NCAA wk 3

Line has since moved a bit higher since yesterday - Dedicated MEGALOCKS subscribers know we try and get a couple EARLY TASTERS on Sunday if the lines look joooocy and if not - let things settle and go from there.

Our subscribers also know - that we do not bet often - but when we do - we prefer road teams underdogs and unders.  We also do not REVENGE bet....So believe us when we say this selection has nothing to do with our wager last wk.....a 273497594 star
LSU loser....yes to lose that game by one point was tough - but Miss St was the right side - IT WON - and LSU did not put them away. Having said that - we like this week's matchup and perceived value in the line.

Ok we know LSU run game is very very good. I feel that they could have passed a bit more Harris is not a complete tool - but we hate being Coach Is An Idiot Guy - so just accept last's wk result and know that they should be able to hit close to 300Y rushing on this Auburn D which has a SOFTER UNDERBELLY than the Miss St D....And their D should be able to handle the Auburn offense which is struggling a bit early we hope they are getting them at the right time.

Auburn? We are not going overboard. But is was a messy first few weeks. They got outgained by Louisville and OUTRUSHED WTF and maybe that game looks worse now? They followed that up by getting outgained by JAX ST and held the ball for less than 25 min I know they are quick strike historically but their QB seems a bit off early - We are also not going to be Covers Talent Evaluator Guy - we just go on facts - first SEC QB to throw 5 int in the first 2G and he just looks to us to be out of sync. We have watched quite a bit of Auburn football so far - not that it matter for this pick - just think by watching them this may not be the week they figure things out.

Finally - FWIW - LSU pasted last yr by Auburn - probably wanna return the favor but don't think anyone needs extra motivation. Auburn's stats so far - its early - but after 2 games vs and avg Louisville team and and FCS team - rankings....run d 96...offense 97....t/o margin 107....3rd d def 114....TOP 99....just not doing much well yet.

(notice we did not mention the crowd...It IS POSSIBLE to handicap without over-emphasizing "hostile environment" impacts)

GL guys.....will not be an easy one but gonna take another LSU shot. mega