Now we're talkin'! I think Brohm will 'try' to control the clock again (see vs. Mizzou T.O.P.) / stay in it as long as he can. Much easier said than done. Both defenses should match up well. Hopefully Purdue D can hold up their end of the bargain for us. I think the score is UM in the mid to high 20s, Purdue in the teens. I'd love to see that Ja'Whaun Bentley looking like local hero Ray Bentley out there
I capped a Michigan shutout, the Boilermakers are going to have a long day reaching the red zone, I see maybe 9pts in there behalf....the best to you always
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Quote Originally Posted by TD21:
Now we're talkin'! I think Brohm will 'try' to control the clock again (see vs. Mizzou T.O.P.) / stay in it as long as he can. Much easier said than done. Both defenses should match up well. Hopefully Purdue D can hold up their end of the bargain for us. I think the score is UM in the mid to high 20s, Purdue in the teens. I'd love to see that Ja'Whaun Bentley looking like local hero Ray Bentley out there
I capped a Michigan shutout, the Boilermakers are going to have a long day reaching the red zone, I see maybe 9pts in there behalf....the best to you always
TD, Been fortunate on GOYS so far except that Mizz. -11 fiasco. I could not fight nor flee, just took it. Got Oreg. -3 and Utah pk this week but like you, the rest of the year looks rougher.
Still checking out FCS. Got SHSU -12. Like Drake a little but know so little about them. Studying your plays of course.
Had Rice -2.5 then bought out this AM. Someone once told me to just stay away when two bad teams are playing. I'm taking that advice. To many questions now for me.
Dilly! Dilly!, Doc
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TD, Been fortunate on GOYS so far except that Mizz. -11 fiasco. I could not fight nor flee, just took it. Got Oreg. -3 and Utah pk this week but like you, the rest of the year looks rougher.
Still checking out FCS. Got SHSU -12. Like Drake a little but know so little about them. Studying your plays of course.
Had Rice -2.5 then bought out this AM. Someone once told me to just stay away when two bad teams are playing. I'm taking that advice. To many questions now for me.
What whets your appetite with Hawaii coming stateside??
A number of small things that start to add up:
Wyoming is a little banged up. O-line is regressing for whatever reason (could be those injuries/could be breaking in new skill guys as well). They couldn't even run the ball against Gardner-Webb. Top young WRs only Sophs with another WR & TE hurt.
Hawaii is healthy and rested (2-0 with rest in Rolovich's 1st year). Also 3-2 as a road dog in small sample size under Rolovich.
The Hawaii run defense is more aggressive this year (front 7 havoc #s rank pretty high). Not great on defense overall, but I can't see the Wyoming offense really outscoring the Hawaii offense.
I think Hawaii is balanced enough on offense to put up some points. The Wyoming D is trying a bend-don't break approach so far to prevent big plays, but will sacrifice efficiency on defense.
Liked the # itself when it hit +7.5. My raw #s had this at +5.3. Believe its back at basically 5 / 5.5 at most places.
Wyoming also not great as a favorite / better dog team situationally under HC Bohl.
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Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Wow. Hawaii +7.5 over Wyoming in Laramie...
Very surprised you are on that.
What whets your appetite with Hawaii coming stateside??
A number of small things that start to add up:
Wyoming is a little banged up. O-line is regressing for whatever reason (could be those injuries/could be breaking in new skill guys as well). They couldn't even run the ball against Gardner-Webb. Top young WRs only Sophs with another WR & TE hurt.
Hawaii is healthy and rested (2-0 with rest in Rolovich's 1st year). Also 3-2 as a road dog in small sample size under Rolovich.
The Hawaii run defense is more aggressive this year (front 7 havoc #s rank pretty high). Not great on defense overall, but I can't see the Wyoming offense really outscoring the Hawaii offense.
I think Hawaii is balanced enough on offense to put up some points. The Wyoming D is trying a bend-don't break approach so far to prevent big plays, but will sacrifice efficiency on defense.
Liked the # itself when it hit +7.5. My raw #s had this at +5.3. Believe its back at basically 5 / 5.5 at most places.
Wyoming also not great as a favorite / better dog team situationally under HC Bohl.
What whets your appetite with Hawaii coming stateside??
Hey, realized tonight that I missed you last week on a couple things.
Round robin parlay example:
If I've got say 4 teams for the full parlay and do x2 round robin as well, then that adds additional parlay bets for every 2-team combination of the full parlay.
Full parlay: Team A with Team B with Team C with Team D
x2 legs (individual parlay bets):
Team A with Team B
Team A with Team C
Team A with Team D
Team B with team C
Team B with team D
Team C with team D
UDML parlay usually go with the round robin approach. Some guys like to find 5-7 underdog teams to win SU and then do x3 for the round robin combos. Basically a little insurance to your lottery ticket if you're at least on the right track on a few dog picks. I've also approached ML parlays with a few dogs SU and with one or two -110 play(s) that I feel pretty confident about.
