I post the plays early and when I post obviously I use the lines at the present. I appreciate the heads up. I will check back on this game Saturday and update my play accordingly.
Guys I appreciate the team work like this. Good stuff. If this concerns you don’t hesitate to get off a play. I have yet to make some plays, some plays are in. I’m not managing your bets or bankroll but I do post in a timely fashion so you are informed early and can make your own decisions. It’s your money and your choice to follow along.
I post because I have had success in the past but I also know bad weeks happen to everyone. Be on your toes and thanks for stopping in. Best wishes to all.
as far as tonight the consensus is a good guide for me to either make a play or wait. I waited and have yet to finalize my own action.
curret lines :
San Jose st -3.5
Tulane +14
I do not recommend buying points as most of the time it’s a winner or it costs you more juice and lowers the ROI. Just deal with it if the game loses by a hook or pushes. If you notice I’m against the grain anyways so usually if I lose so does the book.
If the WYO game has bad weather I might back off that play come Saturday.
Tough game to call. MSU came out of nowhere this season after a few terrible seasons for them. Michigan was horrible last season so they are building something too . These teams are a work in progress and their schedules this season ( as usual early season games are easier) not so difficult.
Michigan:
beat Wisconsin to revenge that horrible game from last season but Wisconsin is down this season thus far.
Beat Neb in a tight one.
Soft rest of schedule. If a good spot or situation arises I will fade them, but as of yet I don't have a feel for them. Michigan is most often a fade for me, Its a public team that disappoints a lot. There are times after a few missed covers that I will back them but usually its against the grain when they hit my list. There are a few teams like them that I fade, no Alabama is not one of them lol.
MSU:
What a season so far out of nowhere. In my opinion it's going to b difficult for them to continue their ATS run. Tough schedule the rest of the way, excluding Maryland. Purdue after Michigan so if they beat Michigan that line might entice me to get involved in Purdue. Time will tell.
Thanks for stopping in a posting some feedback. Good job managing your action, just shows your on the ball. Much respect and best wishes to you this week.
Maybe so and I like them too, but they do not hit any of my lists this week.
Best Wishes Wizdom 
I don't get attached to teams plays or lines. This one is data based upon history and lines. Glad you like the play but we are going to need Tulane to put a decent game on the board. Hope so!
Best wishes
I forgot San Jose. They finally did some good things last week. UNLV ? I used to live in Vegas a few years back. Those teams put a do not disturb sign in my head. Again I don't have time to watch all the games. I have yet to see UNLV play. It doesn't matter. Other plays I have made all season its the same thing. Even if I were to watch there is no telling what is going to transpire during the game.
There are other plays I put more thought into, this one I trust my efforts and hard work in finding winning situations.
Data.
History.
Lines.
King of Covers Contests:
Canadian football (CFL) Ranked #8 43-27 ATS
NFL Ranked #25 64-39-3 ATS
| NFL ATS Picks | 41-22-3 | 64.39% | +8400 |
College FB I played too many games to hit the leaderboard 109-112-4 ATS
UNLV is 3-20 winning games in recent history. This is one case where just maybe the find the right spot to get this done. Maybe I lose, oh well add a loss to that list then, but there is NO way to be on UNLV. Cover 4 in a row ? not many times in their history have they had the opportunity to do so.
UNLV the last 2 seasons 0-12 SU
UNLV after 3 covers in a row 1-4 ATS since 2006! thats right they have only covered 3 games in a row 4 times in the last 15 seasons. I don't care who is the QB for San Jose this the right side long term. I could lose, no question about it. We will see what happens in this ugly game.
Dang that first game was hard to watch. First game of the night it nice to start off on the winning side. As far as Tulane goes the way it started was terrible and the way it finished was just as bad. Lost 2 wr and qb on a drive with 5 minutes left. Tulane was in a great betting situation and lost.
late game as we all thought was ugly and started ugly for us too. Free td for UNLV and I was like cmon this is going to be a bad night. In the end UNLV was bad enough for us and we got the split.
1-1 night gets me a 2-1 start to my week and right on pace with my record. I’ll gladly take it.
YTD:48-30
This week 2-1
plays :
App St +4
Tulane +13.5
San Jose St -4
=============
Utah St. +3.5
Virginia Tech -3
Toledo +2.5
Wyoming over 40
San Diego St. +3.5
Indiana +20
Georgia Tech +7
USC +7
Miami -Oh +5
Tonight is Utah St. +3.5 my line.
If you are late betting this and want to tail +3 is fine. If it jumps past +2.5 or less I would pass or play half of the bet on +2.5 and half on the moneyline. If this is the case I prefer you pass. Betting late bad number if you're trying to win is always a bad idea. Bad numbers eventually burn your bank.
Utah St. is coming in off a late win against the same UNLV team I just watched. They also had a bad first Q and were able to get out of that bad start. A few weeks back Utah St. beat a very good Air Force team. Since then they play 2 more very good teams and failed, and against last weeks win against UNLV.
CSU is pretty hot Covering last 4. I like that their last 2 opponents were not so difficult.
A win here gets me to a 3-1 start to my week and that would be awesome.
Established in 1995,
. Much respect. If it weren’t 1stQ /half over it would’ve been a horrible day for me. Still bad but manageable. Keep up the great work !
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