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Beat the sweep system

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Captain
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Posted: #1201
Season coming to and end. Good work this year. Looking forward to the tweaks for next season. Thanks for the work. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1202
great year overall.  thanks Tone.  maybe next year you might consider putting this in the systems&strategies forum instead of the general baseball forum.  i think that was part of the headache was every week or so we'd get someone new on here that didn't understand it and just mucked up the focus of the system.  link here to find the forum

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmain.aspx?spt=79
 
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Posted: #1203
been watching from the sidelines pretty much all season…

i think i may have posted once or twice skeptical about the system but all in all it seemed to have worked out…

good job…

look forward to this thread next year
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1204
Thanks guys - there is no value running this at this point in the season. I'll take my winnings and dump it back on NFL and NCAAF haha.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1205
Quote Originally Posted by winnerwinner99:

been watching from the sidelines pretty much all season…

i think i may have posted once or twice skeptical about the system but all in all it seemed to have worked out…

good job…

look forward to this thread next year

Haha "All in all it seemed to work out"... show me 1 person who is documented up over 130 units on baseball this season on the forums, twitter, tout sites etc.  

If we minimize away team sweeps it could have been 175+. Food for thought for next season.
 
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Posted: #1206
Awesome job, and thank you for posting!! Best on Covers that I have followed!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1207
looking forward to next year Tone,
good luck in football
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1208

Quote Originally Posted by huskertodd:

looking forward to next year Tone,good luck in football

 

We're back! +140 units / 14k last year in baseball. Can't wait for another season fellas!

 
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Posted: #1209
New thread or continuing on here. Also, did you dig deeper into the results. Obviously, staying away from taking road teams as you mentioned would be a solid move. Will you play thursdays series off last years results? If so, we can start lining plays up. 

Good luck this year! 
 
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Posted: #1210

Quote Originally Posted by alldub:

New thread or continuing on here. Also, did you dig deeper into the results. Obviously, staying away from taking road teams as you mentioned would be a solid move. Will you play thursdays series off last years results? If so, we can start lining plays up. Good luck this year!

 

I'll probably start a new thread. Definitely taking a lot more road series off, or being more selective. I can't see much more into what kind of tweaks i need to be successful. Obviously all input is appreciated. 

 
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Posted: #1211

gl

 
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Posted: #1212

sorry to be "that guy "  but can someone dumb it down for me  ....your taking home teams to beat the sweep?, so are u waiting till game 2 loss  (2 losses in a row by home team) of a home series and then  starting a chase for that home team for game 3  and so on into the next series until that team wins?

 
Captain
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Posted: #1213
Go to page 1. Here we go already. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1214

Good luck. All it takes is one bad weekend and you give it all back. Continue with caution.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1215

Quote Originally Posted by Tad:

Good luck. All it takes is one bad weekend and you give it all back. Continue with caution.

 

Dick lickers like you are why i don't post on here. I tracked 5+ months and made 14k with these rules. Do me a favor and start a thread with all of your picks and being +140 units on a year.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1216

Quote Originally Posted by alabamam25:

sorry to be "that guy "  but can someone dumb it down for me  ....your taking home teams to beat the sweep?, so are u waiting till game 2 loss  (2 losses in a row by home team) of a home series and then  starting a chase for that home team for game 3  and so on into the next series until that team wins?

 

No, we're betting that the home team does NOT get swept, starting with game 1. 

 
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Posted: #1217
BT,

May want to consider threading in the S & S area to avoid the pl'ers.  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1218

Quote Originally Posted by Irish7878:

BT,May want to consider threading in the S & S area to avoid the pl'ers.

 

Post where?

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1219

Hey BT will you start with opening series or give the teams a chance to play a few games to fit the criteria just wondering

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1220
Jays
Rays
Rangers
A’s
All Look like Home underdogs for all of the games in this opening series against division opponents. 

