Public Indicator Calculations 2024

@HooAlum

Strong week that puts us back on a better profitability pace

WEEKLY RECORD: 13-7

WEEKLY REVENUE: 104.5 units on 82 wagered

SEASON  RECORD: 91-64

SEASON REVENUE: 594.7 units on 557 wagered (6.77% profit)

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INDICATOR 2024 PERFORMANCE

SKS: 70.37%

Sharp Signal: 63.95%

Steam: 58.82%

Reverse Movement: 57.69%

Low Bet Favorite: 57.58%

Line Movement: 52.7%

Early West Coast Start: 50%

Low Handle Favorite: 46.48%

Lopsided Wagering: 45.83%

Bye Week Return: 44.19%

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Initial games for the week

California (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs lopsided wagering on the road favorite

UCLA-Iowa (No Bet): low handle favorite balanced by sharp signal

Texas (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite and bye week Return and style points outweigh over/under squeeze

West Virginia (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Ole Miss (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Michigan-Indiana (No Bet): lopsided wagering balanced by sharp signal

Colorado (1 unit): sharp signal and bye week return outweighs lopsided wagering & road favorite with high handle

South Carolina (4 units): sharp signal and SKS outweighs majority handle on favorite

Notre Dame (2 units) sharp signal, bye week return and style points outweigh over/under squeeze

Alabama (2 units): sharp signal outweighs high handle road favorite

Utah (1 unit) - lopsided wagering and high handle on road favorite

Updating tonight pre game time.  Nothing special except a modest Pac-12 revenge

Cal (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs high handle road favorite

UCLA (1 unit) - high handle road favorite and on the edge of sharp signal on the Bruins that could bump up slightly

@HooAlum

 Nice small wins to start the weekend.  Wish it was a higher bet but always better top start with low wins than low bet losers.  No, the sharp action that was going to raise to UCLA number did not arrive so it remained at 1 unit.  Here is tomorrow's slate:

Texas (5 units): low ticket favorite, bye week Return, heavy sharp signal and style points outweigh over/under squeeze

West Virginia (5 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement and sharp signal

NEW GAME: Georgia Tech (8 units) - line movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement and strong sharp signal

NEW GAME: Kansas (7 units) - line movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, sharp signal

Ole Miss (3 units): line movement, lopsided wagering on road favorite

Michigan-Indiana (No Bet): line movement, lopsided wagering on road favorite

NEW GAME: Virginia Tech (1 unit) - lopsided wagering with road favorite, road favorite with high handle outweighs sharp signal

Colorado (1 unit): sharp signal and bye week return outweighs lopsided wagering & road favorite with high handle

South Carolina (2 units): line movement, sharp signal and SKS outweighs majority handle on favorite and high handle on road favorite

NEW GAME: TCU (2 units): lopsided wagering, low ticket and handle on the favorite outweighs reverse movement

NEW GAME: Maryland (3 units): line movement, reverse movement

Florida St-Notre Dame (No bet)bye week return and style points balanced by heavy over/under squeeze

CHANGE LSU (3 units): high handle road favorite, reverse movement

NEW GAME: Virginia (1 unit): sharp signal

NEW GAME Washington (2 units): sharp signal

Utah (4 units) - lopsided wagering and high handle on road favorite reverse movement outweighs sharp signal

@HooAlum

 Won't be able to update during the day.  Big new add  as I anticipate the handle to make it in Missouri-Oklahoma.  Watch line movement on all these games.  This week has more reverse movement than any other this season.  Remember if the betting stabilizes or it reverses those tells go away.  As always late line movement will inevitably change these numbers.

Texas (5 units): low ticket favorite, bye week Return, heavy sharp signal and style points outweigh over/under squeeze

West Virginia (5 units): lopsided wagering, reverse movement and sharp signal

Georgia Tech (8 units) - line movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement and strong sharp signal

Kansas (7 units) - line movement, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, sharp signal

Ole Miss (3 units): line movement, lopsided wagering on road favorite

CHANGE: Michigan (2 unit): reverse movement and over/under squeeze outweighs harp signal

Virginia Tech (3 units) - lopsided wagering with road favorite, road favorite with high handle outweighs sharp signal

Colorado (1 unit): sharp signal and bye week return outweighs lopsided wagering & road favorite with high handle

South Carolina (2 units): line movement, sharp signal and SKS outweighs majority handle on favorite and high handle on road favorite

TCU (2 units): lopsided wagering, low ticket and handle on the favorite outweighs reverse movement

Maryland (3 units): line movement, reverse movement

Florida St-Notre Dame (No bet)bye week return and style points balanced by heavy over/under squeeze

LSU (3 units): high handle road favorite, reverse movement

Oklahoma (15.5 units): line movement, steam=, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse movement, SKS

Virginia (2 units): sharp signal

Washington (2 units): sharp signal

Utah (4 units) - lopsided wagering and high handle on road favorite reverse movement

Thanks Hoo!

@HooAlum

 Easily won loss one of the best week's ever.  However, one of the biggest plays failed after Oklahoma was looking good they could not do the job.  It follows a trend this season of the very biggest play of the week failing but all the others coming in well.  Still. A very strong week.

