Tennessee vs app state. Don't really like Tennessee offense coordinator. Probably going to just rely on defense and shut out app state. Better play the under?
BIG PICTURE .....DB
App St plays one of these type games (most) every year.....how do they do?........lose BIG
How 'bout the Vols....will App St have their FULL FOCUS? *YES.....Hokies on deck.....BUT they DESPERATELY need a STRONG start here.....can't have ANY negative vibes going into a ROUGH early schedule
AND......most importantly....they need to play for FOUR quarters.....> CLOSE strong as well.....gave up 30 to BGreen LY....lost several games late....played to NOT lose / no killer instinct.....Vol coaches have this figured out TOO
App St should get destroyed.....no need to be tricky here.....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:
Tennessee vs app state. Don't really like Tennessee offense coordinator. Probably going to just rely on defense and shut out app state. Better play the under?
BIG PICTURE .....DB
App St plays one of these type games (most) every year.....how do they do?........lose BIG
How 'bout the Vols....will App St have their FULL FOCUS? *YES.....Hokies on deck.....BUT they DESPERATELY need a STRONG start here.....can't have ANY negative vibes going into a ROUGH early schedule
AND......most importantly....they need to play for FOUR quarters.....> CLOSE strong as well.....gave up 30 to BGreen LY....lost several games late....played to NOT lose / no killer instinct.....Vol coaches have this figured out TOO
App St should get destroyed.....no need to be tricky here.....
wisky front seven strength of the d tons of depth. top 20 front 7 in the country. Olive singapolu junior nose gaurd 6'2" 340 lbs is a guy to keep an eye on early. Lester doesnt seem to cover these types of lines and wisky doesnt get lose by 10+ too often .. per gold sheets "Wiscy has lost by10 points
or fewer in 19 of its last 21 setbacks !"
2Half could be golden!!!
not to get too DEEP here................
But lets face it....appealing favorites like LSU.....Clemson....OU...etc *are a hellluva lot more FUN to talk about.....beating the crap outta the other team....Wisky or Auburn just to keep it close?.....not so much......ever see a ton of DOG threads the next week?...."hey I TOLD you Wisky was gonna almost win!"..........
SO.....the MOB mentality rules again.....if Clemson destroys Auburn.....LSU beats the helll outta Wisky....they can talk about it all of next week......or longer *joining in on a beat-down >> then bragging about it with your buddies afterwards...has always been a popular thing to do....
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by traderjoe13:
wisky front seven strength of the d tons of depth. top 20 front 7 in the country. Olive singapolu junior nose gaurd 6'2" 340 lbs is a guy to keep an eye on early. Lester doesnt seem to cover these types of lines and wisky doesnt get lose by 10+ too often .. per gold sheets "Wiscy has lost by10 points
or fewer in 19 of its last 21 setbacks !"
2Half could be golden!!!
not to get too DEEP here................
But lets face it....appealing favorites like LSU.....Clemson....OU...etc *are a hellluva lot more FUN to talk about.....beating the crap outta the other team....Wisky or Auburn just to keep it close?.....not so much......ever see a ton of DOG threads the next week?...."hey I TOLD you Wisky was gonna almost win!"..........
SO.....the MOB mentality rules again.....if Clemson destroys Auburn.....LSU beats the helll outta Wisky....they can talk about it all of next week......or longer *joining in on a beat-down >> then bragging about it with your buddies afterwards...has always been a popular thing to do....
What's your thoughts on Clemson game. Laying the 7 or waiting till half?
BIG PICTURE DB.......................................
DABO...laying 7 on the road to a desperate GUS / Auburn? *Is THIS....the best spot to play Clemson ya' think....?
you like all these popular favs / big games.....play 'em man they have a good shot to cover....not my style *you will literally NEVER see one on my card........unless the number is WAY off....which seldom happens
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Dbreezyy:
What's your thoughts on Clemson game. Laying the 7 or waiting till half?
BIG PICTURE DB.......................................
DABO...laying 7 on the road to a desperate GUS / Auburn? *Is THIS....the best spot to play Clemson ya' think....?
you like all these popular favs / big games.....play 'em man they have a good shot to cover....not my style *you will literally NEVER see one on my card........unless the number is WAY off....which seldom happens
Bookie, Not enough talk about Colorado. PAC 12 probably to tough for many wins but I envision a improved team that may cover some spreads. Very curios to see that 1st game against Colo. St.
I hate to see a +8. You can sit on a +8 late in the game and get the Moose in your behind. Then your team runs out the clock slowly like water torture.
What you got on Colo. ?
GL, Doc
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Bookie, Not enough talk about Colorado. PAC 12 probably to tough for many wins but I envision a improved team that may cover some spreads. Very curios to see that 1st game against Colo. St.
