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UNCOVERED AMAZING TREND for 1st two weeks

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Posted: #26
Final Line Update/report before I hunker down and watch the Bama game and then go out to a party later:

I have played some of these based on the fact that line moving teams of 2pts or more have covered at a rate of 29-10. To clarify, its the teams that have TAKEN money that have that rate.
( taking $$$)

Wisconsin          5.5
 Kansas St.         5  pts   
Tulane                 4
NC State             4
E. Carolina         3        

UL Monroe         3.5
Northwestern      3.....made an error in my last post
Mid. Tennesee   3 
Rutgers              3
 Pittsburgh         3
Texas St.            3 
Oklahoma         2.5...........reverse line move!
UNLV                2.5 
UCONN           2.5  
Colorado         2.5
Army               2.5
UTEP              2.5
Virginia            2.5 
Troy                  2......new addition
W. Kentucky      2 
Stanford            2 
Marshall            2 
Alabama           2
SD St.               2.....new addition
Maryland          2........new addition

Fresno no longer qualifies......
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #27
Shoot....forgot about these changes mentioned earlier just before noon games...

Wisconsin          5.5
 Kansas St.         5  pts   
Tulane                 4
NC State             4
Rutgers               4
E. Carolina         3        

UL Monroe         3.5
Virginia              3.5
Northwestern      3.....made an error in my last post

Louisville            3.......reverse line move

 Pittsburgh         3
Texas St.            3 
Oklahoma         2.5...........reverse line move!
Mid Tenn          2.5
UNLV                2.5 
UCONN           2.5  
Colorado         2.5
Army               2.5
UTEP              2.5
 
Troy                  2......new addition
W. Kentucky      2 
Stanford            2 
Marshall            2 
Alabama           2
SD St.               2.....new addition
Maryland          2........new addition

Fresno no longer qualifies......
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #28
Line Movers went 13-12 this week....

Now 42-22 on the year.............approx. 66%

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #29
19-12...lean over doctors pay
 
9-7- 1 on the day..

282-211 on the year (+6 on the week)
Win next  2 starts






Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
Captain
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Posted: #30
#TrendIsYourFriend... 
keep em comin 
 
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Posted: #31
Ignore that last post jibberish
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Posted: #32
9-9-1 (+7 UNITS) on posted plays.......I tried to figure this out last night when I was a little toasted...

MEH.....still need to cut down plays since I am now 4-0 on the year on 4 UNIT PLAYS or higher.......and just over 50% on 2 unit plays...1 unit 'throw-ins' definitely need sober second thought....literally

TRENDING LINE MOVERS WENT........

13-9....for the week

NOW 42-19 on the season....must stick with system!!

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

9-9-1 (+7 UNITS) on posted plays.......I tried to figure this out last night when I was a little toasted...MEH.....still need to cut down plays since I am now 4-0 on the year on 4 UNIT PLAYS or higher.......and just over 50% on 2 unit plays...1 unit 'throw-ins' definitely need sober second thought....literallyTRENDING LINE MOVERS WENT........13-9....for the weekNOW 42-19 on the season....must stick with system!!

Good job keep it up! Will follow along, 12+ weeks to go!
 
Captain
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Posted: #34
Wow.  You mean to tell us that if you bet on the side of sharp gamblers who move the line you can possibly win?

Who would've thunk it....  
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:

Wow.  You mean to tell us that if you bet on the side of sharp gamblers who move the line you can possibly win?

Who would've thunk it....  

Sure captain obvious.....lol.....just quantifying an angle that is running at a 68.8% clip!....with little capping involved. When I cap and try and outsmart this, I end up 50% so its telling me to ride this along and perhaps double up after a loss....keep doubling if I'm inclined and have enough bankroll
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #36
LINES I REALLY LIKE for week 3......Sunday@ midnight

USC +1.5
WVU -6
Okie St. +9.5
Purdue -3
Lou Tech +5.5
LSU/AUBURN UNDER....whenever it opens!
Arizona St. -3
Stanford -3

Curious about the USF/FSU -6 line....hmmm...


Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #37
Biggest line moves list for Week 3

Taking $$$$

SMU            7 pts
Mia Ohio     5
Tulsa         4.5
Syracuse    4
Louisville    4
West Virg.  4
Kentucky    4

Virgina T.  3.5
W. Mich.   3.5
UNLV       3.5
UMASS     3
UCF          3
TexasAM  3

W.Ky       2.5
Calif.       2.5
Wash.     2.5
Minny     2.5
Indiana   2.5
Troy        2.5

2 pts:  Iowa, E. Mich., Florida, Michigan, Old Dom., Neb., Tulane

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #38
My plays:

5 UNIT PLAY (3-0 on the year)

Washington -12.5 ....almost never take a road team for so many units but Sagarin has this @ 18pts difference so fair line would be +14 for the home team. But, Anu Solomon is doubtful and Nick Wilson is  Quest. with over a dozen other injuries....

Will post others shortly 
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #39
More Picks:

3 UNITS:

W. Michigan -7 ...mismatch of styles and Sagarin has a whopping 15 pt difference....line should be higher 

2 UNITS:

Iowa -13....surprised this line has not moved so I am a little suspicious to press for more since I think a fair line is +16.5 for the home team

1 UNIT: 

S. Carolina +2.5 (will double up it I get 3)...Ky qb OUT ...Gamecocks rating 5pts higher in Sagarin....line should be S. Carolina -1.5

UCF -6.5....missed the value....still think -9 would be fine also

Florida +6.5 ...will double up if climbs again....I missed this early and believe a fair line would be -3.5/4

Syracuse +3 ....again, missed the boat and will double if climbs

Injury report was checked for all above plays....

It would appear, having checked other great cappers, that there is a similar pattern here....the only difference is, I am not dropping my cash into an early line since I want to see through this trend since it is running at a 68.8% clip!!

Might have a few more....doing game by game analysis of minimal line movers tomorrow. GL

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #40
My plays:

5 UNIT PLAY (3-0 on the year)

Washington -12.5 ....almost never take a road team for so many units but Sagarin has this @ 18pts difference
3 UNITS:
W. Michigan -7 ...mismatch of styles and Sagarin has a whopping 15 pt difference....line should be higher
 

2 UNITS:
Iowa -13....surprised this line has not moved so I am a little suspicious to press for more since I think a fair line is +16.5 for the home team 

1 UNIT: 
S. Carolina +2.5 (will double up it I get 3)...Ky qb OUT ...Gamecocks rating 5pts higher in Sagarin....line should be S. Carolina -1.5 

UCF -6.5....missed the value....still think -9 would be fine also 

Florida +6.5 ...will double up if climbs again....I missed this early and believe a fair line would be -3.5/4

Syracuse +3 ....again, missed the boat and will double if climbs



Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
 
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Posted: #41
Wash -12.5 (5 UNITS) 

super curious  moves in this game....fix? hate to think so

3-4 on the week....-4 UNITS
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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