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Freak Pics!!! (Week 1)

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Posted: #101
Jimmy, what do you think about FL -29.  I jumped on this early thinking the line would change.  Not so much...
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by Sicsemper:

Jimmy I tailed you and a couple others with great success last year and so I decided to join this year. I like most of your picks but I'm on Vandy +7. But here's my question. Instead of playing your picks straight up you're parlaying with Bama and I understand the difference in payout, but if Bama goes down you've lost your whole card and just for argument sake let's say every other play would have been a winner. So instead of making a lot in that scenario, you've lost a bundle, and BTW I'm leaning Bama too. I would appreciate your response and please understand I'm not ragging on you but just trying to figure out if what you're doing makes sense.


Like I always say, gambling is only a problem if you lose.

Yes, my success is tied to a single game this week.  Obviously if I had doubts about the outcome of that game I wouldn't have bet it that way.  I think since I've been doing "Max Bet" plays (probably around 8 years now) I've only lost 1.  But let's say for argument's sake say I only hit 2 out of 3 my "Max Bet" games.  Do the math. I would still likely be way ahead assuming I hit about 50% of my other games.  Of course past results don't guarantee future success, but I seriously doubt I will only hit 2 out of 3 of my "Max Bet" plays.

Obviously this is a high risk high reward strategy that is not for everyone.




 
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Posted: #103

I understand the sending a msg viewpoint and I thought the same thing,but if he is doing that they BETTER BE SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER..,U are talking about some kids that have made A LOT of plays..I dont agree with a lot of things Ive seen on both sides of the ball...but Auburn gets my full support..just not put my money on them except for total and 2nd half.I wouldve called Borges a great coordinator 10 yrs ago..now?MY GRADE C+ for Borges..U look at his offenses at Auburn..production ranked i 100 s his last yr on the flip side Tuberville firing him aft they just won the Iron Bowl for 4th time under Borges watch was absolutely Tubs get out of town pass.

 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by BiggdaddySHY:

Jimmy, what do you think about FL -29.  I jumped on this early thinking the line would change.  Not so much...


I noticed that the line dropped to 28.5 yesterday at BM.

I really like Florida this season as evidenced by my futures bet that the Gators win the SEC East this season.  I really like both of their QBs and I also think Brent Pease will give that offense a much needed shot in the arm.  If I bet this game, and I gave it some very serious consideration, I would take Florida.  But ultimately I'm not real comfortable laying over 4 TDs with an unproven offense that is going to rotate 2 QBs in week 1.  That said, I don't think Florida is a bad play.


 
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Posted: #105
Love your confidence in Bama Jimmy
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

I understand the sending a msg viewpoint and I thought the same thing,but if he is doing that they BETTER BE SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER..,U are talking about some kids that have made A LOT of plays..I dont agree with a lot of things Ive seen on both sides of the ball...but Auburn gets my full support..just not put my money on them except for total and 2nd half.I wouldve called Borges a great coordinator 10 yrs ago..now?MY GRADE C+ for Borges..U look at his offenses at Auburn..production ranked i 100 s his last yr on the flip side Tuberville firing him aft they just won the Iron Bowl for 4th time under Borges watch was absolutely Tubs get out of town pass.



I think people get a little too hung up on a player being a starter.  I know that Saban plays backups more than some of the starters sometimes depending on the match-up.  Now if those guys didn't play at all in week 1, then I would be concerned.  My guess is those guys will play a bunch, and if they have the right attitudes, they'll be starters by week 4.

 
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Posted: #107
GL Jimmy
 
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Posted: #108
BOL THIS YEAR
 
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Posted: #109

gl brother

 
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Posted: #110
 low volume high percentage plays ...like it
 
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Posted: #111
Freak out, gl this year buddy
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by CalBear:

Freak out, gl this year buddy


Jimmydafreak freaking out!!!   


 
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Posted: #113
Well said Jimmy, I always respect your take on this team and the one time i recall going against you and bama was Penn State last year and losing however bama did not blow them out - but they covered and that is all that matters





 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by rarafromphilly:

i must be the only one who thinks bama will win by 10or13?

no you are not the only one. but the list is very short..

"The road less traveled is the road most profitable"

Gold_Rush 
 
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Posted: #115
Also like the Clemson and Bama plays.. I got Clemson at -3.5, so I might not play that, but I got Bama at -13.5.. So like that play alot.. Best of luck this week bro
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:

Well said Jimmy, I always respect your take on this team and the one time i recall going against you and bama was Penn State last year and losing however bama did not blow them out - but they covered and that is all that matters






I guess it depends on what you call a blow out, because I certainly consider it a blow out.  Nevertheless, you may recall that until Penn State scored a meaningless touchdown and two point conversion against the 3rd string defense in the waning seconds of the 4th quarter, I had predicted the exact final score in that game . . . 27-3.  The game played out exactly as I said it would in my pregame writeup.


 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by oahuboy808:

Also like the Clemson and Bama plays.. I got Clemson at -3.5, so I might not play that, but I got Bama at -13.5.. So like that play alot.. Best of luck this week bro


Great to see you back OB!!!  You might want to check the line again because Clemson is sitting at -3 at BM right now.


 
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Posted: #118
I love SC, MSU and Bama.  Good luck.
 
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Posted: #119

SC freaky !

bol this year

 
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Posted: #120
Good luck this season Freak.  Horns D going to be lights out this season.  Could be the best D in 10 years and will create favorable betting opportunities against alleged "great" passing offenses.

WV is a prime example :)


 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by kroch:

Good luck this season Freak.  Horns D going to be lights out this season.  Could be the best D in 10 years and will create favorable betting opportunities against alleged "great" passing offenses.

WV is a prime example :)




Yes, their defense is elite.  They'll keep the Horns in every game.  Now if you can just get the defense to play QB they'd run away with the BIG 12. 


 
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Posted: #122
Adding:

.25 Units Northern Colorado +42.5 @ Utah


 
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Posted: #123
 
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Posted: #124
BOL
 
 
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Posted: #125
Bol tonight & rest of season...
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