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Week 10 Large Money

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Posted: #26
K St +18.5 is solid.....Snyder is a monster...especially at home on a thursday.....
 
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Posted: #27
Take a look at BYU -12 at San Jose State. Looks inviting to me.
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

K St +18.5 is solid.....Snyder is a monster...especially at home on a thursday.....
already down to 17, the lines are moving crazy amounts tonight, some pissed off pros dropping bombs out there , most of the so called "pros" I know got murdered last week so they are coming back swinging

they all had Pitt and Asu during the weekday games telling me how "public" both UNC & Oregon always were , guarantee all of that group is pounding KState senseless


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Posted: #29
BEST OF Luck Brother 



Great Work ....MAY a STRONG October turn Into a Perfect sweep in November....




At First glance I really Like Washington State at home laying only 1=.... Wondering if ASU is done after the Triple OT Loss last week ....  ANY lean on that one ???
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:

TCU -5
I'm unsure on this game so far, I'm on top of it though and will have some thoughts during the week
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife:

I am surprised you did not jump on the Mississippi line at -7. I thought it would be 10 to 12, so I scooped up on the -7 immediately. We know Missouri cannot score, the last 3 games a combined 12 points.
this line is perplexing to be honest, I keep waiting for Mizzou to show up for a game and score 27 points but that may take them 5 games to get that many points, that offense is a joke

I actually their defense vs the State offense matchup though

I would make this line 10 and that is only because of the homefield advantage for Mizzou, their offense has been almost Boston College bad lately

I see why you like Miss St, it's hard to argue against 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

already down to 17, the lines are moving crazy amounts tonight, some pissed off pros dropping bombs out there , most of the so called "pros" I know got murdered last week so they are coming back swinging

they all had Pitt and Asu during the weekday games telling me how "public" both UNC & Oregon always were , guarantee all of that group is pounding KState senseless


Line should be 2 tds max.....New qb and iffy defense on the road vs the Wizard? Come on!


 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

BEST OF Luck Brother 



Great Work ....MAY a STRONG October turn Into a Perfect sweep in November....




At First glance I really Like Washington State at home laying only 1=.... Wondering if ASU is done after the Triple OT Loss last week ....  ANY lean on that one ???

I would say the spot doesn't favor either as both are coming off emotional losses vs teams they aren't used to beating and both had a legit chance to win

the weather and atmosphere will favor Wash St easily, those fans have rallied around this team and Pullman isn't a breeze for most visiting teams when the Cougs have a decent team

my one problem with this matchup for Wazzu is the ASU constant pressure blitzing scheme, Falk really held a ball several times before making awful decisions vs Stanford pressure, that is worrisome as I could see ASU creating some field position and turnovers

Wazzu is playing great though and almost beating Stanford will give them more confidence going forward, I feel like they should win this game but I'm not sure what to make of the scheme matchup, Falk's performance in 2nd half makes me nervous so I'll probably just stay away and cheer for Wazzu to win




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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Line should be 2 tds max.....New qb and iffy defense on the road vs the Wizard? Come on!


I predicted in Double's thread that they would open the line at 19 so 18.5 was about what I thought

two things are in play there with this line
1.   books always get heavy Baylor action so they try to shade the line against Baylor regularly, that doesn't work most of the time as Baylor is the most public team out there each year yet they continue to have great ATS numbers, that Briles scheme has just thrown most everyone for a loop

2. KState has been noteably bad this year after sustaining their injuries, they obviously weren't deep in the right spots, they lost by 2 td's to Texas, that's almost impossible to fathom after watching Iowa St beat them 24-0, Texas is alarmingly bad, like epic joke bad

I'm with you on Bill off a bye week in a night game atmosphere against a freshman QB making his first start, I really am as I think Baylor will take a step back in the coming weeks without Russell who was unreal.  I'm just not sure if this is that week, I need to look at the Kstate roster and see who they are trotting out there because they will need to throw the ball some to hang here, if they are one-dimensional in trying to run the ball then they could get boat raced, Baylor has a good d line, it's their secondary that blows darts, Bill better figure out a way to take advantage and I'm sure he will

I've been backing Baylor all year per usual but these late season road games are the time to stay away or fade them, I will 100% be against them when they visit Stillwater and probably Ft Worth as well, I just don't know if I can do it with this KState team that lost by 55 to OU and by 14 to that high school team in Austin


I need to think this one over and look at the injury report, read the team reports, etc


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Posted: #35
Thanks.  I got Tulsa at -15.  Is Troy at -8.5 worth it?
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

I'm unsure on this game so far, I'm on top of it though and will have some thoughts during the week

Mahomes is a younger and lessor form of Boykin and Ok. State defense on the field 92 plays giving up huge yards.  Also Patterson is a defensive mastermind, the early season troubles look to be in the past.  They looked hard and pipe hitting against West Virginia, yeah its West Virginia but the defense is on the up and up.  Don't let that Texas Tech defense fool you into thinking Ok. State suddenly got an offensive line.
 
