Believe they split with vs Florida st. and AT Clemson ... Could go 7-1 in Conference ,... Thinking FSU beats Clemson , but Noles lose 2+ other ACC games .. 6-2 vs ACC sounds right
Waiting for a better Line to throw more down ... Maybe $500 in TOTAL ...
COULD EASILY HEDGE THIS DOWN THE ROAD
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
LOUISVILLE TO WIN ATLANTIC DIVISION +630
$250/$1,575
Believe they split with vs Florida st. and AT Clemson ... Could go 7-1 in Conference ,... Thinking FSU beats Clemson , but Noles lose 2+ other ACC games .. 6-2 vs ACC sounds right
Waiting for a better Line to throw more down ... Maybe $500 in TOTAL ...
LOUISVILLE SCHEDULE WITH WIN % ( MY WIN % +Bill Connelly's )
MINE+ BILL C
CHARLOTTE 99.8% /97%
AT SYRACUSE 72%/62% Cuse Offense should be improved , but the D could be SWISS CHEESE ..
FLORIDA STATE 51.5%/46% Close game last year, Home Field advantage could be HUGE .... Hoping for 3+ or more on the GOY LINES)... if the CARDINALS BEAT FSU IT WILL TRIGGER EXCELLENT VALUE IN THE GOY LINES VS THE ACTUAL LINE RELEASED ...
AT MARSHALL 83%/75%
Team total OVER points scored in week might be the play
at CLEMSON 29%/22%
Very Close game last year , Thinking TIGERS WIN here by 7-14 ..
DUKE 91%/78%
With a bye week in between , the CARDINALS SHOULD RUN IT UP , HOPING FOR -10 OR LESS ON GOY LINES .
NC ST 82%/73%
Another good spot for Louisville ..Would bet Louisville -10 or less on GOY lines
at VIRGINIA 71.5%/70%
BRONCO has lots of Great recruits to work with, Cavs could be $$$ ATS down the stretch .. LONDON stunk as a coach , but was an excellent recruiter...THIS GAME IS A PASS ON THE GOY LINES FOR ME
AT BOSTON COLLEGE 78%/64%
Hoping for -5.5 or less on GOY LINES
WAKE FOREST 94.5%/84%
ANOTHER BEAT DOWN ??? HOPING FOR -14 ON GOY LINES
AT HOUSTON 67.5%/65%
Cougars could be a tad overrated entering this season .. Would LOVE +4 OR MORE ON GOY LINES
KENTUCKY 96%/88%
PLEASE GIVE ME UNDER 2 TD'S ON GOY
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
LOUISVILLE SCHEDULE WITH WIN % ( MY WIN % +Bill Connelly's )
MINE+ BILL C
CHARLOTTE 99.8% /97%
AT SYRACUSE 72%/62% Cuse Offense should be improved , but the D could be SWISS CHEESE ..
FLORIDA STATE 51.5%/46% Close game last year, Home Field advantage could be HUGE .... Hoping for 3+ or more on the GOY LINES)... if the CARDINALS BEAT FSU IT WILL TRIGGER EXCELLENT VALUE IN THE GOY LINES VS THE ACTUAL LINE RELEASED ...
AT MARSHALL 83%/75%
Team total OVER points scored in week might be the play
at CLEMSON 29%/22%
Very Close game last year , Thinking TIGERS WIN here by 7-14 ..
DUKE 91%/78%
With a bye week in between , the CARDINALS SHOULD RUN IT UP , HOPING FOR -10 OR LESS ON GOY LINES .
NC ST 82%/73%
Another good spot for Louisville ..Would bet Louisville -10 or less on GOY lines
at VIRGINIA 71.5%/70%
BRONCO has lots of Great recruits to work with, Cavs could be $$$ ATS down the stretch .. LONDON stunk as a coach , but was an excellent recruiter...THIS GAME IS A PASS ON THE GOY LINES FOR ME
AT BOSTON COLLEGE 78%/64%
Hoping for -5.5 or less on GOY LINES
WAKE FOREST 94.5%/84%
ANOTHER BEAT DOWN ??? HOPING FOR -14 ON GOY LINES
AT HOUSTON 67.5%/65%
Cougars could be a tad overrated entering this season .. Would LOVE +4 OR MORE ON GOY LINES
MOST LIKELY NOT BETTING THE SEASON WIN TOTAL FOR LOUISVILLE ...
