nostradamus week 1

iam all in in on Pitt,

PITT 28 UTAH24

Nostra - I just read that WSU has been practicing in 95 degree heat in Pullman so the heat shouldn't be too much of an issue.

Wanny on the road with rookie QB.    I assume the gameplan is to have Lewis rush 70 times.    Might be a good plan.

csp, pooler, bracks, ayala - BOL

gocougs - still quite a bit warmer on average in stillwater, however agree not a deciding factor, all the best to Daniels career cut short with broken neck, thankfully appears he will eventually make full recovery

maine - probably a reaction to OSU losing about 3/4 of its starters, end of last year number would have been 30...is the turnover in personnel and WSU improvement worth 16

decreasing UGA wager to 2u due to loss of Ealey since we had him pegged for 70-100 yds rushing in that matchup..small offset with ULL +28 (greek) for one unit...chance for 4 unit middle at 26-27 or 3u if 28 (or win one unit on ULL if lands on 25)...on the plus side appears Dobbs will be ready to go (and possibly even Dent)

increasing Oklahoma St from 1.25u to 2u (add on at 15)

updated week 1

tballgame - check back on page one, these were wagered Aug 4th ....even mentioned possible UNC suspensions and impact later

notice no one ever complains about getting stuck with Memphis at 20 (vs 21) or when movement is the other way

Nost.,   Please ignore these guys that don't understand that different lines come early then late.  I'm stuck with some late lines myself and they seem pretty tight to me so I'm looking at value where I can find it with some 1st half bets on the bullies vs. pussies. One bet is Ohio St. with Miami on deck. I think they roll in the 1st half and Marshall comes out of the tunnel intimidated. If I was the head coach I would play the bench a lot 2nd half. Same scenario if I was head coach with several other games.

Other home teams that might fit the bill are  Miss. St, Mich. St., Oreg. Okla. Aub. and some others. Not usually a 1st half bettor but this is the 1st week and it's always a little different with the mismatches.

One other thing. Don't know if you play 5 Dimes but I'm sure you know they have lines listed on certain games well into Oct.   I don't want to list all the ones I like right now (way to many) but a guy like who likes his lines early should like this a lot. Opinions? Any you feel good about?

GL,   Doc

BA - agree WSU with less depth (even though OSU not overly so either on OL/DL) could be worn down more...basically believe it comes down to Weeden being decent (given new offense) and Hunter being back 100% form..if so based on WSU scrimmage they look a little slow to keep up with RBs and WRs, have not seen decision on Blatnick...now that resolved as misdemeanor and having been punished with stairs (along with Johnson) since camp started, outside chance of playing maybe

doc - agree there can definitely be some first half opportunites (if not already involved in full game), played maybe 4-5 last year. If I recall correctly it runs about 60% of full game number. Have seen most of the GOY lines earlier...not crazy about those type even though a couple looked interesting, like to be able to evaluate earlier weeks for both teams plus injury factors, etc, now 5 dimes has done something where lines cannot be viewed by visitor so didn't look at them lately

was looking some at Minny obviously now with Dasher out, not sure if Kilgore or Murphy will start...Kilgore doesn't look so bad in tapes from JC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b1VjsuwvntU

Nost.,  I was leaning Minny in that game with MTSU anyway. Just a 1st look lean.  I read a post that had a link about that Dasher fool and thought the game would be off the board. I checked it out and got Minny +4 1/2 on a rumor.  Well now you know and the rest of the world knows that Minny is -3.  I think if I want to middle it now is as good as later. I cover the 3,4, and the 7. Sweet.  Hey, it's gambling. It's the 1st week. I'm getting off here and betting Mtsu -3.  I'll probably feel stupid for playing this game when Minny wins by 40 but that's okay. These 7.5 opportunities are seldom and most years none. Hmmmm?

GL,   Doc

Quote Originally Posted by TBallgame:

WTF are you getting these lines?  WA a/o 8/28 0630 CDT,USC 21, OU 31-, LSU 4-, Neb 35-, just a few.  Would LOVE SC @ 18- for example.

Wake Up D-Bag

Start at Page #1

 Of the Great Nos's Thread

Nos

My final selections are as follows:

Texas -28 over Rice

Nebraska -35 over WKU

I believe these are the best plays on the board from a risk analysis perspective.

I could not pull the trigger on Georgia since Richt seems to have a passive attitude when it comes to blowing bad teams out at home.  There recent home record of 2-10 is not good, but maybe a contrarian could get some value since Grantham's new aggressive D may have an impact on Richt's persepctive.  Good luck on that pick.

I could not pull the trigger on OU becuase I want to see if they can live up to the hype.  Jones looks good and they have skilled players on both sides of the ball.  Utah St has performed well recently ATS. 

Though I believe both OU and UGA will cover, I will stay on the sideline for these to.

Good Luck this season!plusequals

they should just let you cash this one now and get it over with...

double, apoca -

doc - sounds like decent shot between those numbers, gave some thought to small play MTSU when story first came out, no surprise if it continues on to 4 or 4.5 since hard to get MTSU backers at this point 

longhorn - can't argue with those, it sounds like UGA and Richt will be ready however we'll see, BOL this season bro

looks like OL Taylor still questionable for OSU

hopefully some team totals and FCS available in couple days

some thought to Minny not MTSU that is

Went ahead and pulled the trigger on USC. Took'em at -20.5.

Should be a rout.

222 - BOL this season bro

kap - saw that this morning, we'll be pulling for 3 TDs...tough time seeing Hawaii inexperieced center matching wits with old monte, we'll see, cincy add one looks pretty solid too, GL kap

Logan Kilgore, That Kid has all the tools... Gunslinger.. I see quite a few different styles... Nice