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Posted: #37
Without you last week I would've been in the negative.  Caught a few of your plays to get back and even won a little.  Your work is most appreciated. 
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by composite:

Thanks.  I got Tulsa at -15.  Is Troy at -8.5 worth it?
 

I'd like Tulsa @ 17 or less, I'd like Troy @ 7 or less (could be a nice game to use in a tease or you could tease the two together and get Troy at under a FG

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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

K St +18.5 is solid.....Snyder is a monster...especially at home on a thursday.....


Very solid play ...imo
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Dilemma:

Without you last week I would've been in the negative.  Caught a few of your plays to get back and even won a little.  Your work is most appreciated. 
glad I could help, I'm a momentum type of guy, I was losing early on but now the tide has turned for a few weeks, my best week was unposted here but last week was ovbiously about as good as I can do, hopefully I can find the good ones this week, I feel great about it, it's nice to have full confidence back 

this stuff can be brutal when you're losing, I'm ok with juicing out and moving on to the next week but I prefer to not get my teeth kicked in 
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Posted: #41
Nice bounce back bro, been waiting for the "Tittle" 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

 

I'd like Tulsa @ 17 or less, I'd like Troy @ 7 or less (could be a nice game to use in a tease or you could tease the two together and get Troy at under a FG


Thanks for the feedback.  Troy is now -9.5 so that ship has long sailed. 
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by composite:


Thanks for the feedback.  Troy is now -9.5 so that ship has long sailed. 
its a pros play, they are all on board and betting it, it may get up to 10 before ULM backers can bring it back some, I still think Troy covers 9.5 but I personally wouldn't bet it at over 7, I use particular numbers to go by and it's rare I give in, I'm not much of a teaser guy (play them rarely) but I think teasing it down is solid, just my opinion

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Posted: #44
Michigan State -5 at Nebraska has been just came out. Any thoughts?
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Posted: #45
If you don't mind I would like your opinion on 3 games..

Bama-6 vs LSU

Ole Miss -11 vs Arkansas

NCst-4 vs BC

What's your thoughts and leans (if you have leans) on these games.. Thanks a lot for your time and assistance.. 
 
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Posted: #46
Wahoo if you HAD to reconsider or eliminate one of the following plays, which would they be?

ASU/Wazzu over
TT/WVU OV
Michigan vs Rutgers. -22.5
LA-Tech vs North Texas. -29

I am feeling pretty confident about my Ducks over. It was 41-41 against ASU at the end of the 4th. This kinda correlates with ASU/Wazzu going over. So parlay in effect. What do you think?
 
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Posted: #47
Wahoo if you HAD to reconsider or eliminate one of the following plays, which would they be?

ASU/Wazzu over
TT/WVU OV
Michigan vs Rutgers. -22.5
LA-Tech vs North Texas. -29

I am feeling pretty confident about my Ducks over. It was 41-41 against ASU at the end of the 4th. This kinda correlates with ASU/Wazzu going over. So parlay in effect. What do you think?
 
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Posted: #48
Wahoo- 

yeah i had Vandy but they really gift wrapped 21 points for Houston- I watched the game and the score was somewhat misleading- I think Houston only had 350 total yds- Vandy offense is just pathetic- worse than B.C's if that is possible- Houston has made me some $$$$ this year but I like Cincy's chances this week- heck maybe I get burned again- Good luck this week!


Urban- 

Without doing any digging- that Michigan St. line looks fishy- they "should" kill the cornhuskers so I will be taking a close look at that one to see what is causing that line to be so low- 


 
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Posted: #49
blowupgm,

I have it at -10 so that is why I elected to ask for other opinions before pulling the trigger on it, as I feel I must be missing something, and there are no major injuries or suspensions reported.
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by K1NG_BAMA:

If you don't mind I would like your opinion on 3 games..

Bama-6 vs LSU

Ole Miss -11 vs Arkansas

NCst-4 vs BC

What's your thoughts and leans (if you have leans) on these games.. Thanks a lot for your time and assistance.. 

would lean to points in the first two and to wolfpack in the 3rd one

I won't bother breaking down the LSU/Bama game because I'm gonna assault both of them and don't need the drama in my thread, I will only say if I were to bet the game then I'd have to lean to taking the points

same with the Ole Miss game but I do like the Ole Miss d-line to contain the Hogs rushing attack, may consider under in this one

I won't be betting any of those three unless something crazy happens in the next few days, hope you win them all


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