Great work , I love the fact that you don’t wager every day - I don’t think any successful gambler wages every day or even a high number of games per week as it takes a lot of self control and discipline (most do not have because of the powerful addiction level)
3
Great work , I love the fact that you don’t wager every day - I don’t think any successful gambler wages every day or even a high number of games per week as it takes a lot of self control and discipline (most do not have because of the powerful addiction level)
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
LOPEZ, Braves
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
3
WARNING: STREAKER alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
LOPEZ, Braves
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
I don’t think any successful gambler wages every day or even a high number of games per week as it takes a lot of self control and discipline (most do not have because of the powerful addiction level)
@RayRayK
Appreciate the comment, thank you!
0
Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK:
Great work ,
I love the fact that you don’t wager every day -
I don’t think any successful gambler wages every day or even a high number of games per week as it takes a lot of self control and discipline (most do not have because of the powerful addiction level)
@fubah2 why do you describe the Lopez current streak as ‘tenuous’? Is there something specific to his streak or is that a general statement?
This is why:
"....but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) "
The number of times a HOT STARTER continues his fortunate streak after 7 consecutive is very VERY THIN! Hence, it is tenuous.
2
Quote Originally Posted by Ramanujan:
@fubah2 why do you describe the Lopez current streak as ‘tenuous’? Is there something specific to his streak or is that a general statement?
This is why:
"....but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) "
The number of times a HOT STARTER continues his fortunate streak after 7 consecutive is very VERY THIN! Hence, it is tenuous.
Been meaning to tell you my Brotha… the patience of knowing your own strengths hit me recently… as the years go by I’ve learned to handicap myself. Knowing the months I tend to go through regression has really helped polish my approach.
Sharp as a tack, I’ve been following along closely to your approach… much respect
wolfeman
The impossible only takes longer….
0
@fubah2
Been meaning to tell you my Brotha… the patience of knowing your own strengths hit me recently… as the years go by I’ve learned to handicap myself. Knowing the months I tend to go through regression has really helped polish my approach.
Sharp as a tack, I’ve been following along closely to your approach… much respect
WARNING: STREAKER alert! This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-game HOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! LOPEZ, Braves Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided. When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
whos streakin today ?!
"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
WARNING: STREAKER alert! This STARTER is riding a tenuous 9-game HOT STREAK, WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! LOPEZ, Braves Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided. When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Wacha, Royals
His last "BAD" outing was 2 months ago!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
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3
WARNING: STREAKER alert!
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 7-gameHOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!
Wacha, Royals
His last "BAD" outing was 2 months ago!
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know that for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season, not just from the start) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at!! I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts after that!
Fubah2 agree with you on wacha but the price on him to continue his streak is not bad also would you agree
@vc1028
Good point! YesI agree. Overall looks like decent value on the Royals, as they are very good at home and coming off a loss one might suspect a rebound for such a strong homie, regardless how Wacha plays.
I'm laying off but I see the logic
1
Quote Originally Posted by vc1028:
Fubah2 agree with you on wacha but the price on him to continue his streak is not bad also would you agree
@vc1028
Good point! YesI agree. Overall looks like decent value on the Royals, as they are very good at home and coming off a loss one might suspect a rebound for such a strong homie, regardless how Wacha plays.
Quote Originally Posted by vc1028: Fubah2 agree with you on wacha but the price on him to continue his streak is not bad also would you agree @vc1028 Good point! YesI agree. Overall looks like decent value on the Royals, as they are very good at home and coming off a loss one might suspect a rebound for such a strong homie, regardless how Wacha plays. I'm laying off but I see the logic
whos streakin today ?
"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by vc1028: Fubah2 agree with you on wacha but the price on him to continue his streak is not bad also would you agree @vc1028 Good point! YesI agree. Overall looks like decent value on the Royals, as they are very good at home and coming off a loss one might suspect a rebound for such a strong homie, regardless how Wacha plays. I'm laying off but I see the logic
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