Posted:
#1
I normally do not do write ups, preferring to listen and stay out of emotional online fights and hard statements that create emotional betting which is a killer for numbers. However, this is a matchup I would like to hear the regular's opinion on because looking at it the numbers are there for Ohio St. I briefly went into this months ago after the first lines came out but had not done any research, simply looking at the recent history, recruiting, coaching ( https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101888210 ).
Ohio St is favored at -19 at the moment. To me the biggest disadvantages to the Ohio St are
1 - Navy is an option team. That's no throwing and a lot clock ticking, making a shorter game.
2 - It's at a neutral location, not a home game for OSU
3 - There isn't an established QB behind Braxton Miller, when he gets pulled will the offense keep running?
I am not too worried about the Buckeye defense here. For all the Phil Steele junkies, he has the D-Line as #1 in the country, Linebackers at #20, Defensive backs #42. D-Line and Linebackers are crucial here because of the run.
The offense is excellent across the board (with the exception of depth behind Miller). Without exception the matchups are not even close to being equal. This spread will come down to the defense stopping navy and not letting them score. Urban Meyer has shown that he is willing to blow the sh*t out of opponents and run the score up as well.
I think that takes care of #1 problem. For #2, I am more worried about road games as the season progresses and players are tired of traveling. For week 1 there is excitement and players are ready to finally play in front of fans and get wins instead of just practicing. Plus, this is at a neutral location and 400 miles from Colombus,Ohio fans will travel well. Yes, Navy is closer but this is not really a home game for them either. The environment will be tougher for them.
For #3 there isn't a very good answer. redshirt sophomore Cardale Jones will probably be backup and he doesn't have a ton of experience but made it to OSU. If/when the score gets run up I think the gamble will be - will Meyer keep his foot on the gas? and will there offense continue to function well without Braxton Miller?
I think yes, but am leery at -19. Frankly, it could simply be because it was a -14 and then looks DELICIOUS now. 5 points now seems like a huge hurdle and is getting in my head. F*ckin hindsight. Nevertheless, I still believe this holds tremendous value on the board.
Ohio St is favored at -19 at the moment. To me the biggest disadvantages to the Ohio St are
1 - Navy is an option team. That's no throwing and a lot clock ticking, making a shorter game.
2 - It's at a neutral location, not a home game for OSU
3 - There isn't an established QB behind Braxton Miller, when he gets pulled will the offense keep running?
I am not too worried about the Buckeye defense here. For all the Phil Steele junkies, he has the D-Line as #1 in the country, Linebackers at #20, Defensive backs #42. D-Line and Linebackers are crucial here because of the run.
The offense is excellent across the board (with the exception of depth behind Miller). Without exception the matchups are not even close to being equal. This spread will come down to the defense stopping navy and not letting them score. Urban Meyer has shown that he is willing to blow the sh*t out of opponents and run the score up as well.
I think that takes care of #1 problem. For #2, I am more worried about road games as the season progresses and players are tired of traveling. For week 1 there is excitement and players are ready to finally play in front of fans and get wins instead of just practicing. Plus, this is at a neutral location and 400 miles from Colombus,Ohio fans will travel well. Yes, Navy is closer but this is not really a home game for them either. The environment will be tougher for them.
For #3 there isn't a very good answer. redshirt sophomore Cardale Jones will probably be backup and he doesn't have a ton of experience but made it to OSU. If/when the score gets run up I think the gamble will be - will Meyer keep his foot on the gas? and will there offense continue to function well without Braxton Miller?
I think yes, but am leery at -19. Frankly, it could simply be because it was a -14 and then looks DELICIOUS now. 5 points now seems like a huge hurdle and is getting in my head. F*ckin hindsight. Nevertheless, I still believe this holds tremendous value on the board.
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