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SEC Week 4

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Posted: #126
Both Harvin and Moody are 100% for the first time.  Harvin said on local radio that he has not felt this good since 10th grade.  The limited action against Miami and the week off has really healed heal his heel. Moody has been dinged up since Spring and is finally getting of his ass to run this week.  Had a great Wednesday last week and is ready to run.

Florida will roll in this game and it will not be close.  Florida is faster and better on offense than a year ago and has shown that the defense (thought to be the big weakness) is better than expected.  I capped the game around 12-13 and see good value on the road Gators.  

FYI: No homer crap here...want gators to win of course, but laid off against Miami 2 weeks ago.  Locked in as this game will go up to 8 soon.
 
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Posted: #127
Gatornation- GL to you.  Can you please explain why you think there defense is better than expected after playing Hawaii and Miami? Oregon St. held Hawaii to 7 and Miami is just terrible on offense. I think there defense is going to end up being worse than they were last year, but thats just my opinion .
 
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Posted: #128
Yo DYounger, no way is Georgia ahead of the Gators.  Georgia looked fair against a poor South Carolina team.  I think UGA has the best pure QB in the SEC in Stafford.  More play makers than ever on the UF side of the ball and it will be played out that way in Jax this year.

Regardless if you have talked yourself into you thoughts on UGA before the year started, you have to be second thinking that by now. Florida will be favored in the game in Jax with a chip on their shoulder from last year.  Good luck with the rest of the season and look forward to the UF-GA game in Jax.
 
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Posted: #129
Gatornation- What playmakers do Florida have besides Harvin and Tebow?   What defensive play makers do they have besides Brandon Spiikes? Im going with the team who actually has a very good defense and 3 very good running backs to carry them through the SEC schedule.  Tebow wont make it through this year with the same amount of rushing attempts as he had last year.  Im not buying the Florida hype, after all they were a 4 loss team last year and the only reason people say they will get better is "they have another year under there belt".  UGA was young last year, performed very well and only lost 2 games.  They lost no playmakers at all on the offense or defense to graduation or draft. 


 
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Posted: #130
young-


again, i love all your picks this week






GL to all
 
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Posted: #131
rankings look pretty good to me... maybe 1 or 2 minor changes, but otherwise looks about right...
 
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Posted: #132
Younger have you looked at the Tulane-UL-Monroe game.  ULM +6 has a D that isn't too shabby 23rd in the country overall. 
 
or Ball St. +3.5 has been impressive looking also...Thoughts??
 
BOL
 
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by dyounger:

Gatornation- What playmakers do Florida have besides Harvin and Tebow?   What defensive play makers do they have besides Brandon Spiikes? Im going with the team who actually has a very good defense and 3 very good running backs to carry them through the SEC schedule.  Tebow wont make it through this year with the same amount of rushing attempts as he had last year.  Im not buying the Florida hype, after all they were a 4 loss team last year and the only reason people say they will get better is "they have another year under there belt".  UGA was young last year, performed very well and only lost 2 games.  They lost no playmakers at all on the offense or defense to graduation or draft. 




But they lost starting FB, OL, and DL to injuries.  South Carolina exposed how weak UGA's offensive line is this year.  Bring a little bit of pressure and make Stafford scarmble.
 
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Posted: #134
Adding:
Miss st/ Georgia Tech Under 38
 
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Posted: #135
Thats a GREAT CARD DY
 
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Posted: #136
ALL OVER LSU!!!!!!!!  
 
And just don't see Vandy getting beat by more than a TD!
 
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Posted: #137
0-1 so far this week

Tonights play:
Colorado +3.5
 
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Posted: #138
There is also a couple of games on the card right now i am thinking about switching to the otherside.  Ill keep you posted when i make the play

Bama is the main 1 im thinking about flipping on
 
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Posted: #139
Ok canceling my Alabama bet of -9.5 and -8.5


Adding:
Arkansas +10 (bought the hook) LARGE

I may put some on the ML also.


 
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Posted: #140
Updated card:
Arkansas +10
Arkansas ML +290
Colorado +3.5
K st -3            Lose
Tenn +7.5
Tenn ML +255
Wake Forest +4
Vandy +5.5
LSU -2.5
UGA -6.5
UGA -5 (got it from VIP and bought hook)
Vandy +7
Miss St. +8
Miss st/ Georgia Tech Under 38
 
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Posted: #141
Quote Originally Posted by dyounger:

Updated card:
Arkansas +10
Arkansas ML +290
Colorado +3.5
K st -3            Lose
Tenn +7.5
Tenn ML +255
Wake Forest +4
Vandy +5.5
LSU -2.5
UGA -6.5
UGA -5 (got it from VIP and bought hook)
Vandy +7
Miss St. +8
Miss st/ Georgia Tech Under 38


I'm with you on Wake, Vandy, UGA, and Miss St.
 
