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TD Week 1

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Posted: #151
. FANTASTIC WORK 


Sweep your board in week 2 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #152
Quote Originally Posted by ProPickers:

Hey TD is Week 2 thread coming up ir have i missed the post?


ProPickers, no week 2 thread.  I had my fun weekend of CFB at a couple sportsbooks out of state.  My Sunday and Monday were a pretty strict routine and I didn't want to post my plays well after the opening lines had moved (on the wrong side of a couple moves, but not many).  .......... Not that it would be much different than posting ASAP on a Sunday (ATS) or Monday (Totals /FCS) as the BOL openers move rapidly anyway (at least on Sides, not quite as much initial movement on Totals).  Anyway, I try to be as transparent as possible.


Besides if I just sit out the rest of the season I can be the only guy here to legitimately say I had 40+ posted plays and hit my season long goal of over 85% win percentage.   


........ Up 38 units already - I'll continue to hit it pretty hard for the month of September (as best I can anyway with limits) while I still feel I have an edge on making off-season adjustments along with playing spots, matchups, any advantage I can get really, and FCS games of course.  But after that I'll put it on cruise control.  I plan to spend a little more time focused on the family.  My busiest time of year is the prep work before the season.  Once the season gets here it goes fast week by week, kind of a blur.  When I have several months to prepare, well, you've seen the results the last few years.  Thanks for noticing.  I appreciate your kind words.  Good luck this week!

 
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Posted: #153
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

. FANTASTIC WORK 


Sweep your board in week 2 

DoubleUp, thanks as always for your kind words.  

And well done yourself, just watching you the last couple years, I feel you're really stepping up to another level.  
 
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Posted: #154

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Quote Originally Posted by ProPickers:

Hey TD is Week 2 thread coming up ir have i missed the post?
ProPickers, no week 2 thread.  I had my fun weekend of CFB at a couple sportsbooks out of state.  My Sunday and Monday were a pretty strict routine and I didn't want to post my plays well after the opening lines had moved (on the wrong side of a couple moves, but not many).  .......... Not that it would be much different than posting ASAP on a Sunday (ATS) or Monday (Totals /FCS) as the BOL openers move rapidly anyway (at least on Sides, not quite as much initial movement on Totals).  Anyway, I try to be as transparent as possible.Besides if I just sit out the rest of the season I can be the only guy here to legitimately say I had 40+ posted plays and hit my season long goal of over 85% win percentage.   ........ Up 38 units already - I'll continue to hit it pretty hard for the month of September (as best I can anyway with limits) while I still feel I have an edge on making off-season adjustments along with playing spots, matchups, any advantage I can get really, and FCS games of course.  But after that I'll put it on cruise control.  I plan to spend a little more time focused on the family.  My busiest time of year is the prep work before the season.  Once the season gets here it goes fast week by week, kind of a blur.  When I have several months to prepare, well, you've seen the results the last few years.  Thanks for noticing.  I appreciate your kind words.  Good luck this week!

 

Sorry if you just explained this already and I'm a bit thick, ha -- but do you mean you won't be posting weekly threads going forward this year, or that you will but just for September?

Thanks for all the info and sharing you do, whatever your plans are. Very much appreciated.

 
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Posted: #155
Quote Originally Posted by Vituperate:

How come you lost 3 games? 


Almost missed this .... 6 losses is correct.  35-6 overall.  But I must say that the Northern Iowa / Iowa State Under 42 was a bad beat with 26 points in regulation and needing 3 overtimes to beat me.

 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends:

ProPickers, no week 2 thread.  I had my fun weekend of CFB at a couple sportsbooks out of state.  My Sunday and Monday were a pretty strict routine and I didn't want to post my plays well after the opening lines had moved (on the wrong side of a couple moves, but not many).  .......... Not that it would be much different than posting ASAP on a Sunday (ATS) or Monday (Totals /FCS) as the BOL openers move rapidly anyway (at least on Sides, not quite as much initial movement on Totals).  Anyway, I try to be as transparent as possible.Besides if I just sit out the rest of the season I can be the only guy here to legitimately say I had 40+ posted plays and hit my season long goal of over 85% win percentage.   ........ Up 38 units already - I'll continue to hit it pretty hard for the month of September (as best I can anyway with limits) while I still feel I have an edge on making off-season adjustments along with playing spots, matchups, any advantage I can get really, and FCS games of course.  But after that I'll put it on cruise control.  I plan to spend a little more time focused on the family.  My busiest time of year is the prep work before the season.  Once the season gets here it goes fast week by week, kind of a blur.  When I have several months to prepare, well, you've seen the results the last few years.  Thanks for noticing.  I appreciate your kind words.  Good luck this week!