I BELIEVE THERE IS MUCH MORE VALUE BETTING GOY LINES ON THESE 7 GAMES
FLORIDA STATE 51.5%/46%
WOULD WANT PICK OR +3
DUKE 91%/78%
With a bye week in between , the CARDINALS SHOULD RUN IT UP , HOPING FOR -10 OR LESS ON GOY LINES .
NC ST 82%/73%
Another good spot for Louisville ..Would bet Louisville -10 or less on GOY lines
AT BOSTON COLLEGE 78%/64%
Hoping for -5.5 or less on GOY LINES
WAKE FOREST 94.5%/84%
HOPING FOR -14 ON GOY LINES
AT HOUSTON 67.5%/65%
+4 OR MORE ON GOY LINES
KENTUCKY 96%/88%
PLEASE GIVE ME UNDER 2 TD'S ON GOY
DoubleUp,
FWIW, I recently finished my first pass ACC PR#s. Apparently I'm high on Louisville too. Although I fear their Offense is way too volatile in the running game, hopefully 2016 will offer better consistency and not rely on QB Jackson's legs so much. That's really the main thing to not like about Louisville.
PR #s:
Louisville 82.7
Florida State 88.1 spread for UL: +2.5 to +3
Duke 71.0 UL -14 to -14.5
N.C. State 68.1 UL -17
at Boston College 70.0 UL -9.5 to -10
Wake Forest 66.8 UL -18.5
at Houston 81.9 UL +2
I haven't reviewed the SEC yet so no PR # or line value for vs. Kentucky.
I'm not sure you'll get the GOY lines you're hoping for, but if you do, grab them and lock it in.
TD
0
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
MOST LIKELY NOT BETTING THE SEASON WIN TOTAL FOR LOUISVILLE ...
I BELIEVE THERE IS MUCH MORE VALUE BETTING GOY LINES ON THESE 7 GAMES
FLORIDA STATE 51.5%/46%
WOULD WANT PICK OR +3
DUKE 91%/78%
With a bye week in between , the CARDINALS SHOULD RUN IT UP , HOPING FOR -10 OR LESS ON GOY LINES .
NC ST 82%/73%
Another good spot for Louisville ..Would bet Louisville -10 or less on GOY lines
AT BOSTON COLLEGE 78%/64%
Hoping for -5.5 or less on GOY LINES
WAKE FOREST 94.5%/84%
HOPING FOR -14 ON GOY LINES
AT HOUSTON 67.5%/65%
+4 OR MORE ON GOY LINES
KENTUCKY 96%/88%
PLEASE GIVE ME UNDER 2 TD'S ON GOY
DoubleUp,
FWIW, I recently finished my first pass ACC PR#s. Apparently I'm high on Louisville too. Although I fear their Offense is way too volatile in the running game, hopefully 2016 will offer better consistency and not rely on QB Jackson's legs so much. That's really the main thing to not like about Louisville.
PR #s:
Louisville 82.7
Florida State 88.1 spread for UL: +2.5 to +3
Duke 71.0 UL -14 to -14.5
N.C. State 68.1 UL -17
at Boston College 70.0 UL -9.5 to -10
Wake Forest 66.8 UL -18.5
at Houston 81.9 UL +2
I haven't reviewed the SEC yet so no PR # or line value for vs. Kentucky.
I'm not sure you'll get the GOY lines you're hoping for, but if you do, grab them and lock it in.
FWIW, I recently finished my first pass ACC PR#s. Apparently I'm high on Louisville too. Although I fear their Offense is way too volatile in the running game, hopefully 2016 will offer better consistency and not rely on QB Jackson's legs so much. That's really the main thing to not like about Louisville.
PR #s:
Louisville 82.7
Florida State 88.1 spread for UL: +2.5 to +3
Duke 71.0 UL -14 to -14.5
N.C. State 68.1 UL -17
at Boston College 70.0 UL -9.5 to -10
Wake Forest 66.8 UL -18.5
at Houston 81.9 UL +2
I haven't reviewed the SEC yet so no PR # or line value for vs. Kentucky.