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Posted: #142

Quote Originally Posted by Faber_Guy:



save yer $ on the fighting cowbells.  they get rolled.

 

D'oh.  That's not what I wanted to see.   This guy doesn't post much, but he's usually right when he does. 

 

GL this weekend DY. 

 
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Posted: #143
Over the last 3 years Home dogs of more than 9 points in SEC conference play:
Wins: 9
Losses: 2
SU wins: 2
 
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Posted: #144

DYounger...

I am with you on Tenn...I have been watching SEC football my entire life and believe this game will be a close battle.  I also see Florida having big problems adjusting to a secondary that is really good.  Thier secondary is alot better then people think.  They stuck in Cover2 in the UCLA game looking for INT's when they should have played man.  Tenn's coaching in the game was atrocious, but this game...all the difference.  They will play shutdown defense and run the ball down Florida's throat. 

Florida 26  Tenn 24  The only reason for the score is because I am part of the Gator Nation!  Go Gators.

 
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Posted: #145
Pricedin- Glad to see you on Tenn also


Maineroad-looked at some of his posts
GL this week


dfk711-GL this week
 
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Posted: #146
Adding:
Colorado ML +135

After research i found that homedogs playing on Week day prime time games have a 17-13-2 ATS record. Of the 17 covers, 10 of them were SU wins. 

Like my odds to get a straight up win here
 
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Posted: #147

Dyounger...

With you on Tennessee. If Chavis can keep pressure on Tebow and force him into hurried throws, the seconday will make plays. This isn't the same secondary that Florida torched last year (thank God Hefney is gone), and the addition of Morley and Berry's improvement (scary thought) will challenge every one of Tebow's throws. Coach Drayton, UT's new RB's coach who was at Florida last year, can provide some great insight to what is going on in the other locker room and will have Foster mentally ready to go for this game. If Foster, Hardesty, and Creer can put together a solid, punishing game on the ground to tire the Gators up front and take a load off Crompton's shoulders, I don't see why there can't be an upset in Neyland on Saturday. If anybody follows Tennessee football, they should know that Tennessee plays it's best when nobody expects a thing out of them and their backs are up against the wall, I suppose that's how they like it 

One question, why the switch with Arkansas Alabama? I'm on Arkansas as well, but wanted to hear your insight.

BOL, we're on a lot of the same plays this weekend

 
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Posted: #148

Dyounger...

With you on Tennessee. If Chavis can keep pressure on Tebow and force him into hurried throws, the seconday will make plays. This isn't the same secondary that Florida torched last year (thank God Hefney is gone), and the addition of Morley and Berry's improvement (scary thought) will challenge every one of Tebow's throws. Coach Drayton, UT's new RB's coach who was at Florida last year, can provide some great insight to what is going on in the other locker room and will have Foster mentally ready to go for this game. If Foster, Hardesty, and Creer can put together a solid, punishing game on the ground to tire the Gators up front and take a load off Crompton's shoulders, I don't see why there can't be an upset in Neyland on Saturday. If anybody follows Tennessee football, they should know that Tennessee plays it's best when nobody expects a thing out of them and their backs are up against the wall, I suppose that's how they like it 

One question, why the switch with Arkansas Alabama? I'm on Arkansas as well, but wanted to hear your insight.

BOL, we're on a lot of the same plays this weekend

 
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Posted: #149
Jallen2232- Nice to see you on the same side. I switched my bet to Arkansas for a couple of different reasons.  After some further research and realizing i had to much road chalk on my ticket.  Arkansas looked like the best to flip on.  Arkansas has had extra time to prepare for this game since there game last week was postponed.  According to Patrino they got in 2 practices that they wouldn't usually get and also all the extra preparation the coaches were able to do with the extra time.  Its no secret Arkansas has been struggling and i think Bama players know that and it will be hard to Saban to keep them motivated, especially with a HUGE game @  no.3 ranked UGA on deck for next week.  Another thing is home dogs catching 9 or more in SEC conference play over the past 3 years:
9 wins
2 loses
2 SU wins
 
 
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Posted: #150
Nice glad to see I have a lot of the same games as you Arkansas, Wake Forest, and Georgia.
 
Only opposite with Ga Tech
 
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