 

Sorry if you just explained this already and I'm a bit thick, ha -- but do you mean you won't be posting weekly threads going forward this year, or that you will but just for September?

Thanks for all the info and sharing you do, whatever your plans are. Very much appreciated.


BetFriends, I haven't really decided yet.  Going to just make it up as I go depending on if I have extra time.  I'm sure I'll be posting plays.  Hard to stay away from this place.  
 
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Posted: #157

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends:

ProPickers, no week 2 thread.  I had my fun weekend of CFB at a couple sportsbooks out of state.  My Sunday and Monday were a pretty strict routine and I didn't want to post my plays well after the opening lines had moved (on the wrong side of a couple moves, but not many).  .......... Not that it would be much different than posting ASAP on a Sunday (ATS) or Monday (Totals /FCS) as the BOL openers move rapidly anyway (at least on Sides, not quite as much initial movement on Totals).  Anyway, I try to be as transparent as possible.Besides if I just sit out the rest of the season I can be the only guy here to legitimately say I had 40+ posted plays and hit my season long goal of over 85% win percentage.   ........ Up 38 units already - I'll continue to hit it pretty hard for the month of September (as best I can anyway with limits) while I still feel I have an edge on making off-season adjustments along with playing spots, matchups, any advantage I can get really, and FCS games of course.  But after that I'll put it on cruise control.  I plan to spend a little more time focused on the family.  My busiest time of year is the prep work before the season.  Once the season gets here it goes fast week by week, kind of a blur.  When I have several months to prepare, well, you've seen the results the last few years.  Thanks for noticing.  I appreciate your kind words.  Good luck this week!   Sorry if you just explained this already and I'm a bit thick, ha -- but do you mean you won't be posting weekly threads going forward this year, or that you will but just for September? Thanks for all the info and sharing you do, whatever your plans are. Very much appreciated.
BetFriends, I haven't really decided yet.  Going to just make it up as I go depending on if I have extra time.  I'm sure I'll be posting plays.  Hard to stay away from this place.

Enjoy the season! I'm sure I speak for most here when I say we appreciate knowing what you're on regardless of whether you get the open line posted bere on time or not. It shouldn't feel like such a job, and just appreciate the sharing.

Thanks again an_cheers

 
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Posted: #158

[/Quote] Enjoy the season! I'm sure I speak for most here when I say we appreciate knowing what you're on regardless of whether you get the open line posted here* on time or not. It shouldn't feel like a job*, and just appreciate the sharing. Thanks again[/Quote]

I haven't been drinking, I just type like it an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #159

Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends:

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Quote Originally Posted by ProPickers:

Hey TD is Week 2 thread coming up ir have i missed the post?
ProPickers, no week 2 thread.  I had my fun weekend of CFB at a couple sportsbooks out of state.  My Sunday and Monday were a pretty strict routine and I didn't want to post my plays well after the opening lines had moved (on the wrong side of a couple moves, but not many).  .......... Not that it would be much different than posting ASAP on a Sunday (ATS) or Monday (Totals /FCS) as the BOL openers move rapidly anyway (at least on Sides, not quite as much initial movement on Totals).  Anyway, I try to be as transparent as possible.Besides if I just sit out the rest of the season I can be the only guy here to legitimately say I had 40+ posted plays and hit my season long goal of over 85% win percentage.   ........ Up 38 units already - I'll continue to hit it pretty hard for the month of September (as best I can anyway with limits) while I still feel I have an edge on making off-season adjustments along with playing spots, matchups, any advantage I can get really, and FCS games of course.  But after that I'll put it on cruise control.  I plan to spend a little more time focused on the family.  My busiest time of year is the prep work before the season.  Once the season gets here it goes fast week by week, kind of a blur.  When I have several months to prepare, well, you've seen the results the last few years.  Thanks for noticing.  I appreciate your kind words.  Good luck this week!
  Sorry if you just explained this already and I'm a bit thick, ha -- but do you mean you won't be posting weekly threads going forward this year, or that you will but just for September? Thanks for all the info and sharing you do, whatever your plans are. Very much appreciated.

