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Spooky Express College Football Bowl season Bowling for Dollars selection and analysis thread

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Posted: #151
GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL

MICHIGAN STATE vs BAYLOR
Thursday, Jan. 1, 12:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

Let’s not overlook the Spartans here, because this is an incredibly talented team. In fact, the Bears are getting the love here because of their strong year, which is rightfully earned, but I think the Spartans get the job done and win this game by close to a touchdown. Without crunching numbers I would think that this is all about Baylor but the numbers say otherwise. And who am I too argue. This is another great spot for a money line underdog, but I’ll take Michigan State and the points. I do want to see how the Big Ten is doing leading up to this game but its a go. As mentioned with the other posts the numbers aligned and showed the Big Ten is solid and the SEC is not all that. So rolling with Michigan State and really like this game. I going big on this and interested to see how it plays out.

MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS +3
 
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Posted: #152
OUTBACK BOWL

AUBURN vs WISCONSIN
Thursday, Jan. 1, 12:00 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Update

I actually believe that the wrong side is favored here. The Badgers are undervalued here after that brutal loss to the Buckeyes, and I think they win this game by more than a touchdown and shock both the SEC and the Auburn Tigers. It’s a major upset, but taking the Badgers on the money line can pay off nicely, but either way, stick with the Badgers and the points in a worst case. As stated on other reviews I do want to see how the Big Ten does in some of these bowl games but this looks like one of those games where everyone zigs and Spooky zags. As it turned out the way it looked is the way it played out. SEC no big deal, Big Ten for real. Rolling with Wisconsin especially since they are giving us so many points. Even worth a shot on the moneyline.


WISCONSIN BADGERS +8
 
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Posted: #153
BUFFALO WILD WINGS CITRUS BOWL

MISSOURI vs MINNESOTA
Thursday, Jan. 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
ABC
Update
What a brutal game to call. These two sides seem to be pretty evenly matched, and while I wouldn’t be surprised to see either team walk away with the win, I think it’s going to really come down to the wire. Since I think this one ends up being a close game, I’m going to take the Golden Gophers to cover the spread in a game that could end up coming down to a late field goal from Missouri, or possibly a late field goal from Minnesota. Great game to watch, let’s roll with the Gophers! And once again lets see how the Big Ten does in these bowl games so definitely check back closer to game time for a final decision. The only time I really had an issue is when one team is picked to win and another to cover the points with the bowl system. Had some ups and downs but the strongest plays have worked out this bowl season. Back to this game, I am going with what I believe is the team that will win the game. Head likes it a lot, numbers not so much. So going to buy down a little.


MISSOURI TIGERS -3
 
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Posted: #154
ROSE BOWL

#2 OREGON vs #3 FLORIDA STATE
Thursday, Jan. 1, 5:00 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

Let’s start by saying that you can’t say enough about a team finishing back-to-back seasons undefeated. This doesn’t mean that they are the best team on the field, though. I think Oregon wins this game without a question, and while I don’t love laying the big number, I’d prefer to tease it down or buy points to get this to a touchdown or an even number. Take the odds and make the bet, but I expect to see the Ducks get the job done and move to the first ever CFB Playoff Championship Game. Come back closer to gametime since we may have an opinion on the total. Personally this has been the quietest bowl season for me with totals. Usually they either are great or horrible. They are only opinions and tonight I kind of like the Over as well but very small opinion. Back to the game, such a good game and tough game to call. Sticking with Oregon if only because I am a Pac 12 fan (FIGHT ON) and we have some futures on Oregon to win the National Championship. Thats enough of a reason. 
OREGON DUCKS -7 
 
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Posted: #155
ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL

#1 ALABAMA vs #4 OHIO STATE
Thursday, Jan. 1, 8:30 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

Ohio State keeps this game close. They are well-coached, are loaded with talent, and simply aren’t getting enough love in this game. I think that Ohio State shows up big, and actually slows down the Alabama offense. While the Bama defense will be a tough test for the Buckeyes, they’ll utilize that talented run game and control the clock. I think Alabama could win this game, but it won’t be by 10+ points. What even surprised me is how strong this selection was and how much the system leaned on the Big Ten. And it wasnt wrong. The line has been coming down but we took this weeks ago at plus 10 and honestly Im adding to it now. Not sure if the moneyline dog will come into play but why not start the new year off with a bang. Down goes the SEC.


OHIO STATE BUCKEYES +10
 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by doggs:

Thanks for the info Spooky.  You can't predict that some of these bowl teams won't show up.  But if they both do you have put out solid analysis.  I like this thread.  