I hate to see a +8. You can sit on a +8 late in the game and get the Moose in your behind. Then your team runs out the clock slowly like water torture.
DONE.....with week 1 boys...... $ week 2 lines / leans.....I will post tomorrow or sooner.....
Week 2.......... looks DAMM good * hint...figure out NOW.....who you're looking to bet NEXT week....watch the games this week.....with this in mind...also think about what number you're looking for.....> YOU WILL ALWAYS WIN MONEY....IF YOU DO THIS.........
*HOWEVER....IF YOU WAIT....UNTIL NEXT WEEK TO START ....waste time here bittchhing about bad beats.....fixed games / bragging on yourself ...etc......YOU'RE WAY BEHIND.......
*I take game notes on the teams I'm looking at (for next week)
eg. looking at PURDUE.....getting points (early ) at home vs Cinn Cinn with Houston in 5 days (huge game)......Boilers only Nevada....and NEED this one....Cinn not really *so I'll be checking that PU / EKU boxscore for any (surprises)....as well as Cinn / Tenn-Martin...focusing on possible match-up issues
Army +17 Arizona -1 FIU +10' Toledo +10' / Col -2 *NMSU +7
maybe
SMU -9' Miami, O. +28 Lamar +12 New Hampshire +33' N Iowa +9'
* That NMSU was a decent idea EARLIER.....if a full unit bet I would CONSIDER.....buying out....for reasons I mentioned...
congrats to those that jumped on the EARLY FCS numbers.... Idaho -6.....New Mexico -12.....I stared out like a damm fool...
BOL this weekend boys............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
DONE.....with week 1 boys...... $ week 2 lines / leans.....I will post tomorrow or sooner.....
Week 2.......... looks DAMM good * hint...figure out NOW.....who you're looking to bet NEXT week....watch the games this week.....with this in mind...also think about what number you're looking for.....> YOU WILL ALWAYS WIN MONEY....IF YOU DO THIS.........
*HOWEVER....IF YOU WAIT....UNTIL NEXT WEEK TO START ....waste time here bittchhing about bad beats.....fixed games / bragging on yourself ...etc......YOU'RE WAY BEHIND.......
*I take game notes on the teams I'm looking at (for next week)
eg. looking at PURDUE.....getting points (early ) at home vs Cinn Cinn with Houston in 5 days (huge game)......Boilers only Nevada....and NEED this one....Cinn not really *so I'll be checking that PU / EKU boxscore for any (surprises)....as well as Cinn / Tenn-Martin...focusing on possible match-up issues
Bookie, Not enough talk about Colorado. PAC 12 probably to tough for many wins but I envision a improved team that may cover some spreads. Very curios to see that 1st game against Colo. St.
I hate to see a +8. You can sit on a +8 late in the game and get the Moose in your behind. Then your team runs out the clock slowly like water torture.
What you got on Colo. ?
GL, Doc
I like Colorado too....4 wins would be a (pretty decent) year....5 a great year....both mean he'll probably get fired?..... *they're REALLY solid at home....covered 13 of last 16 I believe.........I threw 'em in a small 6 pt teaser just for grins.............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
Bookie, Not enough talk about Colorado. PAC 12 probably to tough for many wins but I envision a improved team that may cover some spreads. Very curios to see that 1st game against Colo. St.
I hate to see a +8. You can sit on a +8 late in the game and get the Moose in your behind. Then your team runs out the clock slowly like water torture.
What you got on Colo. ?
GL, Doc
I like Colorado too....4 wins would be a (pretty decent) year....5 a great year....both mean he'll probably get fired?..... *they're REALLY solid at home....covered 13 of last 16 I believe.........I threw 'em in a small 6 pt teaser just for grins.............
Excellent work, BA!! Really appreciate all the insight that you bring to the forums. Quick question: when you move plays to the "like"/full unit category like you did w Tulsa, did you play it at the current line of -5/-5.5 or did you just add some more money to the already placed -3.5 from 1.5 weeks ago? Thanks in advance!!
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
DONE.....with week 1 boys...... $ week 2 lines / leans.....I will post tomorrow or sooner.....
Week 2.......... looks DAMM good * hint...figure out NOW.....who you're looking to bet NEXT week....watch the games this week.....with this in mind...also think about what number you're looking for.....> YOU WILL ALWAYS WIN MONEY....IF YOU DO THIS.........
*HOWEVER....IF YOU WAIT....UNTIL NEXT WEEK TO START ....waste time here bittchhing about bad beats.....fixed games / bragging on yourself ...etc......YOU'RE WAY BEHIND.......