 

agree.  hopefully will see you post each week, even if we missed some of the good nubmers.  good to see what you like/played

 

 

 
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Posted: #160

I’ve had baseball and soccer practice this week (coaching) and now tonight I have a marathon coaches meeting for the upcoming basketball season (who TF does that on a Friday night).  As long as everyone is smart enough to use a little common sense on what to play on their own based on current lines then late tonight I should have time to throw all of my pending plays up in this thread.  BetFriends, I appreciate you saying you just want to know what side I’m on. I did put in a high volume of plays on Sunday & Monday and some additions since then.  I’ll put everything up when I can.  For tonight I have WF -19.5 I believe for 0.5u.  I’m obviously a little inefficient this week and well, just d@mn busy.  Bear with me fellas.

 
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Posted: #161

Hah.   I played fball in the acc and now all I do is coach my kids in youth sports all day and night.    When they play well it feels better than any game I ever played in and makes all the time spent well worth it!!! 

Enjoy reading your stuff and good luck with the upcoming seasons brotha.  

 
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Posted: #162

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

I’ve had baseball and soccer practice this week (coaching) and now tonight I have a marathon coaches meeting for the upcoming basketball season (who TF does that on a Friday night).  As long as everyone is smart enough to use a little common sense on what to play on their own based on current lines then late tonight I should have time to throw all of my pending plays up in this thread.  BetFriends, I appreciate you saying you just want to know what side I’m on. I did put in a high volume of plays on Sunday & Monday and some additions since then.  I’ll put everything up when I can.  For tonight I have WF -19.5 I believe for 0.5u.  I’m obviously a little inefficient this week and well, just d@mn busy.  Bear with me fellas.

 

Yeah, for sure. Obviously only tail what hasn't crossed important key numbers, etc. 

Thanks again for all you do an_cheers And like others said, only post when it's not a hassle for you. Family and life comes before degens, ha! 

 
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Posted: #163

Thank you TD.  You da man.  Really appreciate you posting those week 2 thoughts whenever you get around to it.   Have a great day

 
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Posted: #164

Sure put some time in. Not many do 6 months of research from bowl season on and see it the way you do. Good work

 
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Posted: #165
Friday 9/6:

WF -19.5 (0.5u)
Just Added:  W&M / UVa Under 51.5 (0.5u)
 
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Posted: #166
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Friday 9/6:

WF -19.5 (0.5u)
Just Added:  W&M / UVa Under 51.5 (0.5u)

Meant to add, back later for Saturday plays.
 
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Posted: #167

You mean 31.5 under?  That’s what I’m seeing. 

 
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Posted: #168
keep the hot start going TD 
 
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Posted: #169
Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42:

You mean 31.5 under?  That’s what I’m seeing. 


No idea what you were looking at for 31.5. .... I took Under 51.5 in the Virginia / William & Mary game.

Just live bet it Under 61.5 as well.

 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by sportschat:

keep the hot start going TD 

Thanks sportschat, I took your Delaware squad this week.  Hope that's one of the winners!

 
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Posted: #171
Alright, as mentioned earlier FWIW here is the long list of plays I have locked in for this week.  Units listed are overall for the play.  I'm not going to breakdown the % of each overall unit if I played it more than once at a couple different #s.  
Also, one play in particular I waited on purpose and have not locked in yet, we'll see if that backfires on this game.  Will try to post it tomorrow if/when I lock it in.

Tulane +21 & +19.5 (2u)
Utah / Northern Illinois  Under 45 & U44  (2u)
Iowa / Rutgers Under 51 & U50.5 (1.5u)
UAB -12, -10, & -7 (hook)  (1.5u)
South Dakota / Oklahoma Under 80.5 (1.4u)
"GOY" preseason lines:  Texas A&M +21 & +17 (1u)
Kent State PK  (1u)
Utah -18.5  (1u)
Illinois  (1u)
Michigan /Army Under 49  (1u)
Michigan State / WMU  Under 47.5  (1u)
Clemson Under 64.5 & Under 60 -105 (1u)
Kansas -9.5 & -7 -118  (1u)
Furman +7.5  (1u)
Maine +10 hook  (1u)
"GOY" preseason line:  LSU -2.5  (0.75u)
Cal +14.5 hook  (0.75u)
Syracuse -3  (0.75u) 
Nebraska -3.5 & -6  (0.75u)
Kansas State -23.5  (0.75u)
Penn State / Buffalo Under 57  (0.75u)
SMU -3 -117  (0.75u)
South Carolina minus I'm not admitting the #  (bet it before I knew Jake Bentley will be OUT...... oops).  Anyway, I'd give SC -33.5 (current line) a look even with the backup QB in.