Only road team I would risk as underdog for all three games is Chisox.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1221

Quote Originally Posted by Sackeysavage21:

Hey BT will you start with opening series or give the teams a chance to play a few games to fit the criteria just wondering

 

I will give it a few weeks. 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #1222

Quote Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:

QUOTE Originally Posted by Sackeysavage21: Hey BT will you start with opening series or give the teams a chance to play a few games to fit the criteria just wondering   I will give it a few weeks.
Quote Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:

QUOTE Originally Posted by Sackeysavage21: Hey BT will you start with opening series or give the teams a chance to play a few games to fit the criteria just wondering   I will give it a few weeks.

 

Sounds good excited to follow again and cash out

Much appreciated!

 
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Posted: #1223
BigTone
Appreciate your posting and analysis for everyone to see. Congrats on a great winning season last year. I agree you are one of top baseball cappers on covers.

There was a guy on here 7-8 years ago who had a chase the sweep system like You are onto here and I watched him turn 10 G into 40 G two years in a row until he left and created some gambling app. He kept a google spreadsheet and everything was tracked. 

He had it down to division play per league (NLW vs NLE opponents etc etc)  and also chased totals to beat a sweep ie pick a series that he would chase for total to go over or under over the three games. He had it down to only chase a three game series with how the math worked out.

From my memory there were a few things he chased that have held true for years since. His focus was on the math situational trends. One trend was the winner of the first game of a four game series was like 29-0 that year chasing next three games on ML to win 1 out of next 3. This is also a great trend to watch for on a Thursday and Sunday on last game of 4’game set when the winner of first game of set loses the next two it’s a good situation bet to jump in on the game 4 taking the game one winner.

He parsed the total and ML RL data down to divisions per league and seeded out the lower 60-70% winners and played the 80-90%ers.

Another example was NY Yankees playing at home vs AL east opponents and taking the under over three games. Deadly. AL east teams at home playing division opponents avoiding sweep again deadly. I remember these two cause I’m Jays fan and if this situation occurred where one team had won the first two games I would take the other team solo to avoid the sweep. There’s data trends within the data trends, just have to compartmentalize it. 

All the best!!

 
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Posted: #1224
Quote Originally Posted by Big_Tone21:

 

Post where?


Go to the "General Gaming" section of the Forums.  See "Systems & Strategies".  It's where the serious system players are.  No trolling.  We just make $$$.
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1225

Quote Originally Posted by Mariners1989:

BigToneAppreciate your posting and analysis for everyone to see. Congrats on a great winning season last year. I agree you are one of top baseball cappers on covers.There was a guy on here 7-8 years ago who had a chase the sweep system like You are onto here and I watched him turn 10 G into 40 G two years in a row until he left and created some gambling app. He kept a google spreadsheet and everything was tracked. He had it down to division play per league (NLW vs NLE opponents etc etc)  and also chased totals to beat a sweep ie pick a series that he would chase for total to go over or under over the three games. He had it down to only chase a three game series with how the math worked out.From my memory there were a few things he chased that have held true for years since. His focus was on the math situational trends. One trend was the winner of the first game of a four game series was like 29-0 that year chasing next three games on ML to win 1 out of next 3. This is also a great trend to watch for on a Thursday and Sunday on last game of 4’game set when the winner of first game of set loses the next two it’s a good situation bet to jump in on the game 4 taking the game one winner.He parsed the total and ML RL data down to divisions per league and seeded out the lower 60-70% winners and played the 80-90%ers.Another example was NY Yankees playing at home vs AL east opponents and taking the under over three games. Deadly. AL east teams at home playing division opponents avoiding sweep again deadly. I remember these two cause I’m Jays fan and if this situation occurred where one team had won the first two games I would take the other team solo to avoid the sweep. There’s data trends within the data trends, just have to compartmentalize it. All the best!!

 

Awesome stuff! I wish i was more of a data guy. My "rules" are very basic but seem to hold true. 

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