Thanks doggs.  Had a nice run with Arkansas, Clemson, TCU, Boise State, Stanford and LSU Over as strong plays until Miss St. garbage the bed last night.  The strength of the plays are always posted at the Express website, sorry for being self serving.  :)  

Big day today and lets go big or go home.  Happy New Year!
 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by SpookyExpress:

BUFFALO WILD WINGS CITRUS BOWL

MISSOURI vs MINNESOTA
Thursday, Jan. 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
ABC
Update
What a brutal game to call. These two sides seem to be pretty evenly matched, and while I wouldn’t be surprised to see either team walk away with the win, I think it’s going to really come down to the wire. Since I think this one ends up being a close game, I’m going to take the Golden Gophers to cover the spread in a game that could end up coming down to a late field goal from Missouri, or possibly a late field goal from Minnesota. Great game to watch, let’s roll with the Gophers! And once again lets see how the Big Ten does in these bowl games so definitely check back closer to game time for a final decision. The only time I really had an issue is when one team is picked to win and another to cover the points with the bowl system. Had some ups and downs but the strongest plays have worked out this bowl season. Back to this game, I am going with what I believe is the team that will win the game. Head likes it a lot, numbers not so much. So going to buy down a little.


MISSOURI TIGERS -3

I am confused  - whats the pick here? Gophers or Tigers?
 
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Posted: #158
Quote Originally Posted by fkhan3:


I am confused  - whats the pick here? Gophers or Tigers?

The pick is Missouri.   As posted.  Unfortunately we write these articles weeks ago.  As stated this is the only time I ever ever crunch numbers in handicapping and doing so it sometimes creates a conflict with what I am playing.  I write that up on my initial few threads.  Plus the posts are listed at the website so I do my best to copy it over here but unfortunately there is only so much time in the day.  I apologize for the confusion but its listed as Missouri.  Win or lose.  GL 
 
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Posted: #159


ROSE BOWL

#2 OREGON vs #3 FLORIDA STATE
Thursday, Jan. 1, 5:00 p.m. ET
ESPN

Final Update
Apologize but I realize I mis typed on the write up for the total.  So adding it to the play below.  Its correct at website.  Sorry.


Let’s start by saying that you can’t say enough about a team finishing back-to-back seasons undefeated. This doesn’t mean that they are the best team on the field, though. I think Oregon wins this game without a question, and while I don’t love laying the big number, I’d prefer to tease it down or buy points to get this to a touchdown or an even number. Take the odds and make the bet, but I expect to see the Ducks get the job done and move to the first ever CFB Playoff Championship Game. Come back closer to gametime since we may have an opinion on the total. Personally this has been the quietest bowl season for me with totals. Usually they either are great or horrible. They are only opinions and tonight I kind of like the Under as well but very small opinion. Back to the game, such a good game and tough game to call. Sticking with Oregon if only because I am a Pac 12 fan (FIGHT ON) and we have some futures on Oregon to win the National Championship. Thats enough of a reason.


OREGON DUCKS -7
OREGON DUCKS / FLORIDA STATE UNDER 75 POINTS
 
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Posted: #160
HAPPY friggin NEW YEAR!!!!

Thank you Michigan State... What a New Years Day so far.
Almost makes up for Western Kentucky.  lol
 
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Posted: #161
Wham Bam Thank you Ma'am. 
5-0 New Years Day sweep and 3 moneyline dogs

Happy New Year!!
 
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Posted: #162
Great write up, great winner for today..
thank you for all your time, i hope we'll get the rest of the bowl game
thanx again!!
 
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Posted: #163
outstanding job man.
bigFnPOO
 
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Posted: #164
  Got some games tomorrow!   Great Day Spooke,u r the man
 
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Posted: #165
goooooooooood  job mi friend !!!!  i love your contest with key pick not a good bowl season but its very funny ,
 
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Posted: #166
LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL

HOUSTON vs PITTSBURGH
Friday, Jan. 2, 12:00 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

The Cougars take advantage with their strong defense and win this game by a field goal or more. I’d recommend taking the Cougars getting three points, but also will take them as a money line underdog as well. It’s a great spot here to get some good odds, and getting a field goal with Houston is just a nice added bonus. Not sure how it can get any better than New Years Day but here is another moneyline underdog and we are rolling with the Cougars.


HOUSTON COUGARS +5 
 
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Posted: #167
TAXSLAYER BOWL

IOWA vs TENNESSEE
Friday, Jan 2., 3:20 p.m. ET
ESPN

Update

I love the Hawkeyes as another money line underdog here. I think they win this game outright and take it down by a touchdown or so. They’re a very talented team, and will be motivated heading into this one. Simply put, they are better than the Volunteers, and I believe that it shows. Take Iowa straight, or if you’re worried about the money line bet, then take them +3.5. The run game could be key for Iowa, and I just don’t think that the Volunteers are going to be able to get enough going offensive in order to knock off the Hawkeyes. Not sure how and why the line kept moving in the other direction but that happened with Clemson and Wisconsin to name a couple. So lets do it again, another moneyline dog and if you are like me and played any small round robins with these moneyline dogs this game is worth a ton. Roll Hawkeyes in a low scoring game. 

