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Bob's MLB Monday *** 4.20.15 ***

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Captain
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Posted: #26
Final Card

903 Cincinnati (DeSclafani) / Milwaukee (Peralta) Under 8.5, -120 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
*Under 8 is +100 (5dimes). bought 1/2 run for 20 pts.

907 Baltimore Orioles (W. Chen) FG, +123 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

910 Detroit Tigers (A. Simon) FG, -135 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

912 Kansas City Royals (E. Volquez) -1 RL, +103 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

913 Cleveland Indians (T. Bauer) FG, -109 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll

 
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Posted: #27
with you on the Tigers and Indians. My Big play is Minny +1.5! BOL tonight! 
 
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Posted: #28
Tigers and Indians will both lose.
 
Captain
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

Tigers and Indians will both lose.

ummm OK. thanks?
 
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Posted: #30
Your welcome for the reverse jinx.
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by icegun98:

Your welcome for the reverse jinx.

LOL what a mush! 
 
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Posted: #32
POD for tomorrow:

956 Pittsburgh Pirates (F. Liriano) -1 RL, +109 --- Risk 1.50% of Bankroll

for those waiting for the actual -1 line, you can manufacture it as following:

1.38 Units Pirates ML (-138)
1 Units Pirates -1.5 (+160)

You lose 2.38 units if they lose. You make 0 if they win. You make. 2.60 units if they win by 2 or more.

This is what I did. I would be very surprised to see the -1 RL at plus money tomorrow. According to my calculations (estimates), it should be about -120.
 
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Posted: #33
Could've been a perfect game of it wasn't for horrible playing conditions in beantown

 
Captain
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Posted: #34
yeah, well 1 out… nobody out… and a 3 run lead suddenly turned into:

1st and 3rd with 1 out and a 3-2 game. 

Not looking good. My f-ing goodness.
 
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Posted: #35
god f-ing d it. 

tie game. this is absurd. I cannot believe the INdians are putting themselves in a position to lose this game. Can i get a break this year?!?!?!

 
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Posted: #36
You're paid to get 3 outs...
 
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Posted: #37
Manager should've pulled his rseout after giving 2 runs. 
 
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Posted: #38
Damn being an mlb manager is like collecting welfare. Getting money for doing garbage.
 
Captain
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Posted: #39
you cannot be serious… strikes out the 1st batter, then allows 7 straight batters to reach safely and gives up 4 runs.


story of my season.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #40
YOU GOTTA BE BLEEP-IN' ME!!!!!
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #41
Playing so many games a day,you're bound to run into these uncapable results
 
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Posted: #42
I would avoid this shi t terry lead mess until they get a closer. Till then should just be 1st 5.
 
Captain
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Playing so many games a day,you're bound to run into these uncapable results

I play the games that make sense according to my system. Really, the more plays the better as the results will be more statistically significant.

I average 3-5 plays per day. Once you account for sides vs. run totals… that equates to about 15% of the card each day. That is not very much at all in the grand scheme of things.

And… on a side note… find me the number of times that a team has come back from a 3 run deficit with 1 out in the 9th and nobody on. 

hint: it has absolutely ZERO to do with how many games I bet on a daily basis.

If you are going to be critical, then post your own plays and compare your performance to mine come October. The goal is to win over the long run, and you don't do that by arbitrarily capping the number of plays you can wager on per day.
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Rollinx420:

^^^^^^^^^^ take a look at that fuuucking abortion ^^^^^^^


that blows man. I would have been beside myself after watching Allen blow it. I am pissed enough just having a standard play on this game!
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Playing so many games a day,you're bound to run into these uncappable results

Looks like you left spell-check at home in your rush to trash everyone's threads this evening.
 
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Posted: #46
just ignore scropio, birds. The guy rarely posts and doesn't win as often as you. Such a jerk coming into somebodies thread to say "after the fact"   
 
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Posted: #47
The more game you bet the odds increase of something going wrong.That's why the casino offers parlays.You must learn to accept the good with the bad when gambling.
 
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Posted: #48
Also had the Indians and got fuckd
 
Captain
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

The more game you bet the odds increase of something going wrong.That's why the casino offers parlays.You must learn to accept the good with the bad when gambling.

hmmm. well show me where I rely on parlays for my payouts.

Also, you are completely incorrect with your first statement. In fact, the more games you bet, the more the "luck" or extreme events average out. 

Try again.
 
 
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Posted: #50
moreover, i track the "good" with the "bad". It guides my capping decisions. You cannot place wagers and not track your results. There is valuable learning material embedded in every wager you place, as well as the wagers you do not place.

I feel you have me mistaken for something that I am not. I am about as diligent as they come. 

All I know is I post my picks every day. You do not. I respect anyone who posts daily and keeps a REAL record with return on risk. It's hard to take someone seriously when they have zero track record… no documentation of expressing a view on a daily basis.



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