Thank the Heavens for “team” baseball. Bettors all over the “good team”, Pirates, and full bore against the “bad team”, the A’s. I wonder how many have noticed the A’s are 5-6 when Sears takes the ball, and the Pirates are 6-5 when Oviedo does. Not much difference, but Sears is 6-5 for quality starts and Oviedo is 5-6, which sort of seems to average things out. Sears is also much higher in the more important pitching categories than Oviedo, and that sort of eliminates HFA. A coin-flip at +160? Yeah, I’ll bite.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
All plays $100 flat, until further notice
2023 Season, 20-23-6, -667.93 (-15.2% RoR)
6/05/2023
A’s +160 (Sears/Oviedo)
Thank the Heavens for “team” baseball. Bettors all over the “good team”, Pirates, and full bore against the “bad team”, the A’s. I wonder how many have noticed the A’s are 5-6 when Sears takes the ball, and the Pirates are 6-5 when Oviedo does. Not much difference, but Sears is 6-5 for quality starts and Oviedo is 5-6, which sort of seems to average things out. Sears is also much higher in the more important pitching categories than Oviedo, and that sort of eliminates HFA. A coin-flip at +160? Yeah, I’ll bite.
Can't possibly be "fact" since they have not, and will not, play each other. Again, you are looking at "team vs. team" baseball, not A's/Sears vs. Pirates/Oviedo. Most of your good team/bad team theory goes up in smoke right there.
Think "value" for a moment. At -180 the Pirates pay 56 cents on the dollar of risk. The A's pay 160 cents on the dollar of risk. Are the Pirates so much better in tis matchup that they are worth $1.04 cents less value than the A's?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
1
@bigred84
Can't possibly be "fact" since they have not, and will not, play each other. Again, you are looking at "team vs. team" baseball, not A's/Sears vs. Pirates/Oviedo. Most of your good team/bad team theory goes up in smoke right there.
Think "value" for a moment. At -180 the Pirates pay 56 cents on the dollar of risk. The A's pay 160 cents on the dollar of risk. Are the Pirates so much better in tis matchup that they are worth $1.04 cents less value than the A's?
Love this play Pirates off a sweep vs Stl Winners of 5 in a row A's off a sweep at Mia Losers of 4 in a row Pirates will NOT sweep the A's I will be on Oakland ML all 3 games and doubling up if need be
Exactly...
Sweeping their ,arguably, number one division nemesis ...
Possible letdown as ITS JUST THE A's...who had yesterdays game slip thru their fingers.
Worth a shot
Bol fellas
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Quote Originally Posted by JFelty:
Love this play Pirates off a sweep vs Stl Winners of 5 in a row A's off a sweep at Mia Losers of 4 in a row Pirates will NOT sweep the A's I will be on Oakland ML all 3 games and doubling up if need be
Exactly...
Sweeping their ,arguably, number one division nemesis ...
Possible letdown as ITS JUST THE A's...who had yesterdays game slip thru their fingers.
I consider KeyElement one of the smartest cappers on this forum when it comes to baseball. But I find it very funny that I haven't seen him in profit for at least 5 years. I respect his choices a lot, but I think there are flaws. Or baseball is the hardest sport to bet on in the world.</
Everyone is addicted to gambling. But I try to be a controlled addict.
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I consider KeyElement one of the smartest cappers on this forum when it comes to baseball. But I find it very funny that I haven't seen him in profit for at least 5 years. I respect his choices a lot, but I think there are flaws. Or baseball is the hardest sport to bet on in the world.</
[Quote: Originally Posted by GriLo]I consider KeyElement one of the smartest cappers on this forum when it comes to baseball. But I find it very funny that I haven't seen him in profit for at least 5 years. I respect his choices a lot, but I think there are flaws. Or baseball is the hardest sport to bet on in the world.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by GriLo]I consider KeyElement one of the smartest cappers on this forum when it comes to baseball. But I find it very funny that I haven't seen him in profit for at least 5 years. I respect his choices a lot, but I think there are flaws. Or baseball is the hardest sport to bet on in the world.
Just a question. Why in the world with all mlb games would people bet on a team as bad as oakland. Im 49, never seen a worse team in my life. Its youre money, i wish ya the best.
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Just a question. Why in the world with all mlb games would people bet on a team as bad as oakland. Im 49, never seen a worse team in my life. Its youre money, i wish ya the best.
Let me clarify something. When I state the 5-6 on Sears and 6-5 on Oviedo, those are starter vs. starter results, not the eventual outcome of the games. Sears is almost as good at putting his team in a position to win as Oviedo. Granted, the A's bullpen has not finished off the opponents, but with some help from the offense perhaps they can for a change. You do not get +160 because your team is a clear favorite, you get that for taking some small chances. A's are down around +145/150 now so I am not the only one that thinks they are a good choice. Only 23% of people think the A's are the right side, so the line should not have gone against them. I pointed out that Oviedo at -180 was ridiculous and some folks with money agree with me. We'll see.
Think about that. Oviedo -180?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
1
Let me clarify something. When I state the 5-6 on Sears and 6-5 on Oviedo, those are starter vs. starter results, not the eventual outcome of the games. Sears is almost as good at putting his team in a position to win as Oviedo. Granted, the A's bullpen has not finished off the opponents, but with some help from the offense perhaps they can for a change. You do not get +160 because your team is a clear favorite, you get that for taking some small chances. A's are down around +145/150 now so I am not the only one that thinks they are a good choice. Only 23% of people think the A's are the right side, so the line should not have gone against them. I pointed out that Oviedo at -180 was ridiculous and some folks with money agree with me. We'll see.
The next two days we are looking at Kaprelian/Keller and you can't see any hope there, but then it is Harris/Contreras, and the new kid (Harris) is impressive so far. With Sears the A's have a shot in two of three. That keeps the series price down right there.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
1
@JFelty
The next two days we are looking at Kaprelian/Keller and you can't see any hope there, but then it is Harris/Contreras, and the new kid (Harris) is impressive so far. With Sears the A's have a shot in two of three. That keeps the series price down right there.
Not to mention they're dead last in just about every major pitching category. They're on pace to win 32 games. I'm gonna keep fading them until they give me a reason not to.
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Not to mention they're dead last in just about every major pitching category. They're on pace to win 32 games. I'm gonna keep fading them until they give me a reason not to.
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