a small win here .. good luck!

BRIDGE PLAYS:
AIR FORCE +4 
LOUISVILLE -1 
S.ALABAMA -7.5 
UTSA/TROY OVER 54.5 
DUKE -3
KANSAS +3
TCU H1 +4.5
GEORGIA -6.5
ILLINOIS -1.5
FLORIDA STATE -7
S.DAKOTA STATE -3
BOWLING GREEN +1
EAST CAROLINA -9.5
GEORGIA -7.5 (VS MICH NATTY)

SMALLER:
TCU +9.5
MEMPHIS -7
HOUSTON -6.5
TENNESSEE +7
WASHINGTON +6
N.MEXICO STATE +3.5 (middle)
PURDUE / LSU OVER 55.5
CLEMSON / TENN OVER 64.5
BAMA / K-STATE UNDER 54.5
UTAH / PENN STATE OVER 47.5
UTAH / PENN STATE UNDER 52.5 (middle)
MARYLAND/NC STATE UNDER 48 
LIBERTY / TOLEDO UNDER 53.5 
L'VILLE/CINCY H1 UNDER 21.5 
BOISE / N.TEX UNDER 63.5 
S.ALABAMA -4 
SMU -4.5 

FUTURES
GEORGIA NATTY -135
GEORGIA NATTY +475 (PRE-SSN)