WEEKLY RECORD: 14-4

SEASON RECORD: 105-68

WEEKLY REVENUE: 87.4 units on 69.5 wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 682.1 units on 626.5 wagered (8.87% profit)

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INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

Style Points: 66.67% (2-1 - I start to apply this only after the CFP rankings come out)

Sharp Signal: 66.49%

SKS: 65.63%

Reverse Movement: 60%

Over/Under Squeeze: 58.06%

Low Bet Favorite: 57.97%

Steam: 55.56%

Line Movement: 55.56%

West Coast Early Start: 50%

Lopsided Wagering: 48%

Bye Week Return: 47.83%

Low Handle Favorite: 46.58%

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Early Weekly Game Report

UCLA (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Arizona (1 unit): sharp signal

Arkansas (1 unit): bye week return

Navy-Tulane (No Bet) - Low ticket handle balanced by sharp signal

Clemson (1 unit) - sharp signal

Colorado (1 unit): low handle favorite 

Michigan State (3 units): Lopsided wagering and sharp signal

Stanford-Louisville (No bet): No indicators

Southern Cal (1 unit): low handle favorite

Boise State (1 unit): low handle favorite

Georgia (1 unit): sharp signal

Wisconsin (2 units): lopsided wagering on road favorite  and bye week return

Kansas-BYU (No Bet): No indicators

public loading up on ILL -3... See how that line moves towards Sat..

Any inclination toward tonight’s board? 

@HooAlum

Friday Night Update.  Will give another tomorrow morning.

CHANGE: Washington (1 unit): Sharp Signal

Arizona (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement

Arkansas (3 unit): line movement, sharp signal and bye week return outweighs low handle favorite

Navy-Tulane (No Bet) - No indicators

Clemson (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

Colorado (5.5 units): line movement and steam

Michigan State (5 units): Lopsided wagering, reverse movement and sharp signal

CHANGE: Louisville (3 unit): low ticket and handle favorite

CHANGE: Nebraska (1 unit): line movement and steam outweighs low ticket and handle favorite 

NEW GAME: Arizona State (4 units): steam, reverse movement outweighs bye week return

CHANGE: San Jose State (1 unit): heavy sharp signals outweigh low handle favorite

Georgia (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Wisconsin (6 units): lopsided wagering on road favorite, reverse movement, sharp signal and bye week return

Kansas-BYU (No Bet): line movement and sharp signal balanced by low ticket and handle favorite

@HooAlum

Morning Update

Arkansas (4 unit): line movement, sharp signal and bye week return

Navy (1 unit) - Low handle favorite

CHANGE: Pitt (1 unit) - high handle road favorite

Colorado (6.5 units): line movement, steam, and sharp signal

Michigan State (6 units): Lopsided wagering, reverse movement and sharp signal

NEW GAME: Penn State (2 units): line movement, sharp signal, style play outweighs over/under squeeze

Louisville (3 unit): line movement, low ticket and sharp signal outweighs high handle favorite

NEW GAME: Virginia (1 unit): steam, sharp signal and over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket and handle favorite and style play

Nebraska (3 units): line movement and steam reverse movement outweighs low ticket and handle favorite 

Arizona State (2 units): steam outweighs bye week return

San Jose State (4 units): very heavy sharp signals outweigh low handle favorite

Georgia (8 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp signal, SKS

Wisconsin (6 units): lopsided wagering on road favorite, reverse movement, sharp signal and bye week return

CHANGE: Kansas (6 units): line movement, sharp signal, and SKS

@HooAlum

 Another strong week easily making this the best W-L we have seen (just as a note the success in the last 3 weeks came after a regression analysis - needless to say I will stick with that formula for now).  Revenue not quite as strong as some big plays have not come home but overall  still a healthy profit.

WEEKLY RECORD: 12-4

WEEKLY REVENUE: 73.2 units on 54.5 wagered

SEASON RECORD: 117-72 (61.90%)

SEASON REVENUE: 755.3 units on 681 wagered (10.91% profit)

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Indicator Performance

SKS: 70.27%

Sharp Signal: 65.73%

Style Points: 60%

Low Bet Favorite: 58.11%

Reverse Movement: 57.89%

Over/Under Squeeze: 57.58%

Steam: 56.52%

Line Movement: 55.68%

West Coast Early Start: 50%

Lowe Handle Favorite: 49.37%

Bye Week Return: 48.98%

Lopsided Wagering: 48.04%

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Early Preview for Week 13

Georgia Tech(3 units)  - low ticket and handle favroite

Virginia (1 unit) - high handle on road favorite

Ohio State (8 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, reverse movement

Colorado (1 unit) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal outweighs high handle on road favorite

Penn State (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

Arizona State (5 units) - SKS low ticket and handle favorite

Texas (6 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticketing handle favorite, sharp signal and style points out weighs over under squeeze

Pittsburgh-Louisville (No bet) - no indicators

Notre Dame (4 units) - lopsided wagering, low ticket and handle favorite, style points out weighs over/under squeeze

Auburn (1 unit) - lopsided wagering

Alabama (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs high handle road favorite (especially when that high handle comes from sharps)

Duke (2 units) - lopsided wagering, high handle on road favorite

UCLA (2 units) - lopsided wagering, high handle on road favorite