Navy at Notre Dame huge write-up

like the play whodey, and i really think u may have put your homer shades aside for this one

will take a much closer look at this game

 

Great write-up! It's posts like these that make me love this site.

Here is the only thing I'm going to tell you about this game.  I obviously most weeks bet Notre Dame.  I always refrain from betting them too hard unless I have a pretty good idea that they are going to win/cover.  I bet them really hard against USC catching 10.  I bet them fairly hard in the 1h last week against Wazzou.  I bet them fairly strong against Nevada as well.  If you recall I gave you a pretty good writeup for that game as well.  I think writeups can be bullshit your right.  The thing is most of the time when I do, do a write up though its pretty accurate.  This will be a big bet on Notre Dame actually already placed it.  Personally, I really really think Navy matches up bad with us at this point.  I promise they won't get close to 30 points this week.  I think our run defense has improved since they have tweaked a few things.  Plus I don't know how much you have seen of Te'o yet but every week he seems to get better and equally more impressive.  He can run sideline to sideline and is very quick laterally.  I think that he will have a lot to do with stopping this option attack.  Once again last season they really couldn't get anything going against us.  Our defensive line from week 1 to now is 100% better again.  Mostly Sophmores on that defensive line that didn't play much last year.  They are 100 times better even since the Michigan game.  Floyd is going to make a huge impact in this game, just by being on the field.  Tate can't be double and triple covered all game.  They haven't really faced a passing attack like ours yet.  With the major improvements on the defense and the speed we actually have on the defensive line and at outside linebacker I don't think we struggle to stop the option attack.  I think Navy is a good team, don't get me wrong, I just think this is a really really good spot to load up on Notre Dame.  If you play Navy, good luck, but personally I don't think they have a chance in hell Saturday.  Just my take.  I'm a Notre Dame homer, but sometimes I'm a realest.  I did take my blinders off for this game.  I was hoping to get a line of less than 14.  They granted my wish.  Notre Dame by 17+.  Good luck Van.  Always appreciate your insight, and opinions.

Take a look...I think its an extremely strong play Saturday.

Riding my teams this weekend hard...I might be really upset with my teams.  Again though I know these teams a lot and I like both spots they are in.

agreed on nd-11. their defense sucks but their offense will shred navy. navy can't put up enough points to stay close in this game.

Math? Huh? What?  Just say Navy gonn run all ova da irish! woooooooooooooooooooooo

GL WITH THE PLAY BUDDY AND EXCELLENT WRITE-UP!! I'M A BIG ND FAN MYSELF AND WOULD LOVE NOTHING MORE THAN TO SEE THEM MAKE A STATEMENT HERE AND PUT THE HAMMER DOWN!! HOPEFULLY WITH FLOYD AND TATE OUT THERE, CLAUSSEN WILL THROW FOR 300+ AND 3-4 TDS!! GO IRISH!!!  

Like I said above, I cant win when I bet on ND or against them.... So you should be happy Im against them this week....

Either way - GL.

No way on ND....big play on Navy...last week Navy lost to Temple, they will get back on track on ND. With the Running game option, ND will not be able to stop.

Who, just post on your week 10 leans/plays that Floyd cleared to play ---LOL i guess u obviously already know that.

I read this write up 4 or 5 times already and will read it a couple more. I m convinced of the Notre dame play, however im uncertain as to how much $ to lay down. Liking your thoughts and agree ND will put up many point

s with all weapons back and healty.My only concern would be ND having some difficulties stopping the run and option attack. 11 out of 17 last contest between these 2 have been settled by 1 td or less. Navy's only loss by 10 pts or more came from Pitt (27-13 ) in week 2. Notre Dame only wins by 10 or more wash vs lowly Wash st. All other Notre Dame wins this season have been by3-7points.

Im with you buddy on the Irish, I just dont feel comfortable laying down a lot of doughon this one but i will be rooting hard cause I know your gonna truck it in

VegasMaxx - Alright man.  I've decided that I was wrong for calling you names and dejecting your theories on gambling.  I guess thats why this makes everything so interesting is the fact that we see things so differently, and we all do sometimes.  I admit fault as to some of the things were childish and I feel kind of bad and embarrassed as to the way I acted.  I'm going to apologize and its to the sincerest extent.  I'm sorry for the way I acted.  You don't have to apologize or anything, I just feel like this was childish and stupid. 