*I take game notes on the teams I'm looking at (for next week)
eg. looking at PURDUE.....getting points (early ) at home vs Cinn Cinn with Houston in 5 days (huge game)......Boilers only Nevada....and NEED this one....Cinn not really *so I'll be checking that PU / EKU boxscore for any (surprises)....as well as Cinn / Tenn-Martin...focusing on possible match-up issues
Army +17 Arizona -1 FIU +10' Toledo +10' / Col -2 *NMSU +7
maybe
SMU -9' Miami, O. +28 Lamar +12 New Hampshire +33' N Iowa +9'
* That NMSU was a decent idea EARLIER.....if a full unit bet I would CONSIDER.....buying out....for reasons I mentioned...
congrats to those that jumped on the EARLY FCS numbers.... Idaho -6.....New Mexico -12.....I stared out like a damm fool...
BOL this weekend boys............
0
Excellent work, BA!! Really appreciate all the insight that you bring to the forums. Quick question: when you move plays to the "like"/full unit category like you did w Tulsa, did you play it at the current line of -5/-5.5 or did you just add some more money to the already placed -3.5 from 1.5 weeks ago? Thanks in advance!!
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
DONE.....with week 1 boys...... $ week 2 lines / leans.....I will post tomorrow or sooner.....
Week 2.......... looks DAMM good * hint...figure out NOW.....who you're looking to bet NEXT week....watch the games this week.....with this in mind...also think about what number you're looking for.....> YOU WILL ALWAYS WIN MONEY....IF YOU DO THIS.........
*HOWEVER....IF YOU WAIT....UNTIL NEXT WEEK TO START ....waste time here bittchhing about bad beats.....fixed games / bragging on yourself ...etc......YOU'RE WAY BEHIND.......
*I take game notes on the teams I'm looking at (for next week)
eg. looking at PURDUE.....getting points (early ) at home vs Cinn Cinn with Houston in 5 days (huge game)......Boilers only Nevada....and NEED this one....Cinn not really *so I'll be checking that PU / EKU boxscore for any (surprises)....as well as Cinn / Tenn-Martin...focusing on possible match-up issues
BA, Not sure how you feel about this but if I think a bet is solid I put a unit on it. If a bet is sorta wishy washy and it's only worth a .5 play then that obviously means I don't really like that play enough. Why would I make any bet at any time I'm not totally confident in?
This 10 u, 5u, 2u just sounds dumb azz crazy to me. Never figured it out. If you like a game x10 then bet it but for Gods sake leave that x2 alone. Your not confident enough on that game.
There may not be 3 people on Covers that have the slightest clue what I'm saying.
I guess I'm a little fried after 2 months of trying to figure out how I can win a few hundred.
Stay hard, Doc
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BA, Not sure how you feel about this but if I think a bet is solid I put a unit on it. If a bet is sorta wishy washy and it's only worth a .5 play then that obviously means I don't really like that play enough. Why would I make any bet at any time I'm not totally confident in?
This 10 u, 5u, 2u just sounds dumb azz crazy to me. Never figured it out. If you like a game x10 then bet it but for Gods sake leave that x2 alone. Your not confident enough on that game.
There may not be 3 people on Covers that have the slightest clue what I'm saying.
I guess I'm a little fried after 2 months of trying to figure out how I can win a few hundred.
added to it TD....meaning I really like Tulsa here...even at 5ish *but you're right since I didn't bump them up until AFTER line went up shoulda just left them there as smaller play maybe............
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by trolldawg:
added to it TD....meaning I really like Tulsa here...even at 5ish *but you're right since I didn't bump them up until AFTER line went up shoulda just left them there as smaller play maybe............
BA, Not sure how you feel about this but if I think a bet is solid I put a unit on it. If a bet is sorta wishy washy and it's only worth a .5 play then that obviously means I don't really like that play enough. Why would I make any bet at any time I'm not totally confident in?
This 10 u, 5u, 2u just sounds dumb azz crazy to me. Never figured it out. If you like a game x10 then bet it but for Gods sake leave that x2 alone. Your not confident enough on that game.
There may not be 3 people on Covers that have the slightest clue what I'm saying.
I guess I'm a little fried after 2 months of trying to figure out how I can win a few hundred.
Stay hard, Doc
IMO.....you can't really like ALL bets equally * I might make 15 plays /week or more....so I'm not gonna make them all 1 unit +.......
As long as you stay at / under ONE UNIT or so.....as I do....doesn't seem to matter much....as you mentioned....the wild azz difference........5/10/20/50 units is stupid.... and/or made up....
HERE....recall I just present my betting worksheet......showing what I played....thinking about playing.....as my HUNCHES in the past have been (often) better than my actual plays.... *I offer IDEAS......not plays.
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
BA, Not sure how you feel about this but if I think a bet is solid I put a unit on it. If a bet is sorta wishy washy and it's only worth a .5 play then that obviously means I don't really like that play enough. Why would I make any bet at any time I'm not totally confident in?
