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#1
BOWL RECAP
2012 TOP BOWL MINNY +13 WIN
Sides (1*) 1-5-0 Totals 6-2-0
Sides (2*) 12-7-1 MoneyLine/AML 2-6-0 (-3.80)
Won't even comment on overblown underachieving teams and conferences. Should be in Golden Gloves instead of Bowl games. Draw your own conclusions. I Just know all 5 my Louie plays were money. Easy money. Can't do that today, I've already lost 1 bet. GL everyone today
OREG -8 (2*)
OREG -12.5 +130
ORE 1st H -5.5
Win By 11-15 pts +450
Win By 16-20 pts +600
If you've read my past games, you know I weigh distractions. And Chip Kelly hasn't even eaten breakfast and he has the plane fueled to meet Jimmy Haslem in Cleve tomorrow. And I swear by the better D. And you also know I hate chalk and love the value of a dog if I think they have any shot. Key words there, and I don't. I'm wrong alot tho.
These 2 were #1 and #2 on Nov 17 and maybe I'm wrong, but I'm gonna put a lot of weight on those 2 games. Ducks lost 17-14 in OT vs a decent Stanford team, whose D just held Wisky (who avg'd 31 ppg) to 14. Their next lowest offensive output was 42. With an overall avg of 51 ppg. And quite honestly, how many of those games did they pull the plug at the half or 3rd Qtr? And those points with 8 Bowl teams on that schedule. Marcus Mariota has thrown the ball 312 times with 30 TDs and 6 picks. Over the last 6 Games, he's thrown just 1 INT and himself avg'd 80 yds rushing/game. They have a Butkus award finalist on a D that has 39 Forced TO's and a margin of +19. Wildcats similar #'s, with 31 Forced and a +21 margin. You saw some key TO's last night, expect a few tonight, hopefully a couple my way!
Wildcats got blown out by Baylor and scored only 24 vs. a sieve that allowed 38 ppg. and over 500 ypg. And Baylor ran the ball down their throat for 345 yds. That's huge. Especially with a #1 ranking on the line. And in their state rivalry game, they allowed Kansas (yes, that 1-11 team) to run for 195 yds on them. And no roadrunners on Charlie's team. Everyone yester talked about Gator speed. Right. Tonight you'll see speed.
KSU is 6-9 in Bowls and 1-5 last 6, losing last 4 ATS. Don't get me wrong here. KSU great team and Bill Snyder one classy coach and Collin Klein's season and trip to NY says it all about his talent.
If KSU has a shot here, they have to hope Klein can control the clock and hope to win the TO's. I don't see them covering the spread here...I think they either win it outright or get blown out. Yes, they're gonna score some points but just don't think they have any shot in a 60 minute shootout. And I don't think they have a good enough D or enough support for Klein to keep that from happening.
But I'm wrong alot.
Gl all tonight even Straddles
2012 TOP BOWL MINNY +13 WIN
Sides (1*) 1-5-0 Totals 6-2-0
Sides (2*) 12-7-1 MoneyLine/AML 2-6-0 (-3.80)
Won't even comment on overblown underachieving teams and conferences. Should be in Golden Gloves instead of Bowl games. Draw your own conclusions. I Just know all 5 my Louie plays were money. Easy money. Can't do that today, I've already lost 1 bet. GL everyone today
OREG -8 (2*)
OREG -12.5 +130
ORE 1st H -5.5
Win By 11-15 pts +450
Win By 16-20 pts +600
If you've read my past games, you know I weigh distractions. And Chip Kelly hasn't even eaten breakfast and he has the plane fueled to meet Jimmy Haslem in Cleve tomorrow. And I swear by the better D. And you also know I hate chalk and love the value of a dog if I think they have any shot. Key words there, and I don't. I'm wrong alot tho.
These 2 were #1 and #2 on Nov 17 and maybe I'm wrong, but I'm gonna put a lot of weight on those 2 games. Ducks lost 17-14 in OT vs a decent Stanford team, whose D just held Wisky (who avg'd 31 ppg) to 14. Their next lowest offensive output was 42. With an overall avg of 51 ppg. And quite honestly, how many of those games did they pull the plug at the half or 3rd Qtr? And those points with 8 Bowl teams on that schedule. Marcus Mariota has thrown the ball 312 times with 30 TDs and 6 picks. Over the last 6 Games, he's thrown just 1 INT and himself avg'd 80 yds rushing/game. They have a Butkus award finalist on a D that has 39 Forced TO's and a margin of +19. Wildcats similar #'s, with 31 Forced and a +21 margin. You saw some key TO's last night, expect a few tonight, hopefully a couple my way!
Wildcats got blown out by Baylor and scored only 24 vs. a sieve that allowed 38 ppg. and over 500 ypg. And Baylor ran the ball down their throat for 345 yds. That's huge. Especially with a #1 ranking on the line. And in their state rivalry game, they allowed Kansas (yes, that 1-11 team) to run for 195 yds on them. And no roadrunners on Charlie's team. Everyone yester talked about Gator speed. Right. Tonight you'll see speed.
KSU is 6-9 in Bowls and 1-5 last 6, losing last 4 ATS. Don't get me wrong here. KSU great team and Bill Snyder one classy coach and Collin Klein's season and trip to NY says it all about his talent.
If KSU has a shot here, they have to hope Klein can control the clock and hope to win the TO's. I don't see them covering the spread here...I think they either win it outright or get blown out. Yes, they're gonna score some points but just don't think they have any shot in a 60 minute shootout. And I don't think they have a good enough D or enough support for Klein to keep that from happening.
But I'm wrong alot.
Gl all tonight even Straddles
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