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NCAA wk 3

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Posted: #76
Gl this week MegaLocks
 
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Posted: #77
Nice to see the leanage toward SC....its been 10 years since the gamecocks lost to UGA by that big of a margin.....still enough talent on the roster to prevent that from happening.

BIG UPS MEGA!
 
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Posted: #78

vankiep  thx bro GL

gman - ya I think I like them +17...I see some minor MOB STEAM has driven it down to 16.5  GL man

 

next play

UConn +21 (write-up next)

 

GL mega

 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

next play

UConn +21 (write-up next)

GL mega

CRACK PIPE SPECIAL ALERT

UConn +21

Last wk - we gave out a stinker in LSU - but made up for it with a HUGE MONSTER JIM HEIST-LIKE BOMB CRACK PIPE SPECIAL with MTSU who played very well and covered vs Bama...They did a lot to actually give Bama more points including penalties and fumbling on their first play of each half - but did enough in our eyes to get the cash.

Now as always - you FREAKS demand this awful picks....We have yet to understand the addiction. Maybe it is the smell of COLD HARD CASH? Or maybe you enjoy the pain and suffering when these picks lose 78-3. Either way......

Missouri? They are going to be a tough out for anyone later due to their defense coaching and ability to turn 200 yds offense into 40+ points.....They have not looked great so far - wk 1 vs SE Mizz St sure they won 34-3 but had only 98 yds rushing on 33 carries...Last wk they played the Sun Belt juggernaut Ark St - a decent squad - but were held to less than 300Y....QB Mauk was 16-36 with 3 int....good news...not really - almost their entire stable of RBs are on the injury list - and while they do have to field a team this wk - they will want to get guys geared up for SEC play the following week....Mauk is also their leading rusher ! a whopping 83 yds in 2 games (actually tied for team lead wtf 83 yards) and they have one receiver with over 100 yds. Their D is playing well but UConn could cover this game scoring negative points.

UConn has won their first 2 tune up games - and while nothing to write home about - played Villanova and Army - their QB play looks to be the best in a while....They have a very good D and HC Diaco is a good defensive mind....they have beef on the DL and a good secondary...Decent OL including 3 Big 'Uns...So they finally have enough balance - not to MATRICULATE very often - but enough to stay balanced and stay within striking range....Unless Mizz goes on one of their 4 def TD in 3 minutes runs then we are toast.

Opened higher....Starting to melt down we feel it keeps going down.

We realize some may say UConn may never cross their own 19 yard line - but even then - they could cover.

GL - play safe. mega

 
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Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

CRACK PIPE SPECIAL ALERT

UConn +21

Last wk - we gave out a stinker in LSU - but made up for it with a HUGE MONSTER JIM HEIST-LIKE BOMB CRACK PIPE SPECIAL with MTSU who played very well and covered vs Bama...They did a lot to actually give Bama more points including penalties and fumbling on their first play of each half - but did enough in our eyes to get the cash.

Now as always - you FREAKS demand this awful picks....We have yet to understand the addiction. Maybe it is the smell of COLD HARD CASH? Or maybe you enjoy the pain and suffering when these picks lose 78-3. Either way......

Missouri? They are going to be a tough out for anyone later due to their defense coaching and ability to turn 200 yds offense into 40+ points.....They have not looked great so far - wk 1 vs SE Mizz St sure they won 34-3 but had only 98 yds rushing on 33 carries...Last wk they played the Sun Belt juggernaut Ark St - a decent squad - but were held to less than 300Y....QB Mauk was 16-36 with 3 int....good news...not really - almost their entire stable of RBs are on the injury list - and while they do have to field a team this wk - they will want to get guys geared up for SEC play the following week....Mauk is also their leading rusher ! a whopping 83 yds in 2 games (actually tied for team lead wtf 83 yards) and they have one receiver with over 100 yds. Their D is playing well but UConn could cover this game scoring negative points.

UConn has won their first 2 tune up games - and while nothing to write home about - played Villanova and Army - their QB play looks to be the best in a while....They have a very good D and HC Diaco is a good defensive mind....they have beef on the DL and a good secondary...Decent OL including 3 Big 'Uns...So they finally have enough balance - not to MATRICULATE very often - but enough to stay balanced and stay within striking range....Unless Mizz goes on one of their 4 def TD in 3 minutes runs then we are toast.

