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CFB Week 1

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Posts: 89

cburk

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 2004

Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 7:16 PM ET #26

RJ, what's up bro, how was the summer?

Flying under the radar a little is I believe the Over 52 in the Pitt game. With Pitt transitioning to a new Defense, the Bulls will score some points, and with Pitts new offense, they hope to get off 70-80 snaps a game, I am seeing a 42-21, type of game. Also like the Bulls getting 30, can't see Pitt winning by that margin with all the changes.

Good luck!

dimedimenickel

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 328

Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 8:59 PM ET #27

RJ,

Kind of surprised you backing Baylor out of the gate given how much you made fading them vs. Illinois in the bowl game. I mean, you were dead on regarding Illinois running all over that Baylor D. How do you see this TCU / Baylor game being any different on the line of scrimmage?

Not surprising is you backing home dogs. Kind of surprised out of the 6-7 home dogs you choose these instead of say, Ole Miss or UGA (not in Athens but still basically a home game). What other lines do you think are inflated by a TD? South Florida line seems inflated by 5 or so at first glance.

Thanks.

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 9:59 PM ET #28

Bama - I dont think a WR is an integral part of a gameplan and while we are talking about a hell of an athlete, I dont think its that big of a deal. You come with a laundry list of good points and I dont have a good argument against any of them. I just love this spot for Baylor. That bowl game last year was a real awakening for a team that started to feel itself a little bit.

About that Baylor/Okie State game, it was the week after Baylor beat Texas, in Texas. That was a huge game for that team and probably the biggest win ever for Baylor. They came out flat, fell behind and it was over at the half - I cant blame them for that. Young kids are ruled by emotion and I have to say they were so high that just about anyone couldve taken them off their cloud.

CB - Whats up man?!?! Good to see you. Summer was great for me, hoping you can say the same.

Ill take a look at that Pitt game. For some reason was thinking they could cover...idk.

Dime - I have no problem betting on a team one week and fading them the next. Let alone another season. I mean, I can think of Northwestern last year, there were a few occasions I bet on them one week and against the week after to extremely positive results.

I dont really see this game being much different on the LOS, really. I just find Baylor to be in a spot that is a must-bet. Baylor should be improved, they return a few starters and are pretty damn big all across. But TCU is no slouches and they are going to be able to move the ball with the run - I just think that Baylor should force them to beat them with the pass. If this kid wants to come out and make a road start in, what should be, a hostile environment and outdo RGIII and co, I owe him my damn money. With all that said, the loss of Hughes is huge as he was a guy you double-teamed and I just dont think TCU has that player on their defense this year.

This is just a statement game for Baylor. Last year was no fluke. They are moving in the right direction and getting better talent. Griffin is in his 3rd year in Briles system and the kid should be real comfortable. This is a huge game for this team and this program and they get a Friday night on National TV to show they are worthy. This is what teams are made of. This is football. If they dont show up they are worthless.

There are some other lines I think are silly and games I will be playing, they will be posted. Just starting to look things over, though. I dont 'cap' all summer. I have a few games I circled after I look at the schedule, but I try to take my summer for myself. I am a bit behind you all.

CB - Whats up man?!?! Good to see you. Summer was great for me, hoping you can say the same.

Ill take a look at that Pitt game. For some reason was thinking they could cover...idk.

BigShotBill

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2008

Posts: 1110

Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 11:09 PM ET #29

How do you feel about Fresno +10 vs Cal. I know Cal is usually good at home but their stadium isn't built yet for this season and I believe they are playing in SF. Fresno beat Illinois and Cinci last year and only lost to Nevada by 1 pt. Cal sucked going 5-7 with no offense at all down the stretch. How can this line be DD with that shitty Cal offense minus RB Shane Vereen as well?

Is their new QB Maynard that good?

aggieaccountant

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 3490

Posted: Aug. 30, 2011 - 11:41 PM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

BOL Brother

May it be your Best season ever

Miss St could be a Covers Bloodbath ....I am on the the Bulldogs for a baby $1-36 wager

. However I am shocked with all the Baylor Love on here ... They play almost zero D and lost 2 of their best Lineman in forever ....TCU is my second biggest wager in week 1...

Completely agree on TCU. I am on TCU as well primarily because I expect Patterson to have a nice gameplan in place to slow down RGIII. Given how bad this Baylor defense is, if they can just slow him down a bit, TCU wins by 10-14 points.

youngbuckydent

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2007

Posts: 262

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:06 AM ET #31

climaxdrew

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2006

Posts: 385

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 1:26 AM ET #32

Gl!

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 9:28 AM ET #33

Quote Originally Posted by BigShotBill:

Is their new QB Maynard that good?

Lean to Fresno there. Not a big fan of Maynard. Think Pat Hill is a great coach who always has his team prepared. Think the step up in talent here for Maynard might be too much.