I'm not sure you'll get the GOY lines you're hoping for, but if you do, grab them and lock it in.
TD
REALLY APPRECIATE SEEING YOUR NUMBERS
tHANKS MUCH RESPECT
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:
DoubleUp,
FWIW, I recently finished my first pass ACC PR#s. Apparently I'm high on Louisville too. Although I fear their Offense is way too volatile in the running game, hopefully 2016 will offer better consistency and not rely on QB Jackson's legs so much. That's really the main thing to not like about Louisville.
PR #s:
Louisville 82.7
Florida State 88.1 spread for UL: +2.5 to +3
Duke 71.0 UL -14 to -14.5
N.C. State 68.1 UL -17
at Boston College 70.0 UL -9.5 to -10
Wake Forest 66.8 UL -18.5
at Houston 81.9 UL +2
I haven't reviewed the SEC yet so no PR # or line value for vs. Kentucky.
I'm not sure you'll get the GOY lines you're hoping for, but if you do, grab them and lock it in.
HC Chuck Martin and staff are excellent Recruiters ...Once again the REDHAWKS ranked in the top 3 in the MAC recruiting ( 2nd last year) . Now the Roster is filled with 3 star recruits across the board .. Per 247, Miami now boasts two three-star quarterbacks, two three-star running backs, six three-star receivers, eight three-star offensive linemen, four three-star defensive linemen, two three-star linebackers, and five three-star defensive backs. In the MAC, that will play.
QB Both return , Hoping Gus Ragland wins the Job as he is a dual threat who avg . 6.0 YPC ...Zero Ints in limited action
RB The Top 4 are back including Bowling Ball 5-9 225 LB Alonzo Smith .
WR The Top 10 targets are back .
O Line 11 of the Top 13 are back
D Line 7 of the Top 10 are back including Jones and Allen who combined for 22.5 Tackles for loss
LB 5 of the top 7 are back
SEC 9 of the top 11 are back .
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
MIAMI OHIO ROSTER
HC Chuck Martin and staff are excellent Recruiters ...Once again the REDHAWKS ranked in the top 3 in the MAC recruiting ( 2nd last year) . Now the Roster is filled with 3 star recruits across the board .. Per 247, Miami now boasts two three-star quarterbacks, two three-star running backs, six three-star receivers, eight three-star offensive linemen, four three-star defensive linemen, two three-star linebackers, and five three-star defensive backs. In the MAC, that will play.
QB Both return , Hoping Gus Ragland wins the Job as he is a dual threat who avg . 6.0 YPC ...Zero Ints in limited action
RB The Top 4 are back including Bowling Ball 5-9 225 LB Alonzo Smith .
WR The Top 10 targets are back .
O Line 11 of the Top 13 are back
D Line 7 of the Top 10 are back including Jones and Allen who combined for 22.5 Tackles for loss
Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.
TD
0
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
REALLY APPRECIATE SEEING YOUR NUMBERS
tHANKS MUCH RESPECT
DoubleUp,
Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.
REALLY APPRECIATE SEEING YOUR NUMBERS tHANKS MUCH RESPECT
DoubleUp, Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.TD
We are paddling in the Same Boat .... Really enjoy this time of the season ... Doing work is a major advantage all season Imnho ....
Best of luck BROTHER as always .... Enjoy ur summer ..
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
REALLY APPRECIATE SEEING YOUR NUMBERS tHANKS MUCH RESPECT
DoubleUp, Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.TD
We are paddling in the Same Boat .... Really enjoy this time of the season ... Doing work is a major advantage all season Imnho ....
Best of luck BROTHER as always .... Enjoy ur summer ..
Double, I'm just playing some RSW's that look interesting. Starting to look at teams to make the 6 Bowls. Curious about what you have? Looks to me that Houston has a tougher road than Boise.
I play Tx. teams and the local states the most. I'm looking at UT pretty hard and can't see 8 wins even with a bowl game.
This year they have N. Dame 1st game @ home. Lost 3-38 last year. Last game of the year they have TCU @ home. Lost 7-50 last year. I expect 2 home losses there.