Opened higher....Starting to melt down we feel it keeps going down.

We realize some may say UConn may never cross their own 19 yard line - but even then - they could cover.

GL - play safe. mega



Sir I think your crack got laced with some funky stuff. But I can't get away from it ! My book moved to 20.5 and bought that back to 21. Lets go Huskies !
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

CRACK PIPE SPECIAL ALERT

UConn +21

Last wk - we gave out a stinker in LSU - but made up for it with a HUGE MONSTER JIM HEIST-LIKE BOMB CRACK PIPE SPECIAL with MTSU who played very well and covered vs Bama...They did a lot to actually give Bama more points including penalties and fumbling on their first play of each half - but did enough in our eyes to get the cash.

Now as always - you FREAKS demand this awful picks....We have yet to understand the addiction. Maybe it is the smell of COLD HARD CASH? Or maybe you enjoy the pain and suffering when these picks lose 78-3. Either way......

Missouri? They are going to be a tough out for anyone later due to their defense coaching and ability to turn 200 yds offense into 40+ points.....They have not looked great so far - wk 1 vs SE Mizz St sure they won 34-3 but had only 98 yds rushing on 33 carries...Last wk they played the Sun Belt juggernaut Ark St - a decent squad - but were held to less than 300Y....QB Mauk was 16-36 with 3 int....good news...not really - almost their entire stable of RBs are on the injury list - and while they do have to field a team this wk - they will want to get guys geared up for SEC play the following week....Mauk is also their leading rusher ! a whopping 83 yds in 2 games (actually tied for team lead wtf 83 yards) and they have one receiver with over 100 yds. Their D is playing well but UConn could cover this game scoring negative points.

UConn has won their first 2 tune up games - and while nothing to write home about - played Villanova and Army - their QB play looks to be the best in a while....They have a very good D and HC Diaco is a good defensive mind....they have beef on the DL and a good secondary...Decent OL including 3 Big 'Uns...So they finally have enough balance - not to MATRICULATE very often - but enough to stay balanced and stay within striking range....Unless Mizz goes on one of their 4 def TD in 3 minutes runs then we are toast.

Opened higher....Starting to melt down we feel it keeps going down.

We realize some may say UConn may never cross their own 19 yard line - but even then - they could cover.

GL - play safe. mega




MEGA,  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #82
stallion love it. Ya- there are some 21s still out there but mostly 20.5 now. Hey they could lose 38-0 but have to take a shot  GL
 
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Posted: #83
Hope for the best !

I have to ask your opinion on Illinois +9 

UNC's Williams is the kind of guy that gets rattled easily. I feel like this is a 3 point game. Missing something? 

Thanks for all you do sir
 
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Posted: #84
 
before crack pipe 
during crack pipe 

after crack pipe 

me like crack pipe 

thanks for the work and keep'm coming


 
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Posts: 34171
Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

CRACK PIPE SPECIAL ALERT

UConn +21

Last wk - we gave out a stinker in LSU - but made up for it with a HUGE MONSTER JIM HEIST-LIKE BOMB CRACK PIPE SPECIAL with MTSU who played very well and covered vs Bama...They did a lot to actually give Bama more points including penalties and fumbling on their first play of each half - but did enough in our eyes to get the cash.

Now as always - you FREAKS demand this awful picks....We have yet to understand the addiction. Maybe it is the smell of COLD HARD CASH? Or maybe you enjoy the pain and suffering when these picks lose 78-3. Either way......

Missouri? They are going to be a tough out for anyone later due to their defense coaching and ability to turn 200 yds offense into 40+ points.....They have not looked great so far - wk 1 vs SE Mizz St sure they won 34-3 but had only 98 yds rushing on 33 carries...Last wk they played the Sun Belt juggernaut Ark St - a decent squad - but were held to less than 300Y....QB Mauk was 16-36 with 3 int....good news...not really - almost their entire stable of RBs are on the injury list - and while they do have to field a team this wk - they will want to get guys geared up for SEC play the following week....Mauk is also their leading rusher ! a whopping 83 yds in 2 games (actually tied for team lead wtf 83 yards) and they have one receiver with over 100 yds. Their D is playing well but UConn could cover this game scoring negative points.