Wake Forest -19.5  (0.5u)
Ohio U. +7  (0.5u)
San Diego State +7.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State / Minnesota Under 47.5  (0.5u)
Auburn team total Under 35  (0.5u)
W&M / Virginia (0.5u)  looks like a loss as I write this at halftime.  Hopefully in-game U61.5 & later U71.5 will both hit to only lose the juice on the original play.
Charleston Southern / South Carolina Over 39.5 & O40  (0.5u)
Stanford +3  (0.25u)
Stanford / USC Under 45.5  (0.25u)
Florida State -20  (0.25u)
Texas State / Wyoming Under 46.5  (0.25u)
Pitt team total Under 29  (0.25u)
Eastern Illinois / Indiana Under 64.5  (0.2u)

College Extra:
North Dakota +28.5, +30.5, & +31.5  (0.8u)
Delaware +3.5, +4.5, & +5.5  (0.6u)
Georgetown -1, -3, & +1.5  (0.6u)
North Alabama +24 & +27  (0.4u)
Cal Poly / Weber State  Under 52.5  (0.4u)
Delaware / Rhode Island Under 51.5  (0.4u)
Bryant / Albany  Under 69.5  (0.2u)
Texas Southern / Incarnate Word Over 61  (0.2u)
Stephen F. Austin  -1.5  (0.2u)
South Dakota State -37.5  (0.2u)





 
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Posted: #172
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Alright, as mentioned earlier FWIW here is the long list of plays I have locked in for this week.  Units listed are overall for the play.  I'm not going to breakdown the % of each overall unit if I played it more than once at a couple different #s.  
Also, one play in particular I waited on purpose and have not locked in yet, we'll see if that backfires on this game.  Will try to post it tomorrow if/when I lock it in.

Tulane +21 & +19.5 (2u)
Utah / Northern Illinois  Under 45 & U44  (2u)
Iowa / Rutgers Under 51 & U50.5 (1.5u)
UAB -12, -10, & -7 (hook)  (1.5u)
South Dakota / Oklahoma Under 80.5 (1.4u)
"GOY" preseason lines:  Texas A&M +21 & +17 (1u)
Kent State PK  (1u)
Utah -18.5  (1u)
Illinois -18  (1u)
Michigan /Army Under 49  (1u)
Michigan State / WMU  Under 47.5  (1u)
Clemson Under 64.5 & Under 60 -105 (1u)
Kansas -9.5 & -7 -118  (1u)
Furman +7.5  (1u)
Maine +10 hook  (1u)
"GOY" preseason line:  LSU -2.5  (0.75u)
Cal +14.5 hook  (0.75u)
Syracuse -3  (0.75u) 
Nebraska -3.5 & -6  (0.75u)
Kansas State -23.5  (0.75u)
Penn State / Buffalo Under 57  (0.75u)
SMU -3 -117  (0.75u)
South Carolina minus I'm not admitting the #  (bet it before I knew Jake Bentley will be OUT...... oops).  Anyway, I'd give SC -33.5 (current line) a look even with the backup QB in.

Wake Forest -19.5  (0.5u)
Ohio U. +7  (0.5u)
San Diego State +7.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State / Minnesota Under 47.5  (0.5u)
Auburn team total Under 35  (0.5u)
W&M / Virginia Under 51.5 (0.5u)  looks like a loss as I write this at halftime.  Hopefully in-game U61.5 & later U71.5 will both hit to only lose the juice on the original play.
Charleston Southern / South Carolina Over 39.5 & O40  (0.5u)
Stanford +3  (0.25u)
Stanford / USC Under 45.5  (0.25u)
Florida State -20  (0.25u)
Texas State / Wyoming Under 46.5  (0.25u)
Pitt team total Under 29  (0.25u)
Eastern Illinois / Indiana Under 64.5  (0.2u)

College Extra:
North Dakota +28.5, +30.5, & +31.5  (0.8u)
Delaware +3.5, +4.5, & +5.5  (0.6u)
Georgetown -1, -3, & +1.5  (0.6u)
North Alabama +24 & +27  (0.4u)
Cal Poly / Weber State  Under 52.5  (0.4u)
Delaware / Rhode Island Under 51.5  (0.4u)
Bryant / Albany  Under 69.5  (0.2u)
Texas Southern / Incarnate Word Over 61  (0.2u)
Stephen F. Austin  -1.5  (0.2u)
South Dakota State -37.5  (0.2u)


A couple #s left out are now inserted above in red.
 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Alright, as mentioned earlier FWIW here is the long list of plays I have locked in for this week.  Units listed are overall for the play.  I'm not going to breakdown the % of each overall unit if I played it more than once at a couple different #s.  
Also, one play in particular I waited on purpose and have not locked in yet, we'll see if that backfires on this game.  Will try to post it tomorrow if/when I lock it in.