And changing subjects on you.... St. Francis / Towson Under was ! Can't say that I really have PR#s on FCS. Been copy/pasting and saving a lot of Massey Ratings stuff, so by next March or so I just might have something more official to use going into the offseason.
Good luck this weekend!
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Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Wow. Hawaii +7.5 over Wyoming in Laramie...
Very surprised you are on that.
What whets your appetite with Hawaii coming stateside??
Hey, realized tonight that I missed you last week on a couple things.
Round robin parlay example:
If I've got say 4 teams for the full parlay and do x2 round robin as well, then that adds additional parlay bets for every 2-team combination of the full parlay.
Full parlay: Team A with Team B with Team C with Team D
x2 legs (individual parlay bets):
Team A with Team B
Team A with Team C
Team A with Team D
Team B with team C
Team B with team D
Team C with team D
UDML parlay usually go with the round robin approach. Some guys like to find 5-7 underdog teams to win SU and then do x3 for the round robin combos. Basically a little insurance to your lottery ticket if you're at least on the right track on a few dog picks. I've also approached ML parlays with a few dogs SU and with one or two -110 play(s) that I feel pretty confident about.
And changing subjects on you.... St. Francis / Towson Under was ! Can't say that I really have PR#s on FCS. Been copy/pasting and saving a lot of Massey Ratings stuff, so by next March or so I just might have something more official to use going into the offseason.
What do you like/lean and why? I might be a better 'proof reader' of you're logic than digging into it myself and (maybe) finding anything (strapped for time at the moment).
Back briefly tomorrow morning maybe, then not again until early evening.
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Quote Originally Posted by deezdonks:
any thoughts on umass/tenn under 63.5
Haven't even thought about it quite honestly.
What do you like/lean and why? I might be a better 'proof reader' of you're logic than digging into it myself and (maybe) finding anything (strapped for time at the moment).
Back briefly tomorrow morning maybe, then not again until early evening.
i'm not getting the pk line now showing for duke/nc. despite nc's shortcomings on D already and a slew of injuries including losing 3 starters OFY this line has moved in unc's favor. ......i know weird things happen in conference matchups but i think this duke team is heads above unc. they will certainly defend the run well and make unc pass (which they can do) but with unc OL issues cutcliffe/knowles will know how to attack and duke is good at takeaways....what am i missing? i look at this and say its a 38-24 duke win.
i'm not getting the pk line now showing for duke/nc. despite nc's shortcomings on D already and a slew of injuries including losing 3 starters OFY this line has moved in unc's favor. ......i know weird things happen in conference matchups but i think this duke team is heads above unc. they will certainly defend the run well and make unc pass (which they can do) but with unc OL issues cutcliffe/knowles will know how to attack and duke is good at takeaways....what am i missing? i look at this and say its a 38-24 duke win.
As mentioned in another thread, decided to drop back some on the Iowa play. Basically canceled the +13 portion leaving only Iowa +14 for 0.5u. Think they keep it close for a half, then PSU pulls away late. Barkley more athletic than anyone in Iowa's back 7 trying to tackle him in space. May look to play PSU in-game or 2nd half if equivalent to -9.5 or better full game.
Week 4 Consolidated Card:
>1 unit plays:
Michigan / Purdue Under 52 (3u)
Louisville -35 (1.5u)
Cal +17 -120 (0.5u) & +17 (1u) -110 (1.5u overall)
1 unit plays:
North Texas -10 (1u)
San Diego State -6 (0.75u) & -3 -115 (0.25u) -- (1u overall)
Rice -2 (1.5u) & FIU +2.5 (0.5u) -- i.e. 1u play on Rice
As mentioned in another thread, decided to drop back some on the Iowa play. Basically canceled the +13 portion leaving only Iowa +14 for 0.5u. Think they keep it close for a half, then PSU pulls away late. Barkley more athletic than anyone in Iowa's back 7 trying to tackle him in space. May look to play PSU in-game or 2nd half if equivalent to -9.5 or better full game.
Week 4 Consolidated Card:
>1 unit plays:
Michigan / Purdue Under 52 (3u)
Louisville -35 (1.5u)
Cal +17 -120 (0.5u) & +17 (1u) -110 (1.5u overall)
1 unit plays:
North Texas -10 (1u)
San Diego State -6 (0.75u) & -3 -115 (0.25u) -- (1u overall)
Rice -2 (1.5u) & FIU +2.5 (0.5u) -- i.e. 1u play on Rice
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! Can't say that I really have PR#s on FCS. Been copy/pasting and saving a lot of Massey Ratings stuff, so by next March or so I just might have something more official to use going into the offseason.
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