Bo Nix…… ha, I was smart enough to take a 3.5 point discrepancy in this line, but decided not to take the middle right then.
With Nix playing this bowl game apparently , I hit -15.5 -105 (0.2u). Hopefully it lands at exactly 16 or 17. If not I eat the vig. Nice to find a -105 on the one side.
Did i mention I love modern day bowls! 
Well , the Washington over finally moved away from me. It's now at 65. When I saw
it go to 64 ' at some shops , I grabbed what I could at 64. We'll see if it cycles back
to 64 or hopefully less in the next few weeks,
TD 
@WISEGUY36
Just catching up on the forum tonight. Sounds like you were able to move on the play you wanted. Congrats, sounds like you are happy with your position.
Meanwhile my local 7th grade basketball power ratings got some more data points tonight. I'm kidding, but it is funny how the mind works. I really enjoy watching my son play, he's got some ability and potential considering he doesn't work on certain aspects of the game that much ........ and in the college football wagering world, I had the epiphany tonight that since I'm in such a good position in National Championship Futures that I could use current odds at several shops to make plays on multiple teams and reallocate my overall position on all 4 teams, so I went ahead and did that just now. The other day when I said I would like just ride it out, at that time Michigan was +115 vs. the Field. Now that its up to Michigan +185 at one shop, I had to make a move. I literally win some amount of $ on the National Championship no matter which of the 4 teams wins it all. That feels good!
Reallocated positions are:
If Alabama wins, +1.135 units.
If Washington wins, +1.02 units.
If Texas wins, +0.5 units.
If Michigan wins, +0.055 units.
A wise move bud , once we've got some core bets down , taking advantage of
line movement to manage risk is the right thing to do. Bookmakers do it ,
that's how they stay in business. We should also.
When I was posting to the Forum during previous Bowl seasons,
I would mention that always have 100 % of my bankroll at risk. Both
on Core wagers and also on high WP mlp's . They could not understand how
I could take both sides of a play and make money on it.
Most on the Forum never realized that it was an exercise in risk management
that I used every year to sharpen those particular skills. By using line movement
and combinations of high WP MLP's and UDMLP's , or a combo of both you
you can profitably hedge any situation.
Many times I tried to explain that strategy to the Forum and also why
it works so well , especially during Bowl season. I probably did not
do a good job of explaining it. 
Well done TD
TD , 
@TD21
My largest bowl play will probably be Ducks live / 2H.....
I can see early disinterest - even a close halftime - then an absolute bludgeoning 2H / late.
Conversely - if Ducks get up big early - Liberty is very capable of a nasty backdoor - if in-game line is huge.
@Cooler999
I haven’t been watching enough to have a feel for how it’s really going tonight. From what I have seen it looks like they’re moving the ball. But the 2nd quarter scoring did come down, so must have been the 1st qtr that I caught part of. Did see the missed FG in the 2nd though.
Numbers wise seems like a good number FWIW.
@PUSSYGALORE333
During the early part of the 4th qtr I honestly thought the miracle Under 44.5 was in play with the way the game was going; pace slowed and the Montana kicker missed a second FG, and the 21-20 score meant either team could play for a FG and win 24-20 for Furman or 23-21 for Montana. Then when he ran back the punt return for a touchdown I just shook my head. Two kick/punt return TDs in one game.
I put the phone down when it was 28-21 and must have dosed off for a few minutes then I saw 28-28 end of regulation not knowing how it happened so I missed the penalty you mention.
It would have been nice overall to go 2-1 with the in-game play and break even (minus juice) on units, but it wasn’t meant to be.
Hopefully today will be better with a wind aided Under in Brookings, SD.
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