This 10 u, 5u, 2u just sounds dumb azz crazy to me. Never figured it out. If you like a game x10 then bet it but for Gods sake leave that x2 alone. Your not confident enough on that game.
There may not be 3 people on Covers that have the slightest clue what I'm saying.
I guess I'm a little fried after 2 months of trying to figure out how I can win a few hundred.
Stay hard, Doc
IMO.....you can't really like ALL bets equally * I might make 15 plays /week or more....so I'm not gonna make them all 1 unit +.......
As long as you stay at / under ONE UNIT or so.....as I do....doesn't seem to matter much....as you mentioned....the wild azz difference........5/10/20/50 units is stupid.... and/or made up....
HERE....recall I just present my betting worksheet......showing what I played....thinking about playing.....as my HUNCHES in the past have been (often) better than my actual plays.... *I offer IDEAS......not plays.
hey wassup man....you're 0-1 no biggie....it's a LONG season.... *how much ya' got on the Irish?..............
Ha..App St prob gonna win no big deal. I haven't bet the game yet but I'm sure I will. I'm really excited for the season to start but have to wait that extra day for that game really sucks ha.
0
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
WHO......the helll are you?...
hey wassup man....you're 0-1 no biggie....it's a LONG season.... *how much ya' got on the Irish?..............
Ha..App St prob gonna win no big deal. I haven't bet the game yet but I'm sure I will. I'm really excited for the season to start but have to wait that extra day for that game really sucks ha.
thanks BA, im always interested in your thoughts... I just wanted to add that John O'Korn transfered to Michigan from Houston, where he started his freshman season. Im sure you know this, but didnt see him under key transfer players...
Another thing that is tough to do, but I have found it beneficial is to get to know what ref's will be calling the game. It doesnt always help, but you will start to notice, that certain Ref's call more Pass Interferance than other refs. Some will allow defenders to be extremely physical with WR's. and others dont call holding. It's just another variable that can help you decide if you want to pull the trigger on a game.
0
thanks BA, im always interested in your thoughts... I just wanted to add that John O'Korn transfered to Michigan from Houston, where he started his freshman season. Im sure you know this, but didnt see him under key transfer players...
Another thing that is tough to do, but I have found it beneficial is to get to know what ref's will be calling the game. It doesnt always help, but you will start to notice, that certain Ref's call more Pass Interferance than other refs. Some will allow defenders to be extremely physical with WR's. and others dont call holding. It's just another variable that can help you decide if you want to pull the trigger on a game.
There's also a pretty interesting approach, that a few people have been using as an investment tool. It's pretty simple, any college football game where the favorite is laying at least 21 points, they put a max bet on the favoirte money line. After 5 years of doing this, the smallest return was 2%. the highest was around 14%, and over the course of the past 5 years. the average return is just below 10%... Obviously this isint a way to get rich, but considering my bank offers interest rates of .0.3% I wouldnt complain about even 3%
0
There's also a pretty interesting approach, that a few people have been using as an investment tool. It's pretty simple, any college football game where the favorite is laying at least 21 points, they put a max bet on the favoirte money line. After 5 years of doing this, the smallest return was 2%. the highest was around 14%, and over the course of the past 5 years. the average return is just below 10%... Obviously this isint a way to get rich, but considering my bank offers interest rates of .0.3% I wouldnt complain about even 3%
I like Colorado too....4 wins would be a (pretty decent) year....5 a great year....both mean he'll probably get fired?..... *they're REALLY solid at home....covered 13 of last 16 I believe.........I threw 'em in a small 6 pt teaser just for grins.............
hello BA, can i call you BAN?
BA-father sounds pretty old, agree?
got caught in your thread, i can't read and don't know how to write but i love to gam.....lol
i couldn't get my eyes off on this game, bro. initially, lean toward the STATE but after saw your post kinda shaking abit. colo had a hard time cover (2) previous meetings. STATE has dominant running game and TOP.
most importantly, i see this line is completely inflated, any update on teams stats?
thanks in advance and enjoy your weekend
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Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:
I like Colorado too....4 wins would be a (pretty decent) year....5 a great year....both mean he'll probably get fired?..... *they're REALLY solid at home....covered 13 of last 16 I believe.........I threw 'em in a small 6 pt teaser just for grins.............
hello BA, can i call you BAN?
BA-father sounds pretty old, agree?
got caught in your thread, i can't read and don't know how to write but i love to gam.....lol
i couldn't get my eyes off on this game, bro. initially, lean toward the STATE but after saw your post kinda shaking abit. colo had a hard time cover (2) previous meetings. STATE has dominant running game and TOP.
most importantly, i see this line is completely inflated, any update on teams stats?
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....checking in and finding page after page of your wisdom....just awesome.
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