has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year in 21 starts!!!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15... Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
ZACH WHEELER (Phillies)
has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year in 21 starts!!!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15... Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ZACH WHEELER (Phillies) has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year in 21 starts!!! • April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Oriolesand his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won!He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs! In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15... Impressive! Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
Off to a nice start...leadoff batter homers for Phillies!
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: ZACH WHEELER (Phillies) has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year in 21 starts!!! • April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Oriolesand his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won!He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs! In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15... Impressive! Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
Off to a nice start...leadoff batter homers for Phillies!
So now we get records on lean, record on picks which are hard to decipher and claiming to be so much ahead. Just so hard trying to decipher what are plays, leans or just plain rambling liking the play but only leaning.
2
@Zeus4par
So now we get records on lean, record on picks which are hard to decipher and claiming to be so much ahead. Just so hard trying to decipher what are plays, leans or just plain rambling liking the play but only leaning.
has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
ZACH WHEELER - allows no runsand only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
2
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
ZACH WHEELER (Phillies)
has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
ZACH WHEELER - allows no runsand only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
So now we get records on lean, record on picks which are hard to decipher and claiming to be so much ahead. Just so hard trying to decipher what are plays, leans or just plain rambling liking the play but only leaning.
@pjlvio
OK, that's a fair point. I will address this later ...
@LoveCFB1_
THANK YOU! And BoL with your bets this coming week!
Meanwhile, my recent after-ASB leans have gone 6 - 1 (but only small profit)
3
Quote Originally Posted by pjlvio:
So now we get records on lean, record on picks which are hard to decipher and claiming to be so much ahead. Just so hard trying to decipher what are plays, leans or just plain rambling liking the play but only leaning.
@pjlvio
OK, that's a fair point. I will address this later ...
@LoveCFB1_
THANK YOU! And BoL with your bets this coming week!
Meanwhile, my recent after-ASB leans have gone 6 - 1 (but only small profit)
has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
ZACH WHEELER - allows no runs and only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
Very good call! Did you actually bet on it?
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Originally Posted by fubah2:
ZACH WHEELER (Phillies)
has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts!
• April 14 in loss to Pirates • May 12 in loss to Marlins • June 16 in loss to Orioles and his last outing... • July 29 in loss to Yankees
And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs!
In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive!
Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle?
This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish.
ZACH WHEELER - allows no runs and only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Originally Posted by fubah2:ZACH WHEELER (Phillies) has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts! • April 14 in loss to Pirates• May 12 in loss to Marlins• June 16 in loss to Oriolesand his last outing...• July 29 in loss to Yankees And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs! In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive! Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle? This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish. ZACH WHEELER - allows no runs and only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
Very good call! Did you actually bet on it?
Yes, but only very small.........same with any of my bets post All-Star break
0
Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Originally Posted by fubah2:ZACH WHEELER (Phillies) has pitched only 4 bonafide "BAD outings" this year, in 21 starts! • April 14 in loss to Pirates• May 12 in loss to Marlins• June 16 in loss to Oriolesand his last outing...• July 29 in loss to Yankees And another interesting stat: after each of his BAD outings he immediately bounced back with a terrific effort and the Phillies won! He was embarrassed last game, allowing 10 on base over just 5 ip and a whopping 7 earned runs! In the games that he either pitched very well or no worse than mediocre, the Phillies went 12 - 2 in those starts since April 15! Impressive! Soooooo, what happens today as a smallish fav @Seattle? This is absolutely, a definite, 100% lean ...haven't bet yet and may not, but if I do it will be very small, so not endorsing it per se other than it sure looks good to me..... Bet or not as you wish. ZACH WHEELER - allows no runs and only 3 on base through 8 complete innings! - and Phillies win 6 - 0
Very good call! Did you actually bet on it?
Yes, but only very small.........same with any of my bets post All-Star break
Since returning to the rotation, ELDER (Braves) has a poor WHIP and a worse ERA.
2 good outings and 2 BAD.