After the win against UTEP they have 2 road games in 3 weeks. @ Cal wont be easy and 50/50 at best. Then @ Ok. St. where a loss is very likely. If they split those they get Okla at the Cotton Bowl and that looks like a massacre.
2-3 with without the TCU game. I concede Iowa St ( 0-24 last year)and @Kansas.
Still only 4 wins with a lot of dog fights left. They get Baylor and W. Virg. at home but I see both of those as favorites.
Not much value playing the under ( maybe a parlay?) but would run from playing that +175 over.
GL, Doc
0
Double, I'm just playing some RSW's that look interesting. Starting to look at teams to make the 6 Bowls. Curious about what you have? Looks to me that Houston has a tougher road than Boise.
I play Tx. teams and the local states the most. I'm looking at UT pretty hard and can't see 8 wins even with a bowl game.
This year they have N. Dame 1st game @ home. Lost 3-38 last year. Last game of the year they have TCU @ home. Lost 7-50 last year. I expect 2 home losses there.
After the win against UTEP they have 2 road games in 3 weeks. @ Cal wont be easy and 50/50 at best. Then @ Ok. St. where a loss is very likely. If they split those they get Okla at the Cotton Bowl and that looks like a massacre.
2-3 with without the TCU game. I concede Iowa St ( 0-24 last year)and @Kansas.
Still only 4 wins with a lot of dog fights left. They get Baylor and W. Virg. at home but I see both of those as favorites.
Not much value playing the under ( maybe a parlay?) but would run from playing that +175 over.
Love this time of year as well. Keep grinding thru the offseason reviews. I've gone back recently to update PR#s to better account for special teams and raw talent. May be 2-3 weeks out, but will post those eventually.
Pecador,
FWIW, I like Texas a lot more than 50/50 at Cal. Not sure how current the SP GOY lines are on the Blog post that Phil Steele put up, but sounds about right for Vegas; Texas -2.5 listed there. Connelly's sbnation preview #s projects Texas -1. And Massey ratings actually has Cal projected fav at -5 (IMO Massey seems to weight the previous season too much in early season games-- can be a big advantage if/when 5D for the most part mirrors their #s on FBS vs. FCS games).
My current PR #s would project a Texas -8 to -9 line at Cal. So, like Texas a lot given the GOY line. Would take it now if offered by 5D. My #s assume Buechele is the QB and he plays through rookie growing pains, but with a high ceiling and plenty of play-making. I've also assumed the Cal D regresses quite a bit with personnel losses combined with that brutal schedule. You could argue that week 3 they won't be as wore out yet on D and put my line closer to -7. Somewhat revenge game for Texas as well; doubt they've forgotten how last year's Cal game ended. Call it a sidenote, but Cal HC Dykes made it somewhat clear in the offseason that he doesn't want to be at Cal forever. Tough place to sustain a winner for a long period of time (administration reasons, facilities, P12 is a deep conf, etc.). Not sure how much that vibe spills over from the coaching staff to the players, but something to keep in mind late in the season.
TD
0
DoubleUp,
Love this time of year as well. Keep grinding thru the offseason reviews. I've gone back recently to update PR#s to better account for special teams and raw talent. May be 2-3 weeks out, but will post those eventually.
Pecador,
FWIW, I like Texas a lot more than 50/50 at Cal. Not sure how current the SP GOY lines are on the Blog post that Phil Steele put up, but sounds about right for Vegas; Texas -2.5 listed there. Connelly's sbnation preview #s projects Texas -1. And Massey ratings actually has Cal projected fav at -5 (IMO Massey seems to weight the previous season too much in early season games-- can be a big advantage if/when 5D for the most part mirrors their #s on FBS vs. FCS games).