UConn has won their first 2 tune up games - and while nothing to write home about - played Villanova and Army - their QB play looks to be the best in a while....They have a very good D and HC Diaco is a good defensive mind....they have beef on the DL and a good secondary...Decent OL including 3 Big 'Uns...So they finally have enough balance - not to MATRICULATE very often - but enough to stay balanced and stay within striking range....Unless Mizz goes on one of their 4 def TD in 3 minutes runs then we are toast.

Opened higher....Starting to melt down we feel it keeps going down.

We realize some may say UConn may never cross their own 19 yard line - but even then - they could cover.

GL - play safe. mega




MEGA . Many teams are going into Conference play
next week . I think most teams would like to be in
good health going into  next week. This is a week  
to be careful on heavy favorites .

MEGA , Well Done , Bud   

Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by puffkit:

 
before crack pipe 
during crack pipe 

after crack pipe 

me like crack pipe 

thanks for the work and keep'm coming



This is exactly how I feel about the crack pipe specials!!  Well done Mega 
 
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Posted: #87

ok guys one more for today - then packing it in.

Florida -3 Kentucky (52)

Megalocks line -4

You must admit - it does seem funny to see that pointspread and not want to put 78,000 units on it - I mean more units than Make Believe Units guy....Florida blew out NM St and held a decent EC team - even with a new QB - to 333Y and did what they had to....Not sure what to make of these guys yet - We think they are our pick to win the East don't hate us just an early take - but do not want to jump in on this one until we do more reading on who is gonna play this wk for florida they may get some guys back....Kentucky is 2-0 but were outgained in both games - Now with a spread this low there is no way we would ever take the team with the significantly worse D....But have to hand it to K - they are scrappy - even took Fla to 3 OT last yr.....Fun Fact - per Steele mag - the 28 game winning streak for Florida is the 2nd longest next to Penn St over Temple ......OOOOOOOOOOPS.......Could we see another long streak end?

Summary - lean to Florida - may add. Need to dig a bit more. NO higher than -3.

mega

 

 
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Posted: #88

Stallion - I do not trust Illnois D but I hear what you are saying. No take on that one. Sorry GL:

Parlay

Wiseguy  thx man

PUFFKIT tooooooooooo funny - that is how WE feel - should have seen us during the MTSU/Bama game

 

GL guys

 
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Posted: #89
Love the write ups! IMO a weekly must read. Keep stacking the this season just like you do every season bro lol! 

 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

QB - tough one for us - LSU could not put them away - Wish they would have tried a few more passes off play action but that is life full marks to Miss St on that game never gave up 

I will take a look at the K St game buddy


Miss St did to LSU what LSU did to them last season.  Last year we fell early and mounted a comeback but fell short.  Once we got up 14-0 this year Miles decided to start playing conservative and not to lose.  He's stubborn as a mule.  Harris did make good decisions though and thought he played well for being our first game in that kind of environment.  

Keep up the good work Mega.  Been enjoying your write ups the last few years.  Geaux Tigers!
 
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Posted: #91
Awesome stuff! GL man! 
 
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Posted: #92
Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

upside - excellent point ...And they are usually DD favs right? I just have not researched enough yet if I miss another line move so be it. Nice grab on +2. GL

I know Irish D is suppose to better than last year's D but they gave up 39 points to Navy in a 10 point win and in 2013 the Irish gave up 34 points ..
 
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Posted: #93
MEGALOCKS I think I might have taken too big of a  rip on that crack pipe......did a 3-Team 10pt teaser what do you think 

Uconn +30.5
BallState/Emichigan Over 54
LSU +3.5

120 to win 100
 
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Posted: #94
Pardon me posting in your scene last week Mega, didn't realize what was going on here til I did it, thanks for all this madman info, mos def helps sort through all the madness of so many games, keep it up man, and thanks for the insight!
 