Meanwhile REA (Brewskies) has fair numbers, but only slightly better than avg....Still, dating back to and including his BAD outing May 19, my count shows GOOD consistency (so far) with only 3 BAD outings from 13 starts!....Brewers won 9 of those! and would have won 10 but Rea got ZERO run support in a 1 - 1 game that went into 10 innings.
OTOH, could REA be due for a bad outing now? Who knows, but his consistency is actually BETTER than his ERA and WHIP stats indicate...
Just FYI
2
Since returning to the rotation, ELDER (Braves) has a poor WHIP and a worse ERA.
2 good outings and 2 BAD.
Meanwhile REA (Brewskies) has fair numbers, but only slightly better than avg....Still, dating back to and including his BAD outing May 19, my count shows GOOD consistency (so far) with only 3 BAD outings from 13 starts!....Brewers won 9 of those! and would have won 10 but Rea got ZERO run support in a 1 - 1 game that went into 10 innings.
OTOH, could REA be due for a bad outing now? Who knows, but his consistency is actually BETTER than his ERA and WHIP stats indicate...
Since returning to the rotation, ELDER (Braves) has a poor WHIP and a worse ERA.
2 good outings and 2 BAD.
Meanwhile, REA (Brewskies) has fair numbers, but only slightly better than avg....
Still, dating back to and including his BAD outing May 19, my count shows GOOD consistency (so far)with only 3 BAD outings from 13 starts!....Brewers won 9 of those! and would have won 10 but Rea got ZERO run support in a 1 - 1 game that went into 10 innings.
OTOH, could REA be due for a bad outing now? Who knows, but his consistency is actually BETTER than his ERA and WHIP stats indicate
Just FYI
Elder continued his poor play allowing 10 on base and 7 ER in only 3.2 ip
while REA maintained his consistency allowing only 6 on base and ZERO ER thru 7.0 ip and the Braves won 10 - 0
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Tuesday:
Since returning to the rotation, ELDER (Braves) has a poor WHIP and a worse ERA.
2 good outings and 2 BAD.
Meanwhile, REA (Brewskies) has fair numbers, but only slightly better than avg....
Still, dating back to and including his BAD outing May 19, my count shows GOOD consistency (so far)with only 3 BAD outings from 13 starts!....Brewers won 9 of those! and would have won 10 but Rea got ZERO run support in a 1 - 1 game that went into 10 innings.
OTOH, could REA be due for a bad outing now? Who knows, but his consistency is actually BETTER than his ERA and WHIP stats indicate
Just FYI
Elder continued his poor play allowing 10 on base and 7 ER in only 3.2 ip
while REA maintained his consistency allowing only 6 on base and ZERO ER thru 7.0 ip and the Braves won 10 - 0
Good call in both games. After how many games without a bad outing is it likely that pitchers will have a bad outing? I know you've mentioned it, but I can't remember the number right now. Regards and thanks
0
@fubah2
Hello!!
Good call in both games. After how many games without a bad outing is it likely that pitchers will have a bad outing? I know you've mentioned it, but I can't remember the number right now. Regards and thanks
@fubah2 Hello!! Good call in both games. After how many games without a bad outing is it likely that pitchers will have a bad outing? I know you've mentioned it, but I can't remember the number right now. Regards and thanks
OK... after 7 consecutive without a BAD in the bunch...
First, Thursday does not have any "HOT STREAK" alerts to consider...
Second, here is what I used to attach to every posted hot starter alert:
"Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!"
0
Quote Originally Posted by Aliosha:
@fubah2 Hello!! Good call in both games. After how many games without a bad outing is it likely that pitchers will have a bad outing? I know you've mentioned it, but I can't remember the number right now. Regards and thanks
OK... after 7 consecutive without a BAD in the bunch...
First, Thursday does not have any "HOT STREAK" alerts to consider...
Second, here is what I used to attach to every posted hot starter alert:
"Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!"
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And another interesting stat: 
WARNING! Streaker Alert!
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