IOWA HAWKEYES +5 

IOWA HAWKEYES / TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS UNDER 53 POINTS 
 
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Posted: #168
VALERO ALAMO BOWL

KANSAS STATE vs UCLA
Friday, Jan. 2, 6:45 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

Kansas State is going to take this one, and I’ll happily take them as a money line underdog in this spot. It’s not going to be an easy game, but K-State is the more well-rounded and better team. I think their offense will get the job done and Lockett will prove to be a matchup disaster for the Bruins when all is said and done. Let’s roll with the Wildcats. No idea why the line is going in our favor and no idea why UCLA is now favored. We took KSU at pickem early and now have put them in our final leg of our round robin moneyline parlay. At this point if things work in our favor today we could have a 7 or 8 team moneyline parlay cashing 56 times in our round robin. So needless to say it could be like the lottery. It may even come down to playing UCLA and hedging some, but lets roll with the Wildcats since not everyone played the dogs as I posted weeks ago in a parlay.

KANSAS STATE WILDCATS +3 
 
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Posted: #169
TICKET CITY CACTUS BOWL

WASHINGTON vs OKLAHOMA STATE
Friday, Jan. 2, 10:15 p.m. ET
ESPN
Update

Washington is the bet here, and I think they win this game by right around two touchdowns. Chris Petersen leads his team to a bowl game win in his first year with the Huskies, and does it in impressive fashion. Take the Huskies because I simply don’t believe that the Cowboys’ defense will be able to slow down the Huskies, nor will they be able to put up enough points to get the win either. One of the few games the points went against us from the time we played this early on. One of my stronger plays of the week, lets close off a tremendous week with another Pac 12 winners.

WASHINGTON HUSKIES -5 
 
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Posted: #170
If you read early on about our moneyline dogs at BangtheBook then you can understand what could be happening today if you followed in any way. Personally played them straight for the most part in a very small sense but played them in some round robin parlays as bowl season went along for a few dollars. Today we have our last 2 (and possibly 3 if you want to add Kansas State to the mix) underdogs and that means a chance to hit 28 or 56 round robins all with underdogs. So it may not be the lottery but it could be something big. Good luck to everyone that followed.  After a slow start I think you can see we have had another winning year once again in bowl season.  Will update records soon. 


Quote Originally Posted by SpookyExpress:

This is where I get started early on.

Here will be all the team strengths indicating what teams are the strongest plays based solely on the system and based on the current pointspread.

Without question we will be rolling with Colorado State, Louisiana Tech, Clemson, Boise State, Wisconsin, Stanford, Iowa, Ohio State and Miami as our solid plays and games we will not be looking back. Lots more big plays as we go along but if you want to get started early on.

As far as Money Line Dogs here is where you can make a lot of money with very little risk. Parlays, round robins and some straight plays. Jumping on La. Lafayette early as a small underdog, but also lets roll with Colorado State, Rice, Clemson, Boise State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Houston and Iowa. We may reserve some judgement on these Big Ten teams but right now they look like great value. There are a few other plays that may show great value on the money line but again will have to decide closer to gametime. 

As the odds change so can the selection. There will be more in the coming weeks more analysis and capping for each game along with some totals (Over/Unders) which will be posted much closer to game time since weather and other developments effect the game.

 

 
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Posted: #171

You are the man!!! Awesome write-ups and great picks!!

 
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Posted: #172
After a slow start to bowl season it has picked up in a dramatic way. So once again we have had another winning bowl season. The totals have been atrocious but again they are only opinions and really dont make or break what we do. What has made this a fantastic bowl season has been the moneyline underdogs. We have hit so many and that possibly could turn this into one of the best ever if you possibly parlayed any of them. We posted them weeks ago with little understanding how they would create a snowball rolling downhill in a good way. Clemson, Boise State, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Ohio State all coming thru recently just maximizes the few games that are left. Here is the records for this year posted at BangtheBook and our website.

SPOOKY 2014/2015 BOWL RECORD 

20 WINS

16 LOSSES

UNITS

63 UNITS WON

37 UNITS LOST


 
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Posted: #173
Had to break it down in 2 posts since Covers limits the amount of characters in 1 post. 


SIDES

18 WINS

11 LOSSES

UNITS (Each unit valued at 3x compared to total)

58 UNITS WON

26 UNITS LOST

TOTALS

2 WINS

6 LOSSES

UNITS

5 UNIT WON

12 UNITS LOST
 
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Posted: #174
SPOOKY MAGIC

UNBELIEVABLE
 
 
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Posted: #175
Sweet call on Washington you fuckboy
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