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Posted: #95
Quote me on this; I live in Alabama and am an Alabama fan to the core. I'm telling you all that auburn will win Saturday! This is the lock of the year! Auburn is getting 6.5 which is a gift. They will win outright, but you should at least take the points! DO NOT IGNORE MY POST...
 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by getpaid36:

Quote me on this; I live in Alabama and am an Alabama fan to the core. I'm telling you all that auburn will win Saturday! This is the lock of the year! Auburn is getting 6.5 which is a gift. They will win outright, but you should at least take the points! DO NOT IGNORE MY POST...

 
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Posted: #97

thanks a lot everyone  

wmcintyre -  thx man -- GL this wk make some more

bpcuno - thanks a lot ....Hope to get to LSU some day for a game GL Geaux Tigers

DavidN  one of the best

upside - looking at GT TT over. Cant figure out what I wanna do. GL

jck524 - you have issues - I can respect that.  My general thought on NCAA teasers - is well - you do not want to know. Now for fun - SURE - but the variability in NCAA results vs the line is comical compared to NFL so you do not get the proper value. GL if you take a swing - just keep it small - GL !

ncdcbag - no worries pal - GL this wk

getpaid -  you just might be right - We could go down with LSU 2 wks in a row and Auburn win would not shock us. GL this wk with your picks.

 

Summary of what is in the thread so far

Plays

LSU -6.5 -120

E Michigan / Ball over 61.5

UConn +21

Write-ups in order

Early tasters (LSU)

Thursday/Friday/E Michigan game

SEC

 

up next BIG 10

mega

 

 
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Posted: #98

Maryland 7 So Flo (51.5)

Megalocks line - 7

Well Maryland did what Maryland does - soil themselves. True story - last wk vs B Green were up 13-6 at the half and LOST 48-27 giving up almost 700 YARDS in the process - and they were equal opportunity suck factor - almost 500 passing and 6 TD and over 200 Y given up on the ground. Nice work So Flo hung around last wk vs Florida St tied at half then stud RB Cook put them away - we smell an improved team at So Flo this yr....problem is it looks like the line reflects that - was hoping for DD - gonna stay clear - Maryland really hard for us to pick - we had the Maryland TT over in last yr So Flo game  and boy oh boy did we enjoy that one. Subscribers paid dearly for our stupidity....We stay clear of this one - Maryland could come out swinging off that loss and who knows maybe SFlo is a bit down off game vs that other florida team.

Summary. No leanage. Betting any Maryland game qualifies as stab-yourself-in-the-face kind of fun.

mega

 
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Posted: #99

Michigan OFF UNLV

Megalocks line -30

Suspect the line will be in the low 30s when it comes out - see a 34 estimate out there at that line most likely accounts for the QB for UNLV being injured - he is actually decent - and the backup - well - eww. Last wk was 4-15 with an int and 2 fumbles. If he starts it will be ugly. If not? Probably still ugly. 30+ or 34 for instance seems like the right number and ground and pound Michigan may not cover that number.

Summary - wait and see but 99% sure no leanage.

mega

 
 
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Posted: #100

Ohio St 34.5 NIU (66.5)

Megalocks line -28

Leaning to NIU here. The implication in this line is that Ohio St will get 50+ and I suppose that is possible - NIU D has not been looking so hot early on including giving up 30 to UNLV but QB Hare has been outstanding 78% and 6 td no picks - he is on a 24-2 td to int run....They are a decent football team - and here is another example of one of our fav plays - projected bowl team getting 5 TDs against anyone....We will wait and reconsider if it hits 35+....Not as strong as our MTSU play from last wk given that - Ohio St is more explosive on offense and NIU D is worse than MTSU IMO....Also Ohio St is our #1 rated team and rarely play against that - saved our bacon vs VTech even though the crowd could not magically help VT cover.....finally Ohio St does not get enough credit on defense has given up 0 24 20 0 last 4 games vs 3 good teams one being Oregon...and the only gimme was Hawaii and their QB is decent and was made to look silly.

Summary - lean NIU but for reasons above just barely misses the official play list. May revisit if 35s pop up.

mega

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