It's time to say it, as I told everyone before, gambling is all about streaks... kscapping had a good one and just started to brag about it while at the same time attempting to look 'humble'.. look at how terrible hes doing now.. hes like what. 0-6 last 6? people tends to forget the truth relies on the middle most of the time, I mean just how funny is it? he goes 7-1 and starts talking like hes Robin hood giving golden picks to the poor, look at him now.. I mean its normal, everyone has bad streaks of course, but it's kind of embarrasing how the guy says he works his ass off capping like 20 hours a day and stuff... he doesn't understand luck has alot to do with gambling, and yet writes like an entire book about how to hit 70%. Now.. get real, if you have a weak mind and cant think for yourself your first reaction will be to just call me a hater, but im just stating the real facts, it is what it is. and this whole thing just proved my previous point, and yeah, even the best cappers in the world will not go beyond 60% in the long run, ride your hot streaks, be careful and identify the cold ones fast, that's the key to success in this business.
Nessa, since you are so smart, please enlighten us on how to identify the cold ones fast.
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Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:
It's time to say it, as I told everyone before, gambling is all about streaks... kscapping had a good one and just started to brag about it while at the same time attempting to look 'humble'.. look at how terrible hes doing now.. hes like what. 0-6 last 6? people tends to forget the truth relies on the middle most of the time, I mean just how funny is it? he goes 7-1 and starts talking like hes Robin hood giving golden picks to the poor, look at him now.. I mean its normal, everyone has bad streaks of course, but it's kind of embarrasing how the guy says he works his ass off capping like 20 hours a day and stuff... he doesn't understand luck has alot to do with gambling, and yet writes like an entire book about how to hit 70%. Now.. get real, if you have a weak mind and cant think for yourself your first reaction will be to just call me a hater, but im just stating the real facts, it is what it is. and this whole thing just proved my previous point, and yeah, even the best cappers in the world will not go beyond 60% in the long run, ride your hot streaks, be careful and identify the cold ones fast, that's the key to success in this business.
Nessa, since you are so smart, please enlighten us on how to identify the cold ones fast.
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
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Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
ilprato is a real gambler that i firmly believe is one of the very few on forums actully bets real money and is genuinly concerned on not promoting hisself by bumping threads trying to be the man on forums what a first class guy !!!!!! i loved his thread explaining he would never bet this many games no real gambler does!!!!!! he is about winning money not winning the most hits on his thread my hats off to you sir
I appreciate your comments its not an easy game especially laying juice on every contest.The biggest downfall to many players is money management and betting over your head.Believe I know I have been there before .
On another note one thing that upsets me is when i read the forums and see all these parlays go down in flames.Imagine winning 2 out of 3 or hitting 3 out of 4 and losing money. its hard enough to hit 1 game.It makes me wish sometimes I was on the other side just taking bets and collecting from the losers.On the other hand I have seen what gambling has done to some peoples lives and I would never want to be the cause of that.
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Quote Originally Posted by poolman11:
ilprato is a real gambler that i firmly believe is one of the very few on forums actully bets real money and is genuinly concerned on not promoting hisself by bumping threads trying to be the man on forums what a first class guy !!!!!! i loved his thread explaining he would never bet this many games no real gambler does!!!!!! he is about winning money not winning the most hits on his thread my hats off to you sir
I appreciate your comments its not an easy game especially laying juice on every contest.The biggest downfall to many players is money management and betting over your head.Believe I know I have been there before .
On another note one thing that upsets me is when i read the forums and see all these parlays go down in flames.Imagine winning 2 out of 3 or hitting 3 out of 4 and losing money. its hard enough to hit 1 game.It makes me wish sometimes I was on the other side just taking bets and collecting from the losers.On the other hand I have seen what gambling has done to some peoples lives and I would never want to be the cause of that.
I'm 0 -3 since tailing Niners Over on MNF up to tonight's Baylor game. This seem to always happen. As soon I start tailing someone cos he's hot, they go cold. KS was 7 - 1 on his last 8 before that MNF game...
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I'm 0 -3 since tailing Niners Over on MNF up to tonight's Baylor game. This seem to always happen. As soon I start tailing someone cos he's hot, they go cold. KS was 7 - 1 on his last 8 before that MNF game...
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
yes ,me too,
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Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Tread lightly
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Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:
STEELERS UNDER 34.5
RAVENS UNDER 38
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Tread lightly
Thanks! Any other games you're leaning?
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Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
me too, the winning pick was posted too late, we all missed it
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Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
me too, the winning pick was posted too late, we all missed it
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Tread lightly
Ravens best receiver also out
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Quote Originally Posted by ILPRATO:
Reasons on the ravens under-Both teams have played their share of low scoring games so the low total does not scare me.Baltimore defense plays at a much higher level at home and I think it will be difficult for seneca wallace to do much damage. flacco's passing accuracy truly doesn't impress me so i think we see a lot of running. This being a division game might help the browns hold the ravens to some field goals instead of td's as they are well aware of what to expect.
