I will be on Louisiana Tech HUGE!!! Probably my favorite play on the card. Louisiana Tech brings back almost everyone from a team that beat USA by 18 last season. Using Phil Steele's experience rankings, LT scores a 75.8 versus USA's 55.8, and have a +74 advantage in offensive line starts. Couple that with the fact that USA is breaking in an entirely new coaching staff (this will be the first game Steve Campbell has ever coached at the DI level), and this looks like a complete blowout . . . on paper.
I will pay a lot of money to see Steve Campbell keep this game within double digits on his maiden DI voyage.
This is one of the games I was looking at this week but was on the fence whether I was going to bet it or not. Unfortunately, my book has it at 10 1/2 right now so just waiting for it to drop to 10. I just reread my notes and did see where I wrote that S Alabama's O line was "decimated". But your numbers really put it into perspective.
I will post my plays in a separate thread as well, but here we go!
Thursday Night Game:
Wake Forest @ Tulane +7.5 (-138)
Friday Night Games:
Army @ Duke UNDER 22.5 (1st half)
Army will be lucky to score 10 points in this game. Let's just hope those 10 points don't come in the 1st half.
Western Kentucky @ Wisconsin -34.5 (-130)
Wisconsin will bludgeon WKU into submission. They should be able to name their score.
Saturday Early Games:
FAU @ Oklahoma OVER 72
This was a "Best Bet" for me until the line jumped 3.5 points yesterday, and Bookmaker screwed me out of the 68.5 line! 
Saturday Afternoon Games:
Washington vs. Auburn ML (-135)
Not going to screw around with points here, but feel very confident Auburn wins the game. This game falls into one of the Offensive Line Starts exceptions. Even though Washington sits at +57, I still think they lose in the trenches to Auburn's front 7. I also favor Washington's defensive front versus Auburn's offensive line. The X-factor for me is Jarrett Stidham, and the fact that I'm not really buying Jake Browning versus a good SEC defense. I do like the UNDER here as well, just not crazy about the number.
UNLV +28 (-139) @ USC
Saturday Night Games:
Old Dominion -6.5 @ Liberty
Louisiana Tech -9.5 (-120) @ South Alabama ** Best Bet **
MTSU @ Vanderbilt UNDER 29.5 (1st half) ** Best Bet **
Louisiana vs. Alabama OVER 61.5 (-124)
This was my favorite play of the week when the total was 53. It has jumped almost a full 10 points since the good old days. I still love for this game to fly OVER the total. The ONLY thing that can keep this game from going OVER is Nick Saban. 
With Tua in the game, Alabama will probably never punt.
Louisville vs. Alabama -23.5 (-121)
Same thing. If Saban plays Tua for the vast majority of the game, Louisville simply won't be able to keep up. I look for a final score of something like 56-24.
Akron @ Nebraska -26
Saturday Late Night Games:
UTSA @ Arizona State -18.5
BYU @ Arizona UNDER 31 (1st half) **Best Bet **
Sunday Game:
Miami -2.5 (-145) vs. LSU
Man, I hate betting on Mark Richt in a big game. No coach does less with more than Mark Richt, except maybe Ed Orgeron. Bet at your own risk!
Monday Game:
Virginia Tech @ Florida State -6.5 (-145) ** Best Bet **
Honestly, I don't think this game is close. I would bet this game confidently at -13.5. I do tend to buy points to cross key numbers, but that's not really because I lack confidence in the play at the current number.
If this were not a road chalk situation, I would play this as a Max Bet.
How can they be on an 11-1 run when only two games have been played thus far?
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