Week 1 Money (Revised Edition)

Quote Originally Posted by taurus:

Good luck Wahoo - Hope you go 5-1 at least.

I play late rather than early, and based on your first week's plays, you are more heavily tilted toward favs than I am. I also play more games.

If you don't mind answering, I do have one question.

Have you ever kept track of how you fare playing early ( may I describe this as line movement strategy  ? )  I'm not astute enough to do this myself, but -

How many of your W's would have turned into L's or pushes if you had bet after the line hadsettled in. Similarly, how many L's would have turned into W's or pushes if you have waited?

Wishing you another big winning season.

my bet vs. current line

UNLV -9 / UNLV - 7.........I clearly was wrong here betting early

LSU -16 / LSU - 17..........I made the right choice here

SCaro - 28/ SCaro 29.5.......I made the right choice here

Iowa - 11 / Iowa - 11.5.........could have got in at 10.5, shouldn't matter

KState + 14 / KState + 13.5.......bought the hook here, line is same

Mizzou - 5.5 / Mizzou - 5.5........could have got  - 4, waited too long

I think to bet early you have to have experience in watching line moves, it doesn't mean that I will always be right for sure as shown in the UNLV line, but sometimes I just bet when I'm happy with a line and don't even worry about line movement, I generally bet early when I'm going to bet a favorite, I will wait until the day of the game many times when I'm betting a dog because more times than not, the line will move toward the favorite in college football, as far as betting favorites and dogs goes, I used to only bet dogs and every now and then I might take a favorite (back in the day), now I feel more experienced than ever and the one thing I have learned is to just take what I like and don't worry about line movement, how others are betting, etc. 

generally line movement on a game will not even come into play, but on that rare occasion that it does is when it will come down to making the right decision, I'm like everyone else as far as betting goes, I'm still learning each year, the only difference for me for college football versus the other sports is I feel like I know for sure I'm going to win money before the season starts, I think there are many guys around here that we all can learn from, discipline is my key to success, you will never see me bet 15 games in one week and I only sway from my average bet less than 20 times a season, I will end up with between 75-100 plays for the year and about 15 of them will end up being "large" money (3 units), I set a goal for myself and I stick to my plan and it seems to work well for me, hopefull this season is the same

always enjoy your insight and I sure hope we kick the books ass this year my friend, best of luck

Miami Oh @ Ball State

Utah @ Oregon State

Tulsa @ ULMonroe

Navy @ Temple

Houston @ Oregon

New Mex @ UTEP

Texas Tech @ SMU

I may not bet another game or I could bet 4 or 5 more depending on what I find or what my gut feel is

as far as betting 1 or 2 games in college basketball, your right, that is how I usually do it, but that is because there are games on every night, with college football and the NFL I don't have a system, but I do try to limit my plays as much as possible, some guys like betting more games, some like betting less games, we all do it differently I suppose, but like I said I don't exactly have a system, I just bet what I like, best of luck this season

as far as the matchups go I agree with all of them at first glance except for the Tulsa game, I would be on the Golden Hurricane there or pass