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NCAA WEEK 1 * The Man.The Myth. The Legend(ary action junkie)*

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Posts: 294

nuterhead

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 22

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 10:21 PM ET #51

I love navy to cover they play hard fb

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 10:25 PM ET #52

Quote Originally Posted by BigRomes916:

Wash St / Rutgers OVER looks like a good play! Good luck!

Thanks bigromes

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nuterhead

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 22

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 10:26 PM ET #53

4 pick parley BC- Tulsa+ Toledo ml Marshal- Any thoughts likes or dislikes

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nuterhead

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2014

Posts: 22

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 10:28 PM ET #54

I love navy to cover they play hard fb

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 11:31 PM ET #55

Add:

Penn St/UCF U48 .....May still play PSU, as Hackenburg will have a solid year, but a lot of oddities in this game. PSU new coach and filling some holes while UCF has to replace most of its O. Add being overseas.....yuck. I think unlike the Wazzu/RU game, both defenses will be better than the offenses....

Michigan/App St O50.5 ....The Wolverines will find success on the ground and through the air. Gardner should be able to move the ball, as the O Line should have been a focus in the off season....not to mention App St wont be getting much push up front. ASU returns 17 starters, including a jr qb and soph rb that both had decent seasons last year (yes, they were 4-8). The O line has a lot of starts under their belt. Laying 34 with Michigan doesnt entice me in the least, but neither does catching 34 w/ App St. I see no reason this isnt a 41-10 game at worst...

LSU/BYU/BC ML parlay +105 .....Yep, parlays are stupid. However, if BC and BYU take care of very winnable games, I should be able to get Wisky +4 or better come saturday night for a middle opportunity if I so desire. Kinda like the over in this game since I havent seen one person like it yet.....

As you are probably aware, I'm not finished. There are quite a few games that I'm waiting on better lines for.

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real_talk

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2014

Posts: 621

Posted: Aug. 20, 2014 - 11:56 PM ET #56

Damn Train im on just about everyone one of them. I love our chances. Lets me ask you about the parlays as I have a ML Parlay . Why don't you consider Georgia and S.Carolina maybe even The Vols? U can get better odds them and def cant see Georgia or S.carolina Losing. Train Bump up that parlay man lets go 9 team ml parlay Train STYLE........ Lets gooooo 1 week away

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avenue

Captain

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 7572

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 9:35 AM ET #57

BOL

Pal

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MaineRoad

All-Star

Joined: May, 2005

Posts: 12241

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 10:53 AM ET #58

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 3:33 PM ET #59

Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

Quote Originally Posted by The_BigDog:

Well Spoken.... IMHO your post represents the vast "silent majority" in here;
Train... you keep posting buddy....

So True!

Gl this season uniman

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AceNYNJPA

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2014

Posts: 3

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 5:57 PM ET #60

Football Season is back! Get involved without using risky online sites. NY NJ PA. email for all the info: acesportsnynjpa@gmail.com

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lordzud

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2010

Posts: 2349

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 6:04 PM ET #61

Quote Originally Posted by AceNYNJPA:

Football Season is back! Get involved without using risky online sites. NY NJ PA. email for all the info: acesportsnynjpa@gmail.com

sounds great. I think I'll trust you with all my money.

hey train, love your comments, I think you love gambling more than anybody.

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SportsMedic

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2013

Posts: 1969

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 7:00 PM ET #62

Good luck my friend

Its going to be an exciting season!!!

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 8:27 PM ET #63

Quote Originally Posted by real_talk:

Love them all!! Going to def play .. Bosie game under. Rutgers over and Colorado state game under..... I bet you are loving Navy now! Im going to parlay Georgia and LSU ML I cant see wither team losing and I love the U on Monday night.. BOL all year Mr Train

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The Hawk

MVP

Joined: Jul, 2006

Posts: 19693

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 8:55 PM ET #64

Train, GL.

I'm on the other side of Tulane pick, but agree with over 80% of the rest. But I just don't bet as many games as you, so I can't keep track of all of them.

See you next week

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TD21

Captain

Joined: Jul, 2013

Posts: 5298

Posted: Aug. 21, 2014 - 10:23 PM ET #65

Train,

Good stuff! Keep the picks coming

Talk to me about round robin parlay strategy.... do you always have a parlay size by 1 less than your number of games? Or do you ever change the parlay size to by 2 less than number of games?

For example, you bet a 6 team parlay with say 2 of 6 as Moneyline Underdogs and the other four bets -110... do you always select by 5's for a six teamer or do you ever consider by 4's. What's your experience over the years with pros/cons of either case?

Thanks in advance,

TD

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tools/round-robin-calculator/

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 22, 2014 - 11:45 AM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Train , Like your early picks. Best of Luck , Bud

Thanks Wiseguy. Lookin forward to your threads and picks this year.

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 22, 2014 - 4:14 PM ET #67

Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:

BOL this season

Good to see you around brother

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elgallo9

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 2075

Posted: Aug. 22, 2014 - 5:21 PM ET #68

Good luck this season my boy!

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54472

Posted: Aug. 22, 2014 - 7:52 PM ET #69

South Carolina/Ole Miss ML parlay -160 I like both teams to win....not thrilled about laying double digits....

