Posted:
#1176
Ok,,Colorado, strictly by the numbers? Ok, well you might want to factor Team RISP the last 14 games of your choices and when a team's # is like the Rockies, you're taking a huge risk against ANYONE...including the Giants...currently you're giving up huge odds too..-156....Yesterday 1-10 RISP alone
They're famed "better pitching" this year has deteriorated as well including their "stud" closer Holland who's blown saves(if they were ever in a position for one)
This team has clear mental leadership issues as well, choking away a huge lead for the Wild Card, not reacting well to the publicity and then the scrutiny their now getting as falling apart...Buddy Black isn't the answer for that, the best players have never been in the postseason
Especially if they play a rising team like Az who just took betters to the woodshed this weekend...Colo basically was NEVER in any of the games.
What's my point? No analytics can make up for one's mind which is why former great players say the game is "90% mental"..
And if you increase your wagers on a team like this, then you're only doubling down on an impending storm going away..I bet on this team against my better judgement Friday and yesterday tailing a very successful capper and I will not again..I did also do well on the WSOX, Phils and Pads yesterday in large part because they didn't have this huge mental hole along with the numbers...
Just throwing another angle in here besides the 2-8/8-2 point, i.e deeper looking into why someone is 2-8 or worse...not all 2-8's are the same but Vegas will just keep making suckers take them like on the Dodgers yesterday because if they made the line what it should be, the action would be so overloaded, they'd be at risk...they do want to at least make a small profit but yesterday on the Dodger game they cleaned up...
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