I guess then that I am happy.  Good luck on the rest of your plays Van.  I'm sure I'll see them at some point.

BOL with the play. Solid write-up, I just don't have enough confidence to side with ND as a double digit favorite yet. The last 2 weeks have given me enough reason to proceed with caution on the Irish.

I can certainly understand your concern.  Last year the numbers are a little skewed though.  I mean Notre Dame really dominated the football game, they are much better than last year, Navy in my opinion is pretty much the same team.  Navy scored two late touchdowns to make the game close.  Now I know this was last year and all that but the speed that Notre Dame has at defensive end and outside linebacker should really contain the option.  Even though I hate Kyle McCarthy in coverage, he is one of the surest tacklers you will find and plays really good close to the line, which I think will help in defending the option attack.  Notre Dames rushing defense has really come on since their bye week.  They have been extremely stout against the run.  I know coming into the Boston College game their running back his name is slipping my mind at the moment rushed for over 250 yards I think and had several touchdowns the week before against NC St.  They shut him down.  Ill say this...at points during the season I wondered if Notre Dame's defense would ever be a factor in helping us win a game.  They have been extremely bad at times, and have looked pretty good at times too.  I have noticed the defense has grown up a ton over the season.  You have to remember.  Besides Kyle McCarthy every one on that defense is a Junior or younger.  Most are getting their first college experiences and yeah, some have looked bad at times of course.  Then some have really started to play well, and as expected.  Kapron Lewis Moore, Darrius Flemming, Steve Filer, Manti Te'o, Ethan Johnson, are all in the front 7, Filer plays sometimes.  Dude is extremely fast by the way.  Blew my mind watching him chase down a QB last week.  Anyway.  All of those guys are Freshman and Sophmores...all of those guys with the exception of Ethan Johnson are all getting their first starts on defense this season.  Here is my best breakdown of the defense.  They are extremely young.  Extremely talented...very raw.  Very fast much faster than last season.  Kinda worries me that they could over pursue against this triple option this week.  That's really my only concern.  The player to watch and I'm calling it now is Ian Williams our DT.  The way he has played the last 4 or 5 games or so has been outstanding.  Look for him to get a lot of push up front and disrupt the option before it happens.  Thats the guy I'm really going to be watching.  Your right.  All games have been close.  Don't see it this season, just don't.  Again you lay what you believe small or large or nothing at all.  Just a few more tidbits.  I haven't really been on here all day felt like writing some shit.

What exactly makes you think that they cannot stop the option?  Just a question?

 think the Irish will win Who, just havent seen them beat teamds by 10 or more this year with the exceptionj of wash st which is basically like playing a high school team. Hopefully ur right action is already in. I feel they can score enough in this one!

1. ND has had issues in RZ without Floyd.  He is back which will turn FGs into TDs and Rudolph into an option. 
2. Chuck learned his lesson about closing out Navy last year.  He will not let them back into it this year.

They beat Nevada -35-0

I'm fine man..I'm not worried...

goirishgo - Hell yeah they have had tons of redzone issues with out Floyd.  I noticed that too.  Charlie will pound them and show no mercy.  Good luck..good observations.  I almost said something about the RZ offense.  Think about it Tauch has made like 14 FG's in a row.  Which is great.  Still in my opinion leaving points off the board without Floyd out there.

Great Work Whodey!  If all the cappers on here would give us info on their teams, like this, we'd really have a great forum.  "Thanks" for trying to help the rest of us get ahead!

 

Thanks man I appreciate it

 Home Games they really have stopped the run.  Really shut down the Nevada team. 

Tua carried 18 times for 114 yards- 6.3 yards per carry. I guess they "shut down" the QB holding him to 4 yards per carry ?  I was at the game and Tua had some HUGE holes to run through. They had to abandon the run after they fell so far behind so quick.

The Irish have thrived on turnovers- +11 for the season.  IF the turnover battle is even Navy will definitely keep the game within 7.

Well they were getting hammered.  So if they run and are successful sometimes but get shut down when it means something, like third down.  What does it matter if he picks up a few first downs and averages 6 yards a carry.  Thanks for your opinion though. 

Plus personally I don't think Notre Dame's rush defense has looked good until after the bye.  Before that I thought they were average at best against the run.

my case is ND covers as large dogs and fails to cover large faves.