Reasons on steelers seem obvious with the low total posted but both them and the rams have played games that ended in totals lower than this.Add in the fact that steelers center is still out and batch will be at the controls.More important Kellen Clemens the guy is horrible watched him enough start for the jets.
Of course special teams ,turnovers leading to short fields can be something that is difficult to predict and I am hopeful it does not burn me tomorrow.
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
Correction, I also lost on MON night game, so its like 0-8 for me
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Quote Originally Posted by wchowdip:
Baylor first half would have been a winner, unfortunately Kscapping is now 1-5 with tonight's loss. Oddly enough, I've tailed the five losses and missed his only win.
Correction, I also lost on MON night game, so its like 0-8 for me
0- 11 Pitt/SF Over 18 first half, Pitt (NFL) +1.5 first half, Pitt/SF Over 37, Pitt Pick em 2nd half, NCAAFB: FIU -4.5, Marshall/FIU Over 49.5, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB)Baylor,
additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5
really really cold run,only thing save me is 4wins from ILproto
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0- 11 Pitt/SF Over 18 first half, Pitt (NFL) +1.5 first half, Pitt/SF Over 37, Pitt Pick em 2nd half, NCAAFB: FIU -4.5, Marshall/FIU Over 49.5, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB)Baylor,
additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5
really really cold run,only thing save me is 4wins from ILproto
UL Lafayette +3 in 1ST half, SD State/UL Lafayette Over 60, Carolina +3.5 first half, Carolina +6 game, Detroit @ Oakland Under 48, Green Bay @ KC Under 46, Cleveland +6.5, Chargers +0.5 pts first half
But I got to remind everyone he was hot before the cold streak
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UL Lafayette +3 in 1ST half, SD State/UL Lafayette Over 60, Carolina +3.5 first half, Carolina +6 game, Detroit @ Oakland Under 48, Green Bay @ KC Under 46, Cleveland +6.5, Chargers +0.5 pts first half
But I got to remind everyone he was hot before the cold streak
In all honesty a lot of meaningless games tomorrow so i like to track the line movement of those games -sometimes it can lead you to the right side.
A good example was last week we had about 75% plus of the public all over the pack over the chiefs yet the line dropped down from 14 to 11 by kickoff.So it was obvious some big money came down on the chiefs.
So maybe we can spot something like that tomorrow that can give us a hint.
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Quote Originally Posted by iSTATUS:
Thanks! Any other games you're leaning?
In all honesty a lot of meaningless games tomorrow so i like to track the line movement of those games -sometimes it can lead you to the right side.
A good example was last week we had about 75% plus of the public all over the pack over the chiefs yet the line dropped down from 14 to 11 by kickoff.So it was obvious some big money came down on the chiefs.
So maybe we can spot something like that tomorrow that can give us a hint.
I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
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I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
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Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:
I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
All Forum Posted Plays (all plays total) : 61-46-1 (57%) additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5
Challenge between iPROTO and myself (Rules posted below)
iPROTO 4-0 w/ 26 plays left (100%) NCAAFB Marshall +4, NCAAFB Louisiana Tech, Colts Under 20 in 1st half, Boise State -14
KS: 1-5 w/ 24 with plays left (20%)NCAAFB Fla Intnl -4, NCAABB N. Carolina -10, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB), Baylor -5.5
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Overview:
All Forum Posted Plays (all plays total) : 61-46-1 (57%) additional (non-challenge plays) Teaser 6pt Texans Pick em with Texans/colts Under 46.5
Challenge between iPROTO and myself (Rules posted below)
iPROTO 4-0 w/ 26 plays left (100%) NCAAFB Marshall +4, NCAAFB Louisiana Tech, Colts Under 20 in 1st half, Boise State -14
KS: 1-5 w/ 24 with plays left (20%)NCAAFB Fla Intnl -4, NCAABB N. Carolina -10, Hawaii +0.5 in 1st half (NCAABB). W. VA -5 (Ncaabb), AZ State (NCAAFB), Baylor -5.5
I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
I agree
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Quote Originally Posted by Nessa:
I would start fading ILPRATO if I was you guys, after his good streak, he will start to drop down to like 58% just like KScapping, it's all about chance and probability. So be careful tailing him after a good streak which may still continue though because its been only a few games so far. All im saying is be careful tailing him now. I would actually rather tailing KScapping after his terrible streak... He can't be that bad can he? he'll probably hit like 2 out of his next 3 plays.
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