There's a pretty significant trend in tonight's Texas vs. Notre Dame game if you want to hear it

Here’s an incredible stat for you: Notre Dame has not won a road game as an underdog or touchdown-or-less favorite since 2012. They’re 0-8 in those games straight-up. This game falls within that trend, and it’s another reason to doubt Notre Dame’s ability to turn it on against the live ‘dogs in Austin.

Here’s an incredible stat for you: Notre Dame has not won a road game as an underdog or touchdown-or-less favorite since 2012. They’re 0-8 in those games straight-up. This game falls within that trend, and it’s another reason to doubt Notre Dame’s ability to turn it on against the live ‘dogs in Austin.

I'm not the biggest trend guy. In fact, you'll hardly see them in my write-ups.

But when I see one that I think matters, I can't help but share it.

Plus this has a the tried and true revenge-factor intermingled with it for the psychological capping purposes which I do love.

Here is the trend (with my parentheticals added:

1. Teams that lose 3 games or fewer the previous year (i.e., teams contending for major bowls or the national championship and/or very good teams the previous year) that,

2.  Beat their current Week 1 opponent (in this case it's Notre Dame who beat Texas last year), by more than 21 points (Notre Dame crushed Texas last year 38-3 in week 1),

are a whopping

6-33-1 ATS

when they play that team the following year in their opening game.

So what this says is, a dog, coming in with revenge from the previous year, gets to play the team that blew it out the previous year right out of the gate to start the year.

That team has covered 33 out of 39 times.

Yes, 95% of trends are a stretch and some of you will retort with "If a butterfly flaps its wings in China, Notre Dame will win" but I like this trend.

Just decided to share it