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TD Week 7

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Posted: #1
Trying to be on my best behavior with openers    Usually Week 7 or Week 8 is when I get my @ss kicked for the first time all season.  Grabbed a few, but pretty small on most plays.

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)



 
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Posted: #2
Colorado  +7   & ML

USC had 18 penalties in their last game against an injured AZ and barely won.

They never come out hot after a bye week.  


 
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Posted: #3
Where are you getting these lines?
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Cdvwolves:

Where are you getting these lines?

Betonline ..... same as every week at this time on a Sunday.  
 
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Posted: #5
ok just curious thanks
 
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Posted: #6
Added one more....

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Added:  Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)

 
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Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Added:  Boston College -13.5 hook (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)
 
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Posted: #8
TD, you know your Big10. I see you took UM -6.5 where everyone else taking Wisc. +7.5 or more. Wisky giving up 500 yds to Neb. very telling. And more Badger defenders went down Sat.

MSU at +14.5 is the play but I can't do it with Penn St off a bye. Penn St more run oriented and MSU D the best against the run, but that MSU offense is beat up. Can Dantonio right that ship?


GL

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by UNIMAN:

TD, you know your Big10. I see you took UM -6.5 where everyone else taking Wisc. +7.5 or more. Wisky giving up 500 yds to Neb. very telling. And more Badger defenders went down Sat.

MSU at +14.5 is the play but I can't do it with Penn St off a bye. Penn St more run oriented and MSU D the best against the run, but that MSU offense is beat up. Can Dantonio right that ship?


GL


We settled down in & currently live in Big Ten country..... my old man coached at two Big Ten schools and two MAC schools, I should know the teams in this area pretty well I would hope.

Yep, like Michigan to win by 10 or so.  24-14 or 27-17 type game.

And kept it small on MSU.  Needed 14.5 to pull the string on that one.  Terrible spot for them last week.  They should fight hard this week.  Will either be real close...... or they lose by 4 scores.  I think they keep it within 2 TDs, but kept it small in case it's the latter.
 
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Posted: #10
Haha....similar lines I like too although you get the cream of the crop every week. I have a feeling you are going to have a good WEEK 7 and WEEK 8. Bol this week TD
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by TD21:


We settled down in & currently live in Big Ten country..... my old man coached at two Big Ten schools and two MAC schools, I should know the teams in this area pretty well I would hope.

Yep, like Michigan to win by 10 or so.  24-14 or 27-17 type game.

And kept it small on MSU.  Needed 14.5 to pull the string on that one.  Terrible spot for them last week.  They should fight hard this week.  Will either be real close...... or they lose by 4 scores.  I think they keep it within 2 TDs, but kept it small in case it's the latter.

I grew up in Michigan. Have a cousin who is Harbaugh's brother-in-law. Haven't seen him in years though. Next month traveling to Michigan's U.P. to look at retirement locations! Retiring next summer! Probably will be a snowbird.

Michigan at home should win this one by more than 7. Wisky defense just so beat up. Looked like Dixon really torqued his ankle late in the 4th, don't expect him to play. Nelson out a half for targeting. Those two are #3 and #4 leading tacklers and #1 pass breakups!
 
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Posted: #12
Love UCF on National TV ...

Best of Luck Brother 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #13

Added:

Youngstown State / South Dakota State Under 62

 
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Posted: #14

Quote Originally Posted by Cdvwolves:

Where are you getting these lines?

 

For real 

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by amiller64:

 

For real 


If you follow TD and Bookieassassin you may learn a few things. These guys hit the opening offshore lines every week. They know what they want beforehand and have to get it quick as the line moves in seconds. A great system!! Not for everybody. Takes a lot of work! 
I don't do offshore, just Vegas. Still I listen and learn!

GL
 
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Posted: #16

Best of Luck this week TD. Numbers are getting set for me this morning. I know I miss out on these openers but I like the Tech +10 (down to +7.5) and Utah State -19 (Already up to -24.5) you grabbed.   an_cheers

 
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Quote Originally Posted by amiller64:

Quote Originally Posted by Cdvwolves:

Where are you getting these lines?
  For real

 

65% of the time you will not get TD's/BA's betting lines. 25% you will and about 10% you will actually beat the line. Still great value from guys that beat the number year after year.

 
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Posted: #18
Thanks guys for sharing my M.O. when it comes to openers.  I don't have much extra time these days.  Just post what I play right away and that's it.  

Quick post tonight and then I'm off to coach the youngsters.  Added one Total below.  ...Much more cautious this week on Totals - too aggressive last Monday before some injury report updates came out.

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Boston College -13.5 hook (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Added:  Vanderbilt / Florida Under 50.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)

Week 7 College Extra:
Youngstown State / South Dakota State Under 62
 
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Posted: #19
One more tonight.....

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Boston College -13.5 hook (0.75u)
Added:  North Texas -8.5  (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Vanderbilt / Florida Under 50.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)

Week 7 College Extra:
Youngstown State / South Dakota State Under 62
 
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FCS plays added:

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Boston College -13.5 hook (0.75u)
North Texas -8.5  (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Vanderbilt / Florida Under 50.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)

Week 7 College Extra:
Youngstown State / South Dakota State Under 62
Added:  Montana State -7
Added:  Maine +8
 
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Posted: #21
FCS update:

Week 7:
UCF -3  (1.8u)
Duke +2.5 & Duke +3 -105 (0.5u each) -- 1u overall
Michigan -6.5 -105  (1u)
WMU -12.5  (0.75u)
Boston College -13.5 hook (0.75u)
North Texas -8.5  (0.75u)
Utah State -19  (0.5u)
Vanderbilt / Florida Under 50.5  (0.5u)
Fresno State -18  (0.5u)
Texas Tech +10  (0.25u)
LSU +8 -105  (0.25u)
Michigan State +14.5 -105  (0.25u)
Navy +4  +100  (0.25u)

Week 7 College Extra:
Youngstown State / South Dakota State Under 62
Montana State -7
Maine +8 & Added Maine +10.5  *was up to +11.5 at one point, but I missed it.
 
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Posted: #22

Added: Ole Miss / Arkansas Over 69.5 (0.25u)

 
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Posted: #23

Added:

Georgia / LSU Under 51 (0.25u)

 
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Posted: #24

Quote Originally Posted by TD21:

Added: Georgia / LSU Under 51 (0.25u)

Bumped this play U51 to 0.5u overall.

Added:  Missouri / Alabama Under 74.5 (0.5u)

 
 
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GL TD21
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