12/1 ml. recency, late speed, pattern, distance. swinging for the fences right out of the gate here in this full field of twelve down that hill. this field in my view is filled with some gals that can be sketchy in the lane, long layoffs absent intriguing returns to the races to me, and some gals that look headed the wrong way. what i like about this 4YO is absent two spins (synthetic in inglewood two turns high dollar stake and wet dirt in Arcadia two turns stake) she brings some nice late energy and keeps trying hard. last out not all that bad ran a 78 two turns on the green moving nicely late. all three times on the hill she has been eating up ground in the lane. has fired fresh before as well and i like that she's been off since 8/24 (sporadic drills could be an issue or could be feels she is fit enough doesn't need many recorded drills you decide skipper 18% off this type of break). ran an 82 off the pine on the hill which is very competitive here. fairly lightly raced could inch forward a smidge off the pine and back to the hill. i'm taking a shot with her to sit back and try to mow them down late. 0.75 units.
didn't fire late rail was wide open
0
Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:
Friday:
race 1
OC40K N1X F&M 3YO and Up *6.5F (Downhill Turf)
4 WP
12/1 ml. recency, late speed, pattern, distance. swinging for the fences right out of the gate here in this full field of twelve down that hill. this field in my view is filled with some gals that can be sketchy in the lane, long layoffs absent intriguing returns to the races to me, and some gals that look headed the wrong way. what i like about this 4YO is absent two spins (synthetic in inglewood two turns high dollar stake and wet dirt in Arcadia two turns stake) she brings some nice late energy and keeps trying hard. last out not all that bad ran a 78 two turns on the green moving nicely late. all three times on the hill she has been eating up ground in the lane. has fired fresh before as well and i like that she's been off since 8/24 (sporadic drills could be an issue or could be feels she is fit enough doesn't need many recorded drills you decide skipper 18% off this type of break). ran an 82 off the pine on the hill which is very competitive here. fairly lightly raced could inch forward a smidge off the pine and back to the hill. i'm taking a shot with her to sit back and try to mow them down late. 0.75 units.
8/1 ml. recency, late speed, distance, stamina, pattern. taking a stab here unless the strip has an absurd bias i'm projecting the distance really opens up this race. like the kinda sorta gradual improvement for this little bum girl two back some improvement back to dirt and from off the pace little cutesie 5.5F spin (the fig sucked but like the effort and "bumped break, bold late move"). last out ran a 70 going 6.5F which i view as very important here settling and wearing down her foe late. i'm projecting she can handle this 7/8ths better than the others and the outside slot helps her as well. on pace she should be able to be within striking range at the quarter pole IF she fires. six weeks since that last with two easy stamina maintenance drills which i like as well she looks fit and ready. i'll try her not expecting anything spectacular just get involved and wear them down late at 7/8ths. 0.75 units.
4th at 7/2. too far back.
0
Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:
race 3
Non-Graded Stakes 200K Fillies (Cal Bred) 2YO 7F
9 WP
8/1 ml. recency, late speed, distance, stamina, pattern. taking a stab here unless the strip has an absurd bias i'm projecting the distance really opens up this race. like the kinda sorta gradual improvement for this little bum girl two back some improvement back to dirt and from off the pace little cutesie 5.5F spin (the fig sucked but like the effort and "bumped break, bold late move"). last out ran a 70 going 6.5F which i view as very important here settling and wearing down her foe late. i'm projecting she can handle this 7/8ths better than the others and the outside slot helps her as well. on pace she should be able to be within striking range at the quarter pole IF she fires. six weeks since that last with two easy stamina maintenance drills which i like as well she looks fit and ready. i'll try her not expecting anything spectacular just get involved and wear them down late at 7/8ths. 0.75 units.
8/1 ml. recency, late speed, pattern, stamina. taking another shot here in this race another twelve horse field though this one has a heavy chalkie in the 11. projecting 1 and 12 to bang heads out front a few behind them at a legit clip creating potential opportunity for horses well off the pace at this distance on this surface. like the pattern on this 2. pretty fresh off the plane into a solid G2 down south he jogged around in the back and kicked it in late in a race where the cheap pace up front kept going untouched. off for two months with three nice maintenance drills in october and pointed to this. strip out the last three figs on the chalkie (i'm not sold on those) and this motherfukker is very wide open. i'm looking for this guy to be a little more involved earlier and see what he's got late in the lane. looks fit and ready and should be doing his best work late. 1.00 units.
5th at 9/2. tight finish. tough race.
rough start. plenty of races left.
0
Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:
race 4
G2 3YO 9F (Turf)
2 WP
8/1 ml. recency, late speed, pattern, stamina. taking another shot here in this race another twelve horse field though this one has a heavy chalkie in the 11. projecting 1 and 12 to bang heads out front a few behind them at a legit clip creating potential opportunity for horses well off the pace at this distance on this surface. like the pattern on this 2. pretty fresh off the plane into a solid G2 down south he jogged around in the back and kicked it in late in a race where the cheap pace up front kept going untouched. off for two months with three nice maintenance drills in october and pointed to this. strip out the last three figs on the chalkie (i'm not sold on those) and this motherfukker is very wide open. i'm looking for this guy to be a little more involved earlier and see what he's got late in the lane. looks fit and ready and should be doing his best work late. 1.00 units.
17/1 on the board. recency, late speed, surface, pattern. like the improvement shown by this little guy and added distance. looking for meaningful move forward with the added distance and getting on firm. 1.25 units.
0
race 6
G1 2YO 8F (Turf)
1 WP
17/1 on the board. recency, late speed, surface, pattern. like the improvement shown by this little guy and added distance. looking for meaningful move forward with the added distance and getting on firm. 1.25 units.
17/1 on the board. recency, late speed, surface, pattern. like the improvement shown by this little guy and added distance. looking for meaningful move forward with the added distance and getting on firm. 1.25 units.
got in position and faded
0
Quote Originally Posted by atlasshrugged:
race 6
G1 2YO 8F (Turf)
1 WP
17/1 on the board. recency, late speed, surface, pattern. like the improvement shown by this little guy and added distance. looking for meaningful move forward with the added distance and getting on firm. 1.25 units.
40/1 on the board. recency, pace, speed. taking an enormous shot 1 parked outside right to the front for this guy and pray he holds on late. 1.00 units.
0
race 7
G1 3YO and Up *6.5F (Downhill Turf)
8 WP
40/1 on the board. recency, pace, speed. taking an enormous shot 1 parked outside right to the front for this guy and pray he holds on late. 1.00 units.
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