week 7

Good looking Dailow …Don’t know why the spread on Texas seems like a notch high, Pokes always tough around their neighbors?

Have a great week bro and god bless your family.

Great stuff BA - just done 1st run through - got WKU and Col St  marked if Lobo QB is out. Will keep checking in!!

thanks boys ................

wassup MOOSE

Kansas State - NO

    * if you can get 7, makes sense sure ..... BUT I personally hate it. ISU had bubble burst 9/11 - outgained a very rugged / tough Iowa by a bunch, had 4 TO's. Ditto a surprising Baylor on the road (outgained wise). Now off bye, with one of nation's best coaches, AND great roster....with a chance to win the B12 / finish strong. DONE? - possible but makes little sense.

       Gun to my pumpkin head ? - they would be my pick to win B12. Wouldn't put any $ on it tho.

KSU - QB can't run with bad knee, neither can they. Surprised TREE by coming out in a 3-3-5 (quarters).... vs their traditional B10 style 4-3 (cover 3). Shocked Nevada with great effort (QB out). What surprises here? Lost 45-0 at ISU LY (outgained 529-150 / QB out tho)... so should come out strong. I'll be looking for a LARGE play on ISU if down at half.

     >> if you like them, I would just bet ML - ISU is back? they roll. If they have given up? they get beat ......IMO

Army - at 14 or more sure - probably will add myself

Liberty- dunno why not

Western Kentucky Over - ditto

Ole Miss/Tennessee- sure

OU -TCU - yep

Alabama Leach Over - NO....tho 57' or whatever seems low. Bama off loss will usually give a great defensive effort. For me Bama TT over, or MSU TT under. 38-21 game looks way off tho don't it.

BOL ..............

@bookieassassin

 Though we can’t agree all the time, the logic and debate is what makes conversations great. I see your reasoning for Alabama coming out strong defensively. The Alabama TT or spread could be a better option. 

I will stay away from Kansas State. 

I might buy Army up to 14. The total dipped to 39. I see Army playing a hard fought game. Glad you like my other picks. 

Looking for 2 more for my 7 team RR. I will hit one eventually. Lot of .500 weeks, one game under. My best week was a 5-2. One week at a time. Thanks as always for great insight, sarcasm, and honest feedback. 

My reasoning is lack of motivation due to expectations. They were supposed to be a Title Contender. Everyone came back. Now they have 2 losses. I think winning the conference title is a consolation compared to their bigger picture for this year. 

@bookieassassin

BA, apparently you glossed over the part of my post where I suggested to fade my picks!  ..... wanna explain that line movement to me!?  Somebody must know something and it sure as he!l ain't me.  I certainly can't eggzplain it, Ball State down to -1.5.  Hmmm

PLENTY of stupid people with cash man - come to Texas if you don't believe me ...................

EM (4-2) - just beat Miami, who almost beat Minny on the road, and just beat C Mich ..... so EM *must be* pretty good ? ..... vs 3-3 Ball State ????

    >> several PR's make them a favorite - SP+ somehow, and ESPN PI. 

Don't think this is smart $$ moving this one buddy ..................

MOOSE - last time Iowa State won a conference title?

King Gustav and Jim Thorpe were choppin' it up ...... That POS Titanic littered the Atlantic .... Hitler was in Liverpool dodging the draft.

   >>  Only Bama - Georgia - Clemson - Ohio State are play-offs or nothing ..... maybe OU some years. Cyclones no doubt figured they could go undefeated - and make the play-offs. No way they thought Iowa would beat 'em at home. The hangover lasted a few weeks, but should be over now. Occasionally a team with a buncha seniors just gives up on a season .... but can't see this team doing that, but only insiders know for sure... .

@bookieassassin

 You’re not wrong Bookie haha. In a conference dominated by OU, winning the Big 12 could mean something to them. Like you said prior, it’s either K State ML or a pass. I’m leaning on a pass due to our conversation.

Army is up to 14! I bought the hook to give me 3 possessions in what is sure to be a ugly slop fest.

Thinking Kent State/ W Michigan Over 65?

Washington -1.5 over UCLA. To your Iowa State point about the “hangover” being done, I think Washington’s hangover could be done. They are more physical than UCLA. 

UTEP ML at home against LA Tech.