My current PR #s would project a Texas -8 to -9 line at Cal. So, like Texas a lot given the GOY line. Would take it now if offered by 5D. My #s assume Buechele is the QB and he plays through rookie growing pains, but with a high ceiling and plenty of play-making. I've also assumed the Cal D regresses quite a bit with personnel losses combined with that brutal schedule. You could argue that week 3 they won't be as wore out yet on D and put my line closer to -7. Somewhat revenge game for Texas as well; doubt they've forgotten how last year's Cal game ended. Call it a sidenote, but Cal HC Dykes made it somewhat clear in the offseason that he doesn't want to be at Cal forever. Tough place to sustain a winner for a long period of time (administration reasons, facilities, P12 is a deep conf, etc.). Not sure how much that vibe spills over from the coaching staff to the players, but something to keep in mind late in the season.
Double, I'm just playing some RSW's that look interesting. Starting to look at teams to make the 6 Bowls. Curious about what you have? Looks to me that Houston has a tougher road than Boise.
I play Tx. teams and the local states the most. I'm looking at UT pretty hard and can't see 8 wins even with a bowl game.
This year they have N. Dame 1st game @ home. Lost 3-38 last year. Last game of the year they have TCU @ home. Lost 7-50 last year. I expect 2 home losses there.
After the win against UTEP they have 2 road games in 3 weeks. @ Cal wont be easy and 50/50 at best. Then @ Ok. St. where a loss is very likely. If they split those they get Okla at the Cotton Bowl and that looks like a massacre.
2-3 with without the TCU game. I concede Iowa St ( 0-24 last year)and @Kansas.
Still only 4 wins with a lot of dog fights left. They get Baylor and W. Virg. at home but I see both of those as favorites.
Not much value playing the under ( maybe a parlay?) but would run from playing that +175 over.
GL, Doc
So sorry I missed your post Brother
MUCH RESPECT
Totally agree TEXAS is NOT winning 9+ Games .... That Juice -230 UNDER is BRUTAL .
Thinking we Can wait and get a MUCH better Regular season win total before the season starts ... THAT SCHEDULE IS B RUTAL
While my Point Spread Rating places them in the TOP 40 overall , 6-6 sounds about right, maybe 7-5 !!! ...
LETS MAKE SOME COIN
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
Double, I'm just playing some RSW's that look interesting. Starting to look at teams to make the 6 Bowls. Curious about what you have? Looks to me that Houston has a tougher road than Boise.
I play Tx. teams and the local states the most. I'm looking at UT pretty hard and can't see 8 wins even with a bowl game.
This year they have N. Dame 1st game @ home. Lost 3-38 last year. Last game of the year they have TCU @ home. Lost 7-50 last year. I expect 2 home losses there.
After the win against UTEP they have 2 road games in 3 weeks. @ Cal wont be easy and 50/50 at best. Then @ Ok. St. where a loss is very likely. If they split those they get Okla at the Cotton Bowl and that looks like a massacre.
2-3 with without the TCU game. I concede Iowa St ( 0-24 last year)and @Kansas.
Still only 4 wins with a lot of dog fights left. They get Baylor and W. Virg. at home but I see both of those as favorites.
Not much value playing the under ( maybe a parlay?) but would run from playing that +175 over.
GL, Doc
So sorry I missed your post Brother
MUCH RESPECT
Totally agree TEXAS is NOT winning 9+ Games .... That Juice -230 UNDER is BRUTAL .
Thinking we Can wait and get a MUCH better Regular season win total before the season starts ... THAT SCHEDULE IS B RUTAL
While my Point Spread Rating places them in the TOP 40 overall , 6-6 sounds about right, maybe 7-5 !!! ...
Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.
TD
DU4L,
5dimes has released some more GOY lines. Louisville is available at +3.5 vs. FSU.
TD
0
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:
DoubleUp,
Working my way through PR#s for Power 5 Conferences recently and I'm starting to realize that I've probably been too critical on several of the most talented teams. I think Louisville may get closer to +3.5 to +4.5 hosting Florida State, rather than a field goal or less. ....still tweaking #s and really just starting on a few conferences. --> games can't get here soon enough so I can actually see some of these teams play and adjust accordingly.
TD
DU4L,
5dimes has released some more GOY lines. Louisville is available at +3.5 vs. FSU.
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the actual in week lines when released ....
GAME OF THE YEAR LINES TO BE RELEASED 
BETTING THE SEASON WIN TOTAL FOR LOUISVILLE ... 
BETTING GOY LINES ON THESE 7 GAMES 
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