Tulane +21 & +19.5 (2u)
Utah / Northern Illinois  Under 45 & U44  (2u)
Iowa / Rutgers Under 51 & U50.5 (1.5u)
UAB -12, -10, & -7 (hook)  (1.5u)
South Dakota / Oklahoma Under 80.5 (1.4u)
"GOY" preseason lines:  Texas A&M +21 & +17 (1u)
Kent State PK  (1u)
Utah -18.5  (1u)
Illinois -18  (1u)
Michigan /Army Under 49  (1u)
Michigan State / WMU  Under 47.5  (1u)
Clemson Under 64.5 & Under 60 -105 (1u)
Kansas -9.5 & -7 -118  (1u)
Furman +7.5  (1u)
Maine +10 hook  (1u)
"GOY" preseason line:  LSU -2.5  (0.75u)
Cal +14.5 hook  (0.75u)
Syracuse -3  (0.75u) 
Nebraska -3.5 & -6  (0.75u)
Kansas State -23.5  (0.75u)
Penn State / Buffalo Under 57  (0.75u)
SMU -3 -117  (0.75u)
South Carolina minus I'm not admitting the #  (bet it before I knew Jake Bentley will be OUT...... oops).  Anyway, I'd give SC -33.5 (current line) a look even with the backup QB in.  Full disclosure, I have SC -40.  They may still cover, but QB injury move was a 6.5 point move.

Wake Forest -19.5  (0.5u)
Ohio U. +7  (0.5u)
San Diego State +7.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State / Minnesota Under 47.5  (0.5u)
Auburn team total Under 35  (0.5u)
W&M / Virginia Under 51.5 (0.5u)  looks like a loss as I write this at halftime.  Hopefully in-game U61.5 & later U71.5 will both hit to only lose the juice on the original play.
Charleston Southern / South Carolina Over 39.5 & O40  (0.5u)
Stanford +3  (0.25u)
Stanford / USC Under 45.5  (0.25u)
Florida State -20  (0.25u)
Texas State / Wyoming Under 46.5  (0.25u)
Pitt team total Under 29  (0.25u)
Eastern Illinois / Indiana Under 64.5  (0.2u)

College Extra:
North Dakota +28.5, +30.5, & +31.5  (0.8u)
Delaware +3.5, +4.5, & +5.5  (0.6u)
Georgetown -1, -3, & +1.5  (0.6u)
North Alabama +24 & +27  (0.4u)
Cal Poly / Weber State  Under 52.5 & U53.5  (0.4u)
Delaware / Rhode Island Under 51.5 & U52.5  (0.4u)
Bryant / Albany  Under 69.5  (0.2u)
Texas Southern / Incarnate Word Over 61  (0.2u)
Stephen F. Austin  -1.5  (0.2u)
South Dakota State -37.5  (0.2u)


Found a couple more edits.
 
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Posted: #174

Thank you! an_cheers

 
 
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Posted: #175
Week 2 Parlays: risking only 0.25u overall.   
BTW, 11-teamer for week 1 was a Purdue collapse and a bad Tenn loss away from winning.  Not bad.

#1)  Most aggressive:  risking 0.1u to win over 460 units - not a typo.  

11-teamer:
Rutgers / Iowa Under 52 -150
Texas A&M / Clemson Under 64.5 -110
San Diego State ML +235
Buffalo / Penn State Under 56.6 -140
Kent State ML -130
Maine ML +230
Furman ML +235
Eastern Kentucky +24.5 -120
South Dakota / Oklahoma Under 80.5 -160
North Dakota +31.5 -150
Delaware ML +160

#2)  Largest individual ML play included:  risking 0.05u to win 29.5u.

4-teamer:
San Diego State ML +235
Furman ML +210
Eastern Kentucky +24.5 -120
North Dakota ML +3000

#3  Most 'conservative' of the 3 parlays (at least in terms of $ / odds).  Risking 0.1u to win 4.6u.
10 - teamer:
Wake Forest ML -1000
UAB ML -335
Rutgers / Iowa Under 51.5 -110
Northern Illinois / Utah Under 45.5 -120
Illinois ML -1375
Kansas ML -310
Tulane +22 -190
Kent State PK -150
Eastern Kentucky +28.5 -170
South Dakota / Oklahoma Under 80.5 -160





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