Washington is +9.5 vs Oregon in PAC-12 Game?

Yes it is

8 max imo.

9.5 is astronomical

Mortage bet incoming 

Revenge angle will be huge...

Many will think same thing...

Over 80 points in this one...

Oregon by 14 minimum for me.

Bol guys

lines out 9.5/67.5

Oregon outgained Udub 541 to 415 in Washington. Anyone who watched the game knows Oregon choked the game away late and should have won. Also Pennix has looked average the last 6 games. I think teams have figured out their gimmicky offense.  Pennix numbers are way down and they are running the ball more.  Look at the last 5 games and u can argue they could have lost all 5 of them. All 5 of them were close games in the 4th even vs Stanford.  Oregon did  not even have close games vs those 5 teams yet Udub struggled vs all of them. Oregon will blow out overrated Udub. Just look at the last 5 games and compare scores by both teams vs those 5 teams. U will see why Oregon is Laying close to DD

If Oregon has the chance, they will punch it in a few more times to maximize chance of playoffs.

where is game played

@jtoler

  Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas

@davemsh

 I do a home / Away pure points offense / defense model. Wash defense is at 28-33 pppg vs Oregons D 10-13 pppg..all road stats.. Of course this is an away for both teams . I have Oregon by 14-17 

Look at Pennix numbers last 4 games:

vs Wash St.....18-33 204 yards 1 TD 1 INT

vs Oregon St...13-28 162 yards 2 TD's

vs Utah...........24-42 332 yards 2 TD's

VS USC...........22-30 256 Yards 2 TD's 1 INT...

Vs those 4 teams..he did not even pass for 900 yards and his completion % is below 60%, which is awful in college...He stock went from top 10 pick to late 1st round pick/2nd round pick and its in a free fall...even mock drafts have JJ McCarty going in the 1st round over Pennix..

BTW...Box Nix passed for 1300+ yards and 10TD's  and ZERO INT's vs those same teams.. All easy wins...

Oregon ML should be in anyone's parlay...Its a  

Depending on how much points ore is laying will determine my units.  If 7 or under, max bet.

If more than 10, smaller bet.  If 7.5 to 9.5, average bet.  

I love to invest in Bo nix.  His name will be catchy in the NFL.  Almost like a bo Jackson or a mahomie/ma-auto commercial.  There is something to a person's name in pro sports.  The more catchy, the better you will hear their highlights reel.  

@davemsh

 Dave,

You have some valid points. I’m leaning the other way. Washington has beaten Oregon the last two seasons. Washington was -3 at home in Week 7, and is now plus 8.5-9.5 depending on your book. Washington held Oregon to its season low of 33 before Oregon State “held” them to 31. Oregon could have named that score.

Washington’s offense will be hard to handle for Oregon. Washington does the ONE THING in college football that NO ONE else does on a consistent basis. They can spread you out with 4-5 WR and have you play man to man in space. McMillan had 5 for 27 early last week. Odunze, Polk, McMillan, Giles, Westover are going to be a HANDFUL. Oregon has a average secondary. 

Now you say Penis’s numbers have come down the last few weeks; I say balance is what championship teams are made of. Washington out physically beat Utah in the second half. You can’t win in the second half without running the ball. Johnson has been great the last month or so dating back to USC. Washington’s defense as well as Oregon will give up plays but Odunze is a difference maker.

I’ve been on Washington all season and I’m not backing out now. I have them in a conference futures but I’ll be all over the 9.5…Washington wins 38-35

Could it be trap game of the week? I'm biting 

BINGO  you saw the light. I been pairing Oregon ML with all my bets since line came out. Why pay juice,  when you can win a little extra on every play hahaha 

Real Fishy line IMO 

I think it's just math....... I came up with 8.3 on a neutral field with updated power ratings.  Which is about what it opened at this week I believe.  And those ratings of Oregon at 100.0 and Washington at 91.7 (along with all other P12 teams at their updated ratings)....... are arguably conservative of late for Oregon as even at that rating, they would be 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against updated PR #s and associated lines covering by a margin of +5.6 ppg.  Over their last 7 games since the bye (including the first UW game), they are 4-3 ATS against all others at current numbers and that margin drops to +1.2.  For full season (excluding the Portland State game), these #s make them near 0.0 net for ATS margin and 5-5-1 ATS record which is the goal to be net zero in both.    

Watch Washington pull the upset.

This game is a coin flip 

@jtoler

just missed....

@TD21

 
I hate to ask, are you saying that with your numbers Washington is the play?