Fresno also has 14K tickets taken/sold for this game - a pretty big # for a road team that isnt a juggernaut program. Seems like most of the fans will make the short trip to Candlestick. Coaching staffs are really close and extremely familiar with what the other brings. Dont think you find too many surprises. Think Fresno can keep it within the #.

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 9:33 AM ET #34

Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

Winning by 10-14 is going to be awful tough when you are that thin across the O and D Lines. Realistically, they dont have 5 players with starting talent on the O Line. Thats a huge issue. They also were able to bookend RGIII last year because of their interior size on the DL and that is just no longer there.

They arent going to have to slow him down a bit, they are going to have to do it a lot, all while breaking in a new QB on the road.

Not a chance in hell I could put my money on a team in that situation. They have just lost too much.

165yds

Banned

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 18777

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:02 AM ET #35

Best thread in the CFB forum. Not only are the picks strong but the info you get from you is top notch. GL this year.

DoubleUp4Life

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 66896

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:00 PM ET #36

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

Lean to Fresno there. Not a big fan of Maynard. Think Pat Hill is a great coach who always has his team prepared. Think the step up in talent here for Maynard might be too much.

Fresno also has 14K tickets taken/sold for this game - a pretty big # for a road team that isnt a juggernaut program. Seems like most of the fans will make the short trip to Candlestick. Coaching staffs are really close and extremely familiar with what the other brings. Dont think you find too many surprises. Think Fresno can keep it within the #.

played some Hoops with Maynard.... he might be too small for big time College Football .....built like a string bean with only average speed

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!

DoubleUp4Life

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 66896

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:01 PM ET #37

played some Hoops with Maynard.... he might be too small for big time College Football .....built like a string bean with only average speed

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!

Teaser78

MVP

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 15831

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:13 PM ET #38

Islandstyle

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 3033

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 12:54 PM ET #39

RJ what's good brotha!

BOL! this year

Mr. Insight

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 3738

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 1:36 PM ET #40

Great thread as always

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:51 PM ET #41

Page 2 brining out some Covers heavyweights...

165 - Even if people dont like the picks I am just hoping they can find something to hang their hats on. Hoping to see you around more often this year. The threads were a great time last year.

Insight - Whats up man?! Hope you had a good summer. What are you looking at this week?

DU4L - You got any reads on that Buffalo game?

Style -

WahooS

Hall of Fame

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 25853

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 8:02 PM ET #42

nice job last season

while I disagree with both plays and am on the other side, I do say here's to another winning year

Johnnynumbers

Captain

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 5770

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 8:49 PM ET #43

GL Sizzle...I like the Baylor play...hard to put any $ on Memphis tho, as you said.

bhair21

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2011

Posts: 1

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 9:44 PM ET #44

Maine - LOL...thanks man. I take pride in writing properly and putting my thoughts out there with at least a semblance of an education. About TCU....do they have access to that many seats? I know if you stepped foot in Waco this offseason the only talk you heard about was the TCU game. This is the biggest game in the last 10 years of the Baylor program. I dont see how they let TCU take over the stadium - especially with how those hicks havent shut the fuck up about 'Beat TCU' this offseason.

The Memphis play is more of a play against Miss St than anything on Memphis.

Good to see some of the familiar names around here.

[/Quote]

FWIW my TCU group got 40 together on the 40 about 3 weeks ago.

amd

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 33110

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 9:55 PM ET #45

Have a great season Sizzle

playboy336

Rookie

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 841

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 10:16 PM ET #46

were you a tout last year rj

Professional1

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 41623

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:21 PM ET #47

gl this season RJ

CalBear

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 21426

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:26 PM ET #48

GL this year, Sizzle

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:30 PM ET #49

Quote Originally Posted by playboy336:

were you a tout last year rj

By the real definition, no. The plays were all posted here for free. Dont tell me you missed them?!?! I kid, I kid...

But, in reality, yeah. I am a tout. Anyone who posts a play is a tout - and a person who likes to get their ego stroked at that. If we werent looking to be touted and praised we wouldnt be posting plays. We wouldnt have usernames and handles at Covers. Posting plays and touting go hand in hand.

TrafalgarWay

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2009

Posts: 76

Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 11:38 PM ET #50

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

With all that said, the loss of Hughes is huge as he was a guy you double-teamed and I just dont think TCU has that player on their defense this year.

The loss of Jerry Hughes huh... yeah you might have a point if he was on the team last year. Frogs cover here, Baylor's D is downright terrible and was ranked #110 + overall last year..specifically their secondary is extremely vulnerable with no depth and JUCO transfers (one who joined the team August 19th and will start) sprinkled throughout.

Now, if you are looking for a spot to possibly go against TCU it's next week against a very experienced and disciplined Air Force team with around 18 returning starters who always play the Frogs tough at home...

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