Ole Miss/Boise St U56.5 ....Ole Miss struggled on O last year vs decent teams.... 0 vs Bama, 22 vs Aub, 27 vs LSU, 10 vs Mizzou, 10 vs Miss St and 25 vs GT. I like Bo Wallace, but he still makes too many mistakes. Boise will be smart and tough as always, even without Peterson at the helm. Should see a lot of Ajayi carries...

Temple +16 ....What can I say you dont know? Vandy lost its coach, QB, RB and top 2 receivers (and only real playmakers). Their O line is shakey and defense is thin and young. Temple is....a basketball school! Duh! Howver, PJ Walker is a stud in waiting and if he can get some help, the Owls could have a decent season. The defense wasnt good last year, but should be improved by default. Main problem was in the secondary, but I dont think Vandy will be ready to exploit that in week 1....

Wash St/Rutgers O60.5 .....I fully expect both offenses to be better than the defenses. Leach should have the offense a little more fine tuned and I see no reason they dont put up 40+. I can see both teams getting to 30 actually. I lean WSU, but wont bet them unless its a teaser....

Colorado St +3 & U65 .....These are actually 2 of my favorite bets this week. Sure, they put up 68 points last year....on some big plays and busted coverages. Colorado St will be ushering in some new RBs and Colorado will just be terrible. Should be an ugly game. Gimme the Rams 27-20

Navy +17.5 .....I keep reading about how Ohio St will be ok with the triple option since they've had all summer to prepare for it. Not so fast my friends. Practice is one thing....getting chop blocked all day is another. Navy will be disiplined and methodical, like always. OSU has some big holes to fill on offense. Will they be hitting on all cylinders game 1?....on the road no less. Doubtful.

Arizona/UNLV O57 .....Rich Rod wants to score 80 ppg. He will get to atleast 41 in this game. Gonna bank on the Rebels to put up 17, which is a scary thought. However, I think they will be improved enough and have enough fight that even 4th quarter scores will be meaningful to them. Dont really wanna lay 24ish at the moment.

Idaho Team Total U8.5 ....A night game at the Swamp? Oh brother. The Gators need a big win to boost morale and settle the fan base down. They are "healthy", and I dont see Idaho scoring 2 times (or kicking 3 fgs). I also, dont not really feel like laying 35 with Florida right now. Should be a 48-3 game, but 38-7 sure dont look that far off.....

Ohio St/Navy U 63....Gotta assume there will be a lot more running by the Bucks, and the long ball shouldnt be as big a factor....

Penn St/UCF U48 .....May still play PSU, as Hackenburg will have a solid year, but a lot of oddities in this game. PSU new coach and filling some holes while UCF has to replace most of its O. Add being overseas.....yuck. I think unlike the Wazzu/RU game, both defenses will be better than the offenses....

Michigan/App St O50.5 ....The Wolverines will find success on the ground and through the air. Gardner should be able to move the ball, as the O Line should have been a focus in the off season....not to mention App St wont be getting much push up front. ASU returns 17 starters, including a jr qb and soph rb that both had decent seasons last year (yes, they were 4-8). The O line has a lot of starts under their belt. Laying 34 with Michigan doesnt entice me in the least, but neither does catching 34 w/ App St. I see no reason this isnt a 41-10 game at worst...

LSU/BYU/BC ML parlay +105 .....Yep, parlays are stupid. However, if BC and BYU take care of very winnable games, I should be able to get Wisky +4 or better come saturday night for a middle opportunity if I so desire. Kinda like the over in this game since I havent seen one person like it yet.....

ADD:

Bowling Green/Georgia ML parlay -115 ....I think the BG offense will be pretty solid and they can win this game, but the value is long gone in the spread. Georgias offense should be pretty solid as well, and Dabo gotta replace too much to pull an upset on the road in game 1....

USC -20.5 (-120) ..... Sarkisian is a HUGE upgrade from Lane Kiffin (Oregeron who did a stand up job filling in). Not only did USC beat this same Fresno squad 45-20 last December, the most importnat thin was 3 extra weeks of practice. Kessler looked sharp and should have no trouble doing that again. A solid group around him, even though its still thin, which shouldnt be a big issue game 1. The defense will be rock solid again. FSU says goodbye to Carr, and ushers in a new qb @ the Colisuem. Not the best scenario. FSU had 253 total yards in the game and went 2-14 on 3rd down. Adding to the troubles, FSU loses its top 2 recievers, 2 starting o linemen, 2 de's. I like USC by 30+....45-13

Miami/LVille U56 .... Lots of new faces, especially at QB for both squads. I think the Canes defense will be improved (wont take much), and LVille will be solid yet again despite losing quite a few guys. I think people are expecting too much of Petrino & Soph Qb Gardner. Canes will be very quick on D if nothing else. This isnt your typical "get your feet wet" game like many big schools play to open the season. Right into the fire. I think both teams will run more than expected to shelter these new slingers....

Marshall -23.5 ....Rakeem Cato. Miami Oh ushers in a new coach and qb. The O Line has experience now, but were awful last year. The defense is loaded with 2 star recruits......Not gonna cut it...Ive seen some people leary of laying this many points on the road game 1, and I understand completely. However, I am willing to make this play simply because this should be a mismatch from opening kickoff. If the Redhawks rise up a prove me wrong, then my hats off to them.