Week 8, 46-29-2 ATS

@PapiChullo

 best wishes Papi 

good luck this week spottie let me know if you figure out how clemson going to score to cover this number vs pitt ill listen

@shakey12381

 I can't back Clemson but I like that they are a dog.  It sets up future opportunities In my opinion. 

I dont try to figure out the how or why.  It is important to know the teams and lines but if we did that we would all bet Georgia and Alabama.  It's not that simple.   Others here do that better then I. 

@spottie2935

 well I had pitt higher then what the market has and all ive done is fade clemson with the numerous bets ive made this and it will continue until proven otherwise 

thx Spottie - good luck this week. 

before last season they were 20-5 and now in regression since 2019, I love dogs but I get burnt when I try to assume the team i was fading becomes a dog.  Pitt is good no reason to jump in front of them yet. 

I think Pitt is a winner and I might continue my fade of Clemson.  Waiting might be a problem though.  I can always jump on in game though.

Either way best wishes

Very welcome, and best wishes dyamarik 

And thanks best wishes to you as well 

App state has no secondary … coastal should shred them with their passing game 

@green33

 bingo ... winner !!!

Best wishes to you 

best wishes upside 

I was wrong on Auburn last week and it wouldn't shock me to be wrong here. It happens and I am betting against a strong and balanced team.  I like a strong proven team that's a home dog.

We are going to find out how this plays out.  Does App St tank again, or was last week just a bad game?

Plays: (current lines, no stale lines as of 10/19 8:30 am. Keeping this for my own purposes)

App St +4

Tulane +13.5

San Jose St -5

Utah St. +3.5

Virginia Tech -3

Toledo +2.5

Wyoming over 40

San Diego St. +3.5

Indiana +20

Georgia Tech +7

App St +4

Tulane +13.5

San Jose St -5

Utah St. +3.5

Virginia Tech -3

Toledo +2.5

Wyoming over 40

San Diego St. +3.5

Indiana +20

Georgia Tech +7

USC +7

I always follow your thread Spottie and agree with 95% of your picks. This App St isn’t one of them.CC of a bye with 2 week prep against a mediocre D spells doom imho. App St has to ball out to be competitive in this matchup. 

GL on the rest of your picks 

@spottie2935

 Bingo winner on info ...game never in the bank ...never

Like I said I have 29 losses and this might be one of them.  This could be the Auburn against Georgia from 2 weeks ago.  A lot of people like Georgia in that game and I lost, big deal its one game and I like my position.

Either way best wishes to all and Thanks for the comment. 

Thanks upside 

Thanks for following 

Whats the angle behind the Wyoming O40?

@spottie2935

 I’m just another degen so wtf do I know. I just went in the black two weeks ago after a horrible 4 week stretch. We all just want confirmation on our own picks to the ones that we follow. 

I respect your opinion on app state and like the fact you pick your spots 

no doubt this will be a close competitive game , coastal had trouble beating Buffalo 

but coastal has a really good qb, their offense is mechanical , and no slouch on defense 

app state could very well win , just don’t have the pass defense they used to unfortunately 

@green33

 I was up against a huge team in Georgia and lost now facing a great CSTL team.  If I bet like everyone else I would be on CSTL.  Im going against the flow after a national TV blowout game everyone saw.  

A) I want to see if App St. is better at home in a big game.

B) WTF was App St. doing last week? Was that a fluke in a tough spot on the road?

C) Who is HELL is CSTL this season?  The lowest line is -14 at Buffalo !!!!!  In my opinion in this case throw out all the stats from THIS season.  Not having to be tested there could be some arrogance in this game from a bunch of young guys.  

D) Don't compare last season CSTL to this season.  Why?   The lines are much different now.  They are established now as a big time contender and ranked.  Last season they were an up and comer.  Last years line were ridiculously easy.  This line not so easy compared to last season. 

We agree on Appy. I took the +4.... saw it went to 4.5.... doubled my bet and hit it again. 

Im a guy who bets AGAINST perceptions. Last week Appy was PERCIEVED to be the better team. I knew that ULL was actually favored in that game -6 in GOY lines.... but PERCEPTION made them 5.5 point dawgs.  Also knew that this game was on deck for Appy and most likely would be their focus. revenge spot for a game they should have won last year (they were leading 23-20 at the 3:00 mark in the 4th.... outgained Coastal and won time of possession.