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Freak Pics!!! (Week 4)

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Posted: #26
BOL Bud I am waiting to hammer that WV TT.

Played Gtech @ 14 and LSU @ 20

 
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Posted: #27
 
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Posted: #28
WV/MARYLAND O/U now down to 60 - even better!
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by xxlocalboyxx:

hey jimmy can you explain  Washington State -20?


COLORADO--- NUFF SAID
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by xxlocalboyxx:

hey jimmy can you explain  Washington State -20?


I think game offers us the perfect convergence of two powerful betting angles.  The first is to fade a brutal Colorado team regardless of who they play, and the second is Mike Leach's burning desire to run up the score on someone as high as he can.  With this game being Leach's first conference game in Pullman, we can have confidence as bettors that Leach will do everything in his power to deliver the blowout victory that the home crowd has be itching to see.  If Leach is up by 35 with a minute to go in the game, he'll be throwing the ball in attempt to win by 42.

Conversely, this will be Colorado's second consecutive road trip, with the previous one being a 69-14 blowout loss to Fresno State.  The Buffaloes are a team in complete disarray at the moment.  Second year head coach Jon Embree appears to be in completely over his head.  Despite what Colorado coaches are saying, the Buffaloes don't appear to have a true starting QB.  Jordan Webb began the season as the starter, but their QB carousel has included three different guys, with probably the best of the three (sophomore Nick Hirschman) receiving the least amount of playing time.  Apparently Webb is still the starter, but most coaches don't give back up QBs "experience under fire" in the 1st quarter of ballgames.  See Link.

https://blogs.denverpost.com/colleges/2012/09/20/jordan-webb-starter-colorado-qb-coach/24880/

In the end I think we see a Washington State rout that looks very similar to the Fresno rout of last week.


 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by SqueaksUofA:

 BOL I have to wait for my TT, but with you on the majority of the others. I also have some of your plays parlayed with a few of my own for 1 unit plays.

One in particular that I like is UCLA -7, even though I know the line has dropped dramatically since the open i'm not that worried. I love what Jim Mora is doing with them this year, and I think he has them riding high right now. I know they will letdown eventually, but I don't see that happening until later on in the year (possibly on the road since they have Fr QB). They have a very favorable conference schedule - with their toughest road games at Cal and at ASU & not having to play Oregon. Hundley has impressed me a lot as a freshman(interesting to see what happens in a tough road matchup) and Franklin has been a beast so far. Do you have any input on this matchup or UCLA in particular?

BOL again and Roll Tide! 


The Oregon State/UCLA line started out at close to 2 TDs.  With the line now down to 7 I think UCLA is a much more viable play.  The Beavers are also usually pretty brutal away from home.  I lean Bruins.


 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by tankstevens:

Solid plays, worried for your teaser tomorrow though, I just think ULM gets rolled at home by the Bears. Hopefully ULM loses in a tight one, as I have Baylor at a pk.

Regarding Miami @ G. Tech, are you worried about Miami's speed on defense? I was thinking that physically they can handle G.Tech's offense with their top flight speed, does that concern you? They have the athletes to do this.


I worry about it too.  Art Briles is not shy about running the score up.  Home dogs on weeknight games, however, are typically a pretty good bet.  Hopefully that trend holds true tonight.


 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyRoll64:

Jimmy,

If you were playing the O/U tonight of 75.5 which way would your numbers have you lean? Thanks!


I'm seeing a total number of 69.5.  I think this is a high scoring game, but I don't think I could bring myself to bet OVER 75.5.  I think I would take a stab at UNDER 38 (1st Half) if that's available to you.


 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by BiggdaddySHY:

 GL this week Freak a nd really like the card.  Ofcourse I am on LSU this week 1st time all year for a homer, and I am still going large on Arky.  Wilson cleared and he is worth more than 2 points.  Tailing you and others on Wash St.

Keep the momentum alive brother



I Like the Razorbacks a lot, but I'm going to lay off of them in favor of other games I like a little better.  Solid bet though IMO.

Geaux LSU


 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyRoll64:

WV/MARYLAND O/U now down to 60 - even better!