Trying to add 2 more to my RR. Any other picks I’d greatly consider. 

Let's talk Navy...  have covered against Memphis every game since 15, I had Push in the one they didn't.  New QB seems to have settled them in last 2 games.  Can they avoid giving up the quick strike to Memphis?  I haven't seen Tigers play

New Mexico TT sitting at 17.5......seems fairly lofty if Wilson is out....or even if he plays.....I dont see where this offense is going to make plays and score 3 or 4 times....wacky bounces or special teams?? I just don't see it....

Thoughts BA?

BRENT - been staring at that one for awhile .... everything says a close / last one with the ball wins kinda game. BUT, I hate betting on the road team in these weekday games - unless a big edge. Strong lean at 10' + for sure ....

I'll probably play in-game / half. Neither gets blown out.  Tigers absolutely cannot be trusted / turnovers ..... their O is way too strong for Navy to hold down for 4Q (614 TO / 33 FD vs Tulsa). A must win for Memphis, with tough games on deck / at this point OVER makes a lotta sense ...... but weather ?

Train - no doubt, a better play than CSU maybe .... as is WKU TT over vs laying the points ........

    >> shoulda mentioned that earlier - TT's I can't find until way late .... that a DK's thing ?

updated leans

W Mich ?    Ole Miss ?    WKU TT over    NMX TT under    TCU at 14+    UCLA ?    Ariz St    Zona at 7    BC ?    S Caro    Army at KICKOFF

Auburn    Pitt / TT ?

Yep, my weekday game rule is "if the game was on Saturday would I still consider it"... being this matchup and the recent history the answer is Yes....   In-game may be better, Navy goes down 7-0 real fast and you're looking at a +14 or better Live off the bat.  Memphis Thursday night weather: 

early game, SAT.....I would immediately hit Navy ha ......

      >> with ya' - Tigers get up early, play Navy in-game, or 2H

MOOSE

WASHINGTON ? -- NO >> Bruins are flakes so tough to play them, but Huskies have nothing IMO

I thought they might bounce back - and on the (surface) they might.... but after beating up on mighty Ark St - they get pushed around by CAL (outgained 457-326 - Cal 3 TO)- and lose to the Beavs?

     * they can't throw, OR run .... can only stop the pass.....turn the ball over... AND have terrible ST's ..... other than that, not bad.

UTEP ML ? - maybe ... LT doesn't lose these SU too often

IMO best play at current lines is Ball St -1/1'

    * love that WKU TT .... New Mex TT under ......Pitt TT over?

ML ? - BYU ..... AUB ....WYO? .....BC?

Strong team playing poorly that POOF!..... magically reappears ? (opposed to Huskies)

    > Clemson

added - both slightly juiced at BM

Army +14

TCU +14

added

  * Zona - plus ML / they win this one?

  * Zona St - much better team

  * S Caro- last shot to have fun / beat somebody up

AF +6'

Ball St -2'

Mich St -3'

Texas A&M -7

Col St -9'

BYU +7

Okie St +6

UTEP +7'

Purdue +12'

N Caro -6'

WKU -11'

Tx St +7'

Army +14

TCU +14

Zona +6'

Zona St P

S Caro -17'

leans    UCLA    Iowa St    BColl    Auburn    B Green    Ole Miss

any thoughts on Utah game? Thank you and good luck this weekend!!

BA

How do you feel about Friday games? 

As always, solid my friend 

UTAH ? - like Arizona State here man - seem like the better team to me

Tonite - lean all road teams, so nothing for me ..... tho Friday games seem to play out differently than Thursday - home edge doesn't seem to matter as much ??

     $ Cal at 14 not bad - Clemson might be worth a look / I'll look to play them in-game, if they are moving the ball - Herd / NTX stay far away - SDSU should win an ugly low scoring game.

adding Auburn / Hogs 1H under 27'

      * Auburn D should be in charge early - Hogs might pull away 2H ..... ?

Thanks for your insight bookie.  Any thoughts on LSU team total under 24.5?  Thanks! And cheers!

MW - can't think of any reason why that one doesn't work....BOL .....

BA--Just showing my appreciation for all that you add here.  Look forward to seeing your week 8 thread coming in tomorrow, while I'm doing some homework today for next week as well.  Thanks again!!

Solid Day.