Hey jimmy got a stat for ya. Since Saban became the HC of Bama after Bama loses a game the next time they face the team they lost to Bama is 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS
First time posting, so bare with me.
I think the reason this BYU/Texas line is higher than expected is based on the fact that both teams have revamped their offenses and are trying to run plays about every 15 seconds. This will dramatically increase the number of snaps over the course of the game. Add this to the fact that they will be playing this game at elevation (a new experience for Texas now that Colorado is in the Pac12) and you could see some pretty exhausted defenses.
The counter argument is that BYU's offense is awful. If you go 3 and out every series, the opponent's defense won't be on the field long enough to get tired. BYU's sophmore QB is athletic, but he only completed around 30% of his throws last week. I think that number will improve this week because they will be playing at home in good weather and they do get their best receiver back from injury, but it's hard to see them scoring much.
At the end of the day the total is a no play for me because of my concerns about the number of plays and the elevation. I think the best bet on this game is Texas -7.
JDF - I started reading your analysis late last season. Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the games. It's always an insightgul read.
First time posting, so bare with me.
I think the reason this BYU/Texas line is higher than expected is based on the fact that both teams have revamped their offenses and are trying to run plays about every 15 seconds. This will dramatically increase the number of snaps over the course of the game. Add this to the fact that they will be playing this game at elevation (a new experience for Texas now that Colorado is in the Pac12) and you could see some pretty exhausted defenses.
The counter argument is that BYU's offense is awful. If you go 3 and out every series, the opponent's defense won't be on the field long enough to get tired. BYU's sophmore QB is athletic, but he only completed around 30% of his throws last week. I think that number will improve this week because they will be playing at home in good weather and they do get their best receiver back from injury, but it's hard to see them scoring much.
At the end of the day the total is a no play for me because of my concerns about the number of plays and the elevation. I think the best bet on this game is Texas -7.
JDF - I started reading your analysis late last season. Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the games. It's always an insightgul read.
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