Falcon Sports (Power Totals Model)

Alright guys, win, lose or push tonight, ill be out until Wednesday. 

Falcon Sports (Power Totals)

19-9 (+9.10 units)

To win one unit on each at (-110) odds

CFB (8-4)

NHL (6-4)

NFL (5-1)

Pending for Tuesday October 17

Liberty Under 57

Jax St Under 60

So. Ala Over 51.5 

Philadelphia Over 6.5 

Winnipeg Over 6

Seattle Under 6.5 

Vegas Under 6

Good luck tonight guys

Falcon Sports 

Keeping an eye on this.  I'm trying an NHL totals parlay system and I'm using your NHL plays tonight.  Went with over 5.5 with Philly/Van and over 5.5 with Winnipeg/LA

@MITM

 Good luck to you too!

@MITM

 Thanks for all you do. much appreciated 

My Jags are kicking butt and hit that over early!  W00t!!  Go Jags!

Looks like (4-2) with a push on Tuesday 

Falcon Sports (Power Totals)

23-11 (+10.90 units)

To win one unit on each at (-110) odds

CFB (10-5)

NHL (8-5)

NFL (5-1)

Check back soon for Wednesdays Power Totals 

Falcon Sports 

Some days we must play the waiting game. Today is one of those days.

Back later

Falcon Sports 

Well done. I guess we are both morning person

@bunny651

 I hardly sleep. But yes I'm a morning person.

I like to do everything that I need to do by 1pm cst. Then the remainder of the day is for anything I want to do.

Works for me.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Keep up the great work and wish you continued success.

Thanks guys, here is the deal for Wednesday.

There are only 5 games on my docket. I have a definite play on the baseball total. I have nothing as of now in college football or hockey although two are reasonably close but I'm not sure they get there and I'm not stretching to get to a play. 

I was not going to include baseball in this proof of concept run, simply because we are close to the end of the season and there may not be alot more baseball plays. But I just played tonight's game, so I'm going to include it.

I had a nice little profit boost at Draftkings to use, so I played it.

Wednesday October 18

Texas Over 9 

I actually get this around (+100) because of my boost. 

My model has this at (10.11) runs, so it points to a (10) being the True Mathematical Total tonight and I can bet Over the 9. Thats one run difference, so there is your play.

Check back later, there are 2 more that possibly could get there.

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

ditto.  

Looks like a boring waiting game today, see if anything else comes up a play. 

Probably need to start on all the upcoming college football games. 

Just some tid bits for those following 

Started on Friday 13th

5 days into this

34 plays into this

15 Unders / 19 Overs

I have been very worried about the NHL. Here is why. Before the seasons start, I have to do a set up and use projections. So I am personally involved in this. But as games are played, the projected numbers are replaced by this seasons data. And by game 6, we are pretty much on this season and I'm out of the equation. 

I think this is why football has started so well. The Power Totals model is running on this seasons data. 

I'll have the NBA ready for opening night but I seriously doubt that college basketball will be a go at the start. The safe play would be to start college hoops with game 6 for each team.

Anyone see any moves in college football or hockey, let me know.

Back to getting my steps.

Falcon Sports 

Used these two last night with a couple of soccer plays for a nice parlay 

Seattle Under 6.5 

Vegas Under 6

Thank you 

I expect it won't work every time and is best used on a single selection basis but I applaud you for making the plays visible and accessible to play around with. Those seeing this post should be cautioned that, you should not expect to have success like this all the time but if you can gain an edge from it, then fantastic. I have thought of a way to gain a betting edge but agree that its best to let the avgs play out here over 100 plays in multi sports

@MITM

@Last2thirst

 Congrats on your parlay and I agree with what you said.

For me, I need this thread to win at a minimum 55% for this to be worth it to me. I know the work that I put in the setup and the daily updates that I do. I know the work that will be required on Saturdays, especially for college basketball.

I need to hit the minimum 55%. But my volume will be so high that 55% will pay off nicely.

I don't want to post my totals for every game because I want this thread to be about all the selections and not just the best ones.

I've never tracked and played all the selections. I've never been a high volume guy but I'm willing to try. 55% Winners of a high volume amount can be alot of money. 

Will this work? Well, that's why we are here to find out. 

Good luck to everyone 

Falcon Sports 

@8888Vegas

 Thanks

Best of luck to you.

Drop by anytime 

Falcon Sports 

@LAC63

 Thanks

Best of luck to you

Drop in anytime 

I'm from the South.

So yaw come back now,,,,,, you here.

Falcon Sports 

As of now, all I have tonight is the baseball total.

U know they want to move off that (9) to (9.5) but its going to take a push to do it. That (9) is powerful but I am not sure if its the strongest number for tonight.

My Power Totals model says they need to be at (10). 

But who knows, this thread is a 100 play war and this is just one battle in that war.

So far the score is.

The Falcons Mathematical Total (23)

The Books Perceived Total (11)

66 more to go, so who knows.

Falcon Sports 

Sorry for rambling guys but I'm bored today. Only 5 gsmes on the docket. I've got to do some more setup on the nba but man I hate that league. U would have to pay me to watch one minute of one game. But ill bet it 

The books laid out two pretty good totals in college football tonight. My model is in almost total agreement on the first one. The UTEP total is dropping as expected, they were a little too high on that one and I was slow getting the correct number and we won't see it again. So its a pass in the CFB tonight.

The first nhl total is spot on at 6.5. 

Here is the deal on the Detroit total. It should be 6.00 and not 6 5. But I'm using (0.75) for a play in the NHL and I know they won't take it to a (7) that would be insane.

So we must pass on the NHL tonight.

That leaves baseball and this fascinates me tonight. They almost have to stay at (9) even though its wrong. If they go to (9.5) or (10), the sharps and value bettors are going to hit them on the Under. They can't go to (8.5) that would be suicide. So there stuck at (9) and charging juice. If this game goes Under (9) tonight, the books will clean up, so I guess they are going to gamble on this one. 

Its going to be a good sign if they move to (9.5), if they do that, they are acknowledging their mistake. 

Anyway enough rambling, we have one battle tonight and that will have to suffice.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Thanks for your overview, no sense in having a bet if no edge or advantage, hopefully the books are not reading your thread .....

Good luck going forward .....

@Coben

 They aren't but they have to run the (9) tonight. I have no personal opinion on if we will win tonight or not but I like these kinds of setups. My model has it (10) and they are trapped at (9).

Kind of like an nhl total that the books run at 6.5 because they have to. They can't bump to (7).

Sort of a boring day for me and no I won't force a play during these 100 plays. I have to follow exactly as I've laid out things. 

Falcon Sports 

Here is something.

Who can get a good weather report on the Marshall game tomorrow night?

Anyone have something on this that u can trust.

Falcon Sports 

Pinny moved the line to 9.5

Does that change anything?