I see that.  I can't understand what is driving the price down.  It must be a service release on the under.  I see no way this game stays under.  West Virginia will get into the 50s by themselves, if not the 60s.  This is a huge rivalry game so I don't see Dana Holgorsen pulling Geno Smith or letting off of the throttle.

  Geno Smith has throw 9 incompletions the entire season.  He is the Heisman frontrunner at this point IMO, and I think he'll score more points with Heisman voters in this game.

 
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Posted: #36
Jimmy

I put down $100 for a chance at $450 on a 5 team 6 point teaser.

Baylor/ULM U75.5 = 38-34
Arkansas -1
UCLA -1.5
Washington St -14
LSU -14.5
 
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Posted: #37
Hey Jimmy- for th Baylor/ULM game tonight do you think the under 35 first half is a good bet or is that cutting it too close?
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyRoll64:

Jimmy

I put down $100 for a chance at $450 on a 5 team 6 point teaser.

Baylor/ULM U75.5 = 38-34
Arkansas -1
UCLA -1.5
Washington St -14
LSU -14.5



Looks good to me.  I agree with every play.  I hope you hit!!!


 
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Posted: #39
The 1st half Alabama line came out at 32.  I was hoping for a line south of 27.  At 32 this is no play.

Florida Atlantic @ Alabama -32 (1st Half)

*** NO PLAY ***


*** Line is an estimate


Mississippi @ Tulane UNDER 28 (1st Half)

*** Line confirmed
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I am going to elevate the Maryland @ West Virginia OVER 61 to a "Best Bet."

Maryland @ West Virginia  OVER 61  *** Best Bet ***

the way these college games have been going under im scared of it but I like that u made it a best bet im on it

 
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Posted: #41
jimmy, you deserve to get laid after 11-0 BB


 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

The 1st half Alabama line came out at 32.  I was hoping for a line south of 27.  At 32 this is no play.

Florida Atlantic @ Alabama -32 (1st Half)

*** NO PLAY ***


*** Line is an estimate


Mississippi @ Tulane UNDER 28 (1st Half)

*** Line confirmed


Delete "*** Line is an estimate" from this post.  Typo.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by rja9:

Hey Jimmy- for th Baylor/ULM game tonight do you think the under 35 first half is a good bet or is that cutting it too close?


I wouldn't play it, but I would lean very slightly to the under.  I do so because ULM does not exactly have a quick-strike offense.  They are primarily a short passing team with some runs mixed in to keep the defense honest.  It is not beyond them to put together some time consuming 6-minute type of drives.


 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by abizzo24:

jimmy, you deserve to get laid after 11-0 BB



I know right??? 
 
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Posted: #45

jimmy, w is ur best bet ths weekend, and tonite game ? please post appreciate. i like to play teaser 3 tm special teaser 10&6 ( ul monroe+oklahoma+wash st) w do u think? please be advice!!!

 

 
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Posted: #46

Jimmy: What are ur thoughts on Louisville and South Carolina games.  Ski

 

Tks for ur football knowledge.

 
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Posted: #47
Hey Jimmy keep up the good work. Auburn team total at 14.5 that is a really good under play. 
 
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Posted: #48
 
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Posted: #49
12-0 on your BB and MB.. you are a sicko! Keep it up man!
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by jhn_doan40:

jimmy, w is ur best bet ths weekend, and tonite game ? please post appreciate. i like to play teaser 3 tm special teaser 10&6 ( ul monroe+oklahoma+wash st) w do u think? please be advice!!!



My tops plays this week are LSU -20.5 and Auburn Team Total UNDER 14 as described in Post #1.

Here are my basic two rules for teasers.  Although I can't say I will never tease a favorite, I prefer, and almost always tease underdogs.  Second, I only like to tease games that I think will be low-scoring.  In low-scoring games, points are at a premium.  In high-scoring  games points hold a lot less value. 

I believe the Baylor @ ULM game will be high scoring, so even though I do have a teaser on the game, I don't consider this game to be a prime candidate for teasing.  I did so because I leaned all three underdogs in the weeknight games, and they all teased to very nice numbers (11, 14.5, 14.5).  I also did it for the slightly higher payout 6:5.

That said, I like all 3